Craig L. Martin
Analyst · Sterne Agee
Good morning, everyone. I'm on Slide 7 now, where we discuss our growth strategy. This slide hasn't changed in a while and won't change in the future, I don't believe. And I'm going to cover the first 4 bullets on this list in a little more detail in a few minutes, but I wanted to take a minute to talk about driving down cost. As John pointed out, we had very good continuing cost control in the third quarter. G&A were, with the exception of the little bit of headwind from due diligence, is exactly what we would've expected. And that means that we're continuing to maintain a solid cost advantage in some of these businesses where cost is becoming an increasing issue and I'll talk about that a little bit more as I move on. Going on now to Slide 8, this is our relationship-based business model. It's all about the sort of virtuous circle of doing good work, getting the customer to choose us again and allowing us then to reinvest as we grow to provide, again, more benefits to our clients and therefore, more good work and therefore, more repeat business. Our year-to-date repeat business number for -- through the third quarter is 94%. I think our team is justifiably proud of that kind of level of repeat business. Moving on now briefly to the market diversity slide, #9, you can see kind of how the market stacked up this year from a revenue perspective. This is the trailing 12. You can see the process businesses are up a little bit. Industrial businesses are up a little bit. Public and institutional business is down a little bit as a percentage, but I think the news in all of these categories is relatively good. Let me turn now to each of those categories individually and talk about them. I'm on Slide 10. This is our public and institutional sector, about 36% of our business. You can see that from a backlog perspective, we continue to maintain a strong backlog. It's as good as the backlog's ever been in this business. In fact, it's right at the top of our experience. And that's really good news for us. If you look at the national governments business, by far the biggest part of this group, we're doing pretty well, I think, as a company in dealing with sequestration and managing what that means to us. We continue to take share. The MATOC discussion that we had last quarter and before, continues to be a positive for us. We've had a very strong quarter in terms of awards. The U.S. marketplace, we had 4 major announcements. And those are -- the aggregate capacity of those is more than $12 billion. So it really means that we're -- our team is doing a good job of positioning to take market share and continue to grow. The nuclear market in the U.K. continues to be strong. We had a nice award from Magnox on PMCM for those decommissioning opportunities. So overall, the national governments businesses is no worse than stable for us and I think we will continue to eke out some growth in that business as we go forward. Infrastructure business for us is strong. There's lots of work out there. There's such a tremendous backlog of work that needed to have been done already. It isn't -- and I think that market is going to be strong for many, many years to come. It's always a matter of finding money. And that's why we see user-funded projects, the fees and user fee-based things, as being the strongest aspect to the market right now. And it's a place where we're doing very well. You may have seen an announcement earlier this quarter about our acquisition of Compass. We see the telecom business in particular as an area of strength and a real opportunity. We're expecting pretty rapid growth there. And of course, things like rail, water, utilities businesses are also strong because they don't rely on practice for funding. We're also seeing a lot of activity in the utility pipeline business. There's a multibillion-dollar future for utilities in the U.S. in terms of pipeline upgrade, inspections, repairs, that sort of thing. We've won the biggest program out there at the moment with Sempra and we continue to believe that's going to be another great growth opportunity for us as a company moving forward. And then buildings. That business continues to improve for us. That's a technical buildings business, as I've explained in the past. We do a lot a work in what we think of mission-critical markets. So that's like data centers and operation centers. That market is growing rapidly. We expect a 60% growth between -- in that market between now and the end of the decade. We're also seeing lots of activity in health care, corporate aviation. All those businesses are good and that's where we have real strength. And then the K-12 and higher ed funding is another big positive for us. We've already won 8 major programs and we have 9 others that we're working. Moving on now to the industrial segment or sector of the business. 3 businesses here we like to talk about as well: Pharmabio, mining and minerals, pulp and paper and the balance of that business. Let me talk about each one individually. Pharmabio continues to improve. We're seeing some new products in the pipeline driving some significant capital investment. That's really good news for us. We're seeing a lot of activity in biotech and in the secondary manufacturing. And our core clients are the ones who are spending the money with some geographic diversity. I think that the fact that we're able to serve those companies geographically is another big positive for us because that geographic reach results in us being able to take work when some of our competitors can't. Remember, we're the last global major of any significance still in this business. So this is a positive for us as we see what our customers are planning to do. Mining and minerals. And we put this little note here, it says, it's strong. I guess that would be not true of the industry. In fact, if anything, mining and minerals is pretty weak right now industry-wide, but we happen to be particularly well positioned for the business that is out there. And so we see this one as one that's very strong for us, an opportunity growth area for us for some time to come. While the environment's tepid, it's a market share game. And where the market share is, is in sustaining capital and cost reduction kinds of activities, in plant optimization. These are all areas of great strength for Jacobs. Where the market isn't is in the big greenfield projects. And so we expect that will be a positive for us as we go forward. We can couple this with our capability in buildings and infrastructure and provide a full service offering to these customers in this area. And then there are some new opportunities, greenfield and brownfield both, in uranium, potash and phosphates. Those last 2 in particular, phosphates and potash, are a real strength of Jacobs. And then sort of the other market, pulp and paper, high tech, food, power, consumer product, is a mixed bag. There are a number of places where there's good investment going on, others where there's not so much. We're doing very well in terms of building alliances with these customers and growing our business with them as they invest largely in outside the developed world. So largely outside of the U.S. and Europe. Much more strong in places like Brazil, China, India, where we are positioned or expect to be positioned to support those clients going forward. On the power side, we continue to slowly build our share of the power market and our ability to be identified as a player in the power market, particularly in the U.K. and Europe. So we think that's going to be an area of some growth for us as well. You'll see that backlog's down a little bit quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. The major projects that would really drive backlog are very slow to book. I don't think the outlook is consistent with the trend as we see it so far, but it's going to take time for those brownfield projects to turn into booking. Moving on now to process, Slide 12. You can see we think the refining business is very strong. There's plenty going on in terms of shale gas and tight oil production and what that means for the refiners. They're making money in refining now and that tends to be a reason to spend money in that industry. They continue to be focused, like the miners are, on cost and efficiency issues. And then, of course, our EPA continues to help Jacobs' business by driving projects, in this case, ultra-low sulfur gasoline. We see 85 refineries as being affected by the ultra-low sulfur gasoline requirements. Project sizes, we have this one customer who has 2 projects that we're negotiating on today. One's $400 million, the other's $200 million and that's just 2 refineries. So it gives you a sense of how big this ultra-low sulfur gasoline program could turn out to be. And of course, you have these changing feedstocks driven by the shale oil, tight oil and the crudes coming down from Canada and that's also going to continue to drive investment in the refining. Oil and gas and other markets is very strong at a $104 a barrel on NYMEX today. The oil price is very sustainable. We see capital expenditures continuing to increase in the E&P globally. And then what we call the amenable spend, the part of it that we can access looks like $160 billion or so. So I think the opportunities for Jacobs remain very significant in terms of opportunities for growth. Oil sands continues to be a good business, particularly in terms of the SAGD part of the business and an increasing drive to find capital efficiency in SAGD projects. We have some specific offerings there based on our long and very strong history in SAGD that offer customers sort of a unique opportunity to drive their capital cost down significantly. We think that will be a major opportunity for us as we go forward. And then of course, unconventional gas continues to be an important market. While the number of drill rigs are down, that just takes us from insane to strong. We think that's going to continue for some time. We see that as a $200 billion potential market over the next few years. And finally, cheap gas means cheap chemicals. And the U.S. chemicals business is booming at an unprecedented rate, certainly in my experience in the industry. We think that's going to continue, along with other investment all around the world in the chemicals business. It's going to be a very strong market through at least '17. What that says, in the backlog you can see we've booked the backlog up almost 14% -- over 14% year-over-year. It's grown 33% in the last 2 years. And right now, our sales team says that the number of prospects to us in these businesses, these process businesses, they use words like "tsunami" of projects. I'm not sure that's fair. But certainly, there's a lot of prospects out there and the opportunity for future growth in this particular segment of the business is very high. Moving on now to geographic diversity, that's Slide 13. Just some quick comments on the markets. I've already talked about North America in the context of things like chemicals and oil and gas. It remains very strong. I think we'll see a lot of activity as we go forward. There's been something like $35 billion of announced investment in the chemicals market, for example. South America will remain strong for us, largely because the projects that we see that are going forward in the mining and minerals arena are largely in South America. We think that CapEx in upstream will also increase. And of course, we're exploring opportunities in Brazil, as I mentioned. Europe, it will be stable. I don't think we'll see a lot of growth in Europe in the next little bit. The demographics and the economics of Europe aren't that good for investment, but I think we are very well positioned there and we should be able to continue to grow our business. Turning to the Middle East and Africa. This is another strong market for us, largely Middle East and North Africa. We continue to be gaining momentum in upstream, winning refining projects. Our relationship with OCP in Morocco remains very strong. We've built a very solid business there in the potash business. Lots of activity in sustaining capital and plenty of buildings and infrastructure opportunity that we're just beginning to capitalize on. So we think the Middle East and Africa will be good for us. India, very strong market for the reasons I outlined earlier. Lots of investment in India in the consumer product, the food arenas, pharmaceutical, as well as another big boom in the fertilizer business, where we are particularly well positioned. We've done a significant fraction of all the fertilizer projects in India and we expect that will continue as we go forward. So India looks very strong in its own right as a market, as well as a continuing opportunity for us to do work here in a high value engineering center point of view. China and Southeast Asia are strong. There's a lot of refinery growth opportunities in Southeast Asia and China. We're looking forward to those. We're also very well positioned now to take care of these core clients as they invest in Southeast Asia and provide them with both a local capability and a global capability and so we see that as a positive. Probably the weakest market right now is Australia. It's a very mixed market. If you're mining and minerals-focused, it's a real struggle. Again, as the big miners reposition, I actually think that will work to our advantage. On top of that, there's a strong business in infrastructure, particularly water infrastructure. And of course, the oil and gas market in Australia remains very strong. And we also have good position in the defense business there. So while I'd characterize the market as mixed, I think Jacobs will be able to do a pretty good job of continuing to grow in Australia as we go forward. Moving now to Slide 14. This is our acquisition slide. Nothing much to mention here that's different. We continue to be focused on China, Australia, South America as markets. Oil and gas, mining and infrastructure are the areas of customer base that we really are excited about, particularly as we want to add some new clients and expand our relationship with existing core clients as best we can. A lot of opportunity out there right now. So as John mentioned, due diligence costs are going to continue to be a headwind into the fourth quarter and probably beyond that. So turning now to Slide 15, this is our kind of commercial. We think this company's a good investment and I think these 4 bullets really help to say why. Our relationship-based business model is relatively unique in the industry and it's working. That 94% repeat business tells us that. Our diversification is also working for us. We've got the second-highest backlog at this moment that we've had in the history of the company. We've got a great balance sheet, $850 million of net cash. So we've got the money to support our expansion and our acquisitions. And of course, our cost position, as far as I can see, is the industry's best. So all in all, I think we're in a wonderful position to continue to grow at that 15% compound or better. And with that, I'll turn it to Amy for questions. Amy?