Randal J. Freitag
Analyst · UBS
Thank you, Dennis. Last night, we reported income from operations of $335 million or $1.18 per share for the third quarter, while normalized operating EPS grew 14% to $1.06 per share. I'll get to the buy segment results in a bit, but let me start by talking about some of the larger items that impacted the quarter's results starting with the annual review of actuarial assumptions, which we completed during the quarter. The net impact of the assumption review on operating income was a small positive, an additional positive impact on net income. Notable assumption changes included: A reduction in our interest rate assumption or what we refer to as the J curve. The change included resetting the new money rate to current levels and then grading to the ultimate new money rate, which was reduced by 50 basis points over a period of 7 years. Well that's a perfectly good description of what went into the change. It might be more illuminating to talk about the outcome, which is that for the first 3 to 4 years, new money rates essentially follow the forward curve. After that, the forward curve flattens out a bit relative to our assumption. We will obviously continue to assess and review this assumption. But for now, I feel very good about where we are. The total impact of this change was negative $120 million with the majority of the impact in the Life business. A change in our life mortality assumption to reflect mortality performing better than that assumed in our DAC models. This had a positive impact of $105 million. And finally, refinements through variable annuity policyholder behavior assumptions that had a small impact on the annuity results accounted for all of the positive net income impact. Additionally, during the quarter, we had a net benefit on the income tax line primarily from the closing out of several tax audit years. This resulted in a favorable operating earnings impact of $60 million with $54 million appearing in the Other Operations segment and $6 million in the Life business. And finally, in the Other Operations segment, we recorded $25 million of negative items associated with a legal accrual and a restructuring that we undertook during the quarter. Between the review of actuarial assumptions, closing of open tax years and the other items that I noted, there were obviously a number of moving parts in this quarter's operating results. I am very pleased and believe that it speaks to the underlying quality of the balance sheet and business fundamentals that the net impact of all of the changes had a positive impact on the quarter's results. Turning to operating revenue and expenses. Operating revenue growth of 6.5% was impacted by the assumption review. I put normalized revenue growth at 3.5% to 4%, driven by strong equity markets and positive net flows. G&A grew $38 million or 10% from the third quarter of 2011. G&A growth was primarily attributable to the restructuring charge and continuing investments in distribution and technology. With that as a backdrop and looking at key value drivers on a normalized basis, operating return on equity of 11% and book value per share growth in excess of 7% continue to trend a strong performance. Turning to net income. We reported income of $402 million or $1.41 per share. There were a number of items that impacted net income. I will not repeat the detail that we provided in the press release, but I will note very strong performance of our VA hedge program, which contributed $15 million of positive income to the bottom line. Turning to segment results and starting with annuities. Reported earnings for the quarter were $139 million or $148 million when normalized. On a normalized business, ROE in Annuity business was 19% and return on assets came in at 64 basis points, while normalized interest spreads remain stable in the 180-basis point range. All in, another great quarter for the Annuity business. In the Retirement business, earnings were $29 million or $32 million when normalized. On a normalized basis, ROE came in at 12.5%, while ROA was 30 basis points. Consistent with previous guidance, we did see some impact on interest spreads in the Retirement business, with spreads down 8 basis points from the prior period or 5 basis points when you adjust for the impact of alternative investments and prepayment income. Benefiting from continued positive net cash flows, the Retirement business saw strong asset growth in the quarter with the average account values up nearly 9%, which helped offset the headwind of spread compression. Investments in distribution and our technology platform continue to be key drivers in asset and earnings growth in the Retirement business. Turning to Life Insurance. We reported earnings of $154 million or $137 million when normalized. Reported interest spreads were negatively impacted by a number of items. I put normalized spreads at a little above 1.95%, down 3 basis points from the prior quarter. This is consistent with the 10- to 15-basis points spread compression per year that we expect to emerge. Average account buys grew in excess of 5%, while face amount grew a little less than 2%. Of note, the Life business continues to be a strong contributor to our capital management strategy as pricing increases have caused new business levels to decline, freeing up capital for other uses. Group Protection business had a challenging quarter from a bottom line standpoint reporting income from operations of $16 million. Top line performance remains strong with operating revenues up nearly 8% over the prior year quarter, while the nonmedical loss ratio of 75.7% was elevated by both mortality and morbidity with a total impact of $10 million. Obviously, a tough quarter for the Group business, but after analyzing the quarter's results, we do expect that the loss ratio should migrate down into our targeted range in the fourth quarter. While I do believe that the current economic environment is creating more volatility than we are used to seeing, I'm encouraged that when you look at the results averaged over a number of quarters that we do see loss ratios more in line with expectations. Turning to the balance sheet and capital management. As we approach the end of the year, we are getting more clarity on what our risk-based capital ratio will look like. My best estimate is that all else being equal, we should end the year a little below 500%, call it 490% or so. This is 10 to 15 points below where we started the year and is in line with our expectations. Cash at the holding company was just north of $600 million, about $100 million above our targeted level of holding 18 to 24 months of debt service coverage, and we repurchased 4.2 million shares for a total cost of $100 million, bringing the year-to-date total to $400 million. Based on where we are today, we will exceed our initial guidance for $400 million of capital deployment in 2012. In closing, I'm encouraged by our performance in the first 3 quarters of the year. Double-digit EPS growth, growth in book value per share, continued strong ROE performance and aggressive capital management, all speak to our focus on those items that over time should drive shareholder value. With that, let me turn the call over to the operator for questions.