Ari Bousbib
Analyst · Elizabeth Anderson from Evercore ISI
Look, large pharma went through a lot of transformation internally in terms of their investment programs. Going back to the IRA, there was this whole phase of reprioritization of programs and reviews of their pipelines, which led to an elevated level of cancellations due to this reprioritization activity. That lasted for 1 year, 1.5 years, beginning mid of '23 and certainly continuing through '24. We see that activity as having essentially been completed. And we haven't seen any further cancellations as a result of that type of activity. So we think that the pipelines are now fully sanitized. Of course, there continue to be cancellations, but they are all like more business as usual due to futility or other reasons and nothing unusual. Large pharma, actually, the RFP flow for large pharma is very strong. I mentioned that our RFP flow growth year-over-year is 20%. And that applies to large pharma and to EBP equally. I mean, there's a strong, strong momentum. And again, that's helped by the more calming environment and perhaps more certainty around what's coming. And it's also helped by the fact that these reprioritizations have been largely completed. And the programs are now on the table are programs that our clients want to engage in and want to go forward with. Our cancellations, I always say, in recent years were about $0.5 billion a quarter, plus or minus a couple of hundred million dollars. So they could range between $300 million and $700 million in a given quarter. So a couple of billion dollars plus year in, year out. In '24, we had more than 50% higher cancellation than that, right, over $3 billion in '24, because of these reprioritizations from large pharma. That essentially is behind us. And year-to-date, our cancellations follow the regular pattern. I think somewhere between $500 million, around on average about $550 million per quarter I saw the numbers yesterday. I think nothing much to talk about. This quarter, I think we were a little bit towards the higher end of our range. But again, not because of reprioritization, it's simply normal course of business. Our gross bookings were very strong, very, very strong this year. And you could see that also in our $2.6 billion of net bookings, which were up 13% year-over-year, up sequentially mid-single digits. And the trough we experienced Q1 probably was the trough. We don't see that in the near term. So again, large pharma dynamics returning to normal business conditions, trending towards normal business conditions and biotech funding improving, which as you know, is a driver of EBP growth. And that, again, is reflected in our bookings and in our RFP flow as well.