Jerry P. Rebel
Analyst · Bank of America
Thank you, Linda, and good morning. I'll cover our financial highlights for the quarter before reviewing our updated fiscal year 2012 outlook. All of my comments this morning regarding per share amounts refer to diluted earnings per share. Second quarter earnings were $0.48 per share compared with $0.13 last year. Operating earnings per share, which we define as EPS on a GAAP basis, less gains from refranchising were $0.27 in the quarter versus $0.12 last year. Restructuring charges of approximately $0.02 per share are included in impairment and other charges in Q2 and are reflected in our full year EPS guidance. The improvement in operating EPS before G&A from last year's second quarter breaks down as follows: approximately 50% of the improvement from Jack in the Box franchise cash flow streams, both royalties and rent; and approximately 25% each from Jack in the Box company operations and Qdoba. Average weekly sales for Jack in the Box company restaurants exceeded $30,200 and were up 12.4% in the quarter resulting in part from the 5.6% increase in same-store sales that Linda discussed, as well as the benefit of refranchising activities. Consolidated restaurant operating margins of 15.5% of sales for the quarter was 320 basis points better than last year's second quarter. Jack in the Box margins improved from 12.3% to 15.5%, and Qdoba margins improved from 12.7% to 15.6% in the quarter. The key contributors to the improvement in consolidated margins as compared to last year were, in approximate amounts, sales leverage, 160 basis points; food and packaging costs, 80 basis points; and refranchising, about 70 basis points. The 80 basis point decrease in food and packaging costs resulted from the benefit of price increases and favorable product mix at Jack in the Box, lower promotional activity at Qdoba, as well as a greater proportion of Qdoba company restaurants, all of which more than offset commodity inflation. Commodity inflation of approximately 3% was driven by higher costs for most commodities other than produce and poultry including beef inflation of 3%. Before I review our guidance for the third quarter and full year, I'd like to provide an update to our commodity cost outlook for the remainder of the year. Overall, commodity costs are now expected to increase by approximately 3% to 4% for the full year, which is our prior expectation of approximately 5%. Some key points with respect to our major commodity purchases and where we have coverage. Beef accounts for approximately 20% of our spend and remains the biggest challenge we have in forecasting commodity costs. For the full year, we now expect beef costs to be up approximately 5% to 6% versus our prior expectation of high single-digit inflation, reflecting lower cost for beef 50s. Chicken is about 9% of our spend. We have recently entered into new contracts, fixing the costs through December 2012. Cheese accounts for about 6% of our spend. We have 100% coverage on cheese through the end of June and 50% coverage through the end of fiscal year 2012. Bakery accounts for about 8% of our spend. We have 100% of our bakery needs covered through June and approximately 30% coverage for the July to September timeframe. Now let's move on to the rest of our guidance for the balance of the year. For the third quarter, we expect same-store sales for Jack in the Box company restaurants to increase 3% to 4% lapping a 4.7% increase last year. Systemwide same-store sales for Qdoba are expected to increase 3% to 4% versus a 5.1% increase in the year-ago quarter. I won't repeat all of the full year guidance included in the press release, but here's our current thinking on some of the line items that have changed since our February guidance. Same-store sales are now expected to increase 3.5% to 4.5% at Jack in the Box company restaurants and 3.5% to 4.5% for the Qdoba system. Restaurant operating margin for the full year is now expected to be approximately 14.5% to 15%, depending on same-store sales, commodity inflation and refranchising transactions. SG&A is now anticipated to be in the high 10% range with the increase due to higher expected incentive compensation as a result of our increased restaurant operating margin and EPS guidance for the full year. Operating earnings per share, which we define as diluted earnings per share on a GAAP basis less gains from refranchising, are now expected to range from $1 to $1.15. Included in this amount are $0.02 of restructuring charges we took in the second quarter. However, no additional restructuring charges are reflected in our full year guidance. We've increased our expectations for gains from refranchising to approximately $0.28 to $0.35 per share as compared to approximately $0.78 in fiscal 2011. Operating EPS includes approximately $0.10 to $0.11 of reimage incentive payments to franchisees in fiscal year 2012, of which approximately $0.08 occurred in the first quarter and $0.01 occurred in Q2. Reimage incentive payments in fiscal 2011 were $8.2 million or approximately $0.11 per share. Diluted earnings per share are now expected to range from $1.28 to $1.50 excluding any additional restructuring charges. The restructuring activities currently underway reflect our commitment to reducing our overall cost structure. These activities are intended to help us achieve our G&A target of approximately 3.5% to 4% of systemwide sales. In addition, they are expected to improve our restaurant level margins without negatively impacting our guests. While we anticipate additional restructuring charges during the balance of the year, it is too early to quantify the range. That concludes our prepared remarks. I'd like -- I'd now like to turn the call over to the operator, Stacy, to open it up for questions. Stacy?