Earnings Labs

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. (LTM)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 18, 2025

$46.84

-3.42%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Third Quarter 2025 LATAM Airlines Group Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Before I turn the call over to management, I'd like to remind you that certain statements in this presentation and during Q&A may relate to future events and expectations and as such, constitute forward-looking statements. Any matters discussed today that are not historical facts, particularly comments regarding the company's future plans, objectives and expected performance or guidance are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on a range of assumptions that LATAM believes are reasonable, but are subject to uncertainties and risks that are discussed in detail in the published 20-F 2025 updated guidance, earnings release, financial statements and related CMF and SEC filings. The company's actual results may differ significantly from those projected or suggested in any forward-looking statements due to a variety of factors, which are discussed in detail in our SEC filings. And if there are any members of the press on the call, please note that for the media, this is a listen-only call. I will now hand the conference over to Ricardo Bottas, Chief Financial Officer. Ricardo, please go ahead.

Ricardo Dourado

Analyst · factors, which are discussed in detail in our SEC filings. And if there are any members of the press on the call, please note that for the media, this is a listen-only call. I will now hand the conference over to Ricardo Bottas, Chief Financial Officer. Ricardo, please go ahead

Hello, everyone, and good morning. Welcome to our third quarter 2025 conference call, and thank you all for joining us today. My name is Ricardo Bottas, and I am the CFO of LATAM Airlines Group. Here with me is Roberto Alvo, our CEO; Andrés del Valle, Corporate Finance Director; and Tori Creighton, Head of Investor Relations. And we will present our highlights and results for the third quarter. I will hand it over to Roberto to share his opening remarks. Once finished, I will present the key operational and financial figures as well as provide other updates.

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · factors, which are discussed in detail in our SEC filings. And if there are any members of the press on the call, please note that for the media, this is a listen-only call. I will now hand the conference over to Ricardo Bottas, Chief Financial Officer. Ricardo, please go ahead

Good morning. Thank you, Ricardo, and thanks to all for being here today. This month, 3 years ago, LATAM emerged from financial restructuring. This period was one of learning, designing and executing. LATAM defined a blueprint that has a collection of essential elements we needed to excel. This blueprint was implemented and is working. The group's network is the most expansive in the region, and our loyalty program is by far the largest and most valued. No one else can connect South America within the region and to the world, reward loyalty and provide choice to customers as LATAM Group can. However, these results are the product of more than a co-branded credit card and a map of routes. At LATAM, we are obsessed with execution. Every day, in every interaction, we strive to be better, to depart on time, standard zero on every flight, to improve on what we do, seek and find cost-saving opportunities for each of our activities, to make sure we deliver what was promised to the customer at every interaction and to provide the care and respect that each one of them deserves as they entrust their journey to LATAM. We have made considerable progress, but are not satisfied. I believe we can do better. Looking forward, we must ensure that we remain disciplined, disciplined in execution and disciplined in controlling costs. At the center of all of this is our people, a group of more than 40,000 employees who care about and love what they do every day. People who believe in what they do and what it represents. They are the engine and the spirit that drives LATAM Group forward, and the most important commitment is to them, making sure that they feel that every day it is worth being part of the LATAM family. As we look into the future, I'm confident that we can continue the journey of improvement and deliver on purpose that we have, which is elevating every single journey. Thank you very much. Now back to Ricardo for a description of how we are achieving profitable growth, improving the quality of our traffic, keeping high customer satisfaction and maintaining our cost under control.

Ricardo Dourado

Analyst · factors, which are discussed in detail in our SEC filings. And if there are any members of the press on the call, please note that for the media, this is a listen-only call. I will now hand the conference over to Ricardo Bottas, Chief Financial Officer. Ricardo, please go ahead

Thank you, Roberto. Please join me on Slide 3. This quarter, LATAM Group continues to show the strength of its strategy, its unmatched network footprint, focus on disciplined operational and commercial execution as well as product improvement. In terms of operations, LATAM Group transported over 22.9 million passengers, reinforcing its role as the leading airline group in South America. Capacity grew by 9.3% year-over-year with healthy load factors of 85.4% on a consolidated basis. The group is seeing consistently high levels of customer satisfaction, increased customer preference, especially in the premium segment and sustained customer loyalty. LATAM translated this operational performance into financial results, driven by an 8.4% increase in passenger unit revenues while keeping unit costs broadly stable. Adjusted operating margin expanded to 18.1%, while adjusted EBITDAR reached $1.15 billion during the quarter, and net income totaling $379 million. During this quarter, LATAM executed its second share repurchase program for a total of $433 million with the company's disciplined approach to capital allocation. During this quarter, LATAM Airlines Group signed a major agreement for an acquisition of up to 74 Embraer E2 aircraft. Moving to the next slide about the fleet and this acquisition and the transaction. The E2 will indeed enhance LATAM Group affiliates' regional connectivity in South America and represent an opportunity for our network to open up to 35 new destinations. They also offer a 30% improvement in fuel efficiency per seat compared to previous generation aircraft, reinforcing the group's commitment to sustainability and cost discipline. In total, LATAM Group will receive 24 E2s with 12 deliveries scheduled for the fourth quarter of 2026 and the remaining 12, in 2027. With this addition, LATAM's order book now exceeds 140 aircraft through 2030, supporting the group's long-term growth and fleet modernization strategy. Initial deliveries are set to…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Guilherme Mendes with JPMorgan.

Guilherme Mendes

Analyst · JPMorgan

Congrats on another pretty strong results. My question is on the international front. When compared to Brazil domestic and Spanish-speaking countries, it looks like the past performance was relatively weaker, although still growing on a year-over-year basis. Can you share more details on how international is tracking, maybe on a per-region basis, which other routes have been pressuring the overall results and which are doing relatively better?

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · JPMorgan

So we have seen, in general, stable and healthy demand in most of the international segments. I would say that South America to U.S. is a little bit softer than what we used to see in the last few months. And this is, in our view, linked to people probably avoiding going to the U.S. and moving themselves a little bit into other regions. Also the northern part of South America, the regional traffic, which is international flights on the northern part, is a little bit softer as well. But in general, nothing that we have seen that is worrisome or concerning with respect to the level and the quality of the demand. So in that sense, we remain confident on the prospects for the remainder of the year.

Guilherme Mendes

Analyst · JPMorgan

Very clear, Roberto. When you say softer into the U.S., is it more leisure related or even corporate related?

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · JPMorgan

No. This is more leisure related.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mike Linenberg with Deutsche Bank.

Michael Linenberg

Analyst · Mike Linenberg with Deutsche Bank

I have a couple here. I guess, Roberto, can you just update us on this measure in Brazil to potentially force airlines to offer up a free bag? Is that just domestic? Is that domestic and international? And where is that in the legislative process right now?

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Mike Linenberg with Deutsche Bank

A few weeks ago, a couple of weeks ago, the lower chamber in Brazil passed a law to allow basically passengers to carry a bag without being charged and also select seat without charge on seat that have no distinction in terms of space. This, as the law was passed, was for both domestic and international flights, it affects eventually therefore, domestic and international carriers into Brazil. The law is -- needs to go to the Senate. It has not been presented at the Senate floor at this point in time, and we have no clarity if that would happen and when it will happen. So for the time being, that still has the second step. Ultimately, presidential veto is also something that the Brazilian constitution allows for laws like this. So we will see.

Michael Linenberg

Analyst · Mike Linenberg with Deutsche Bank

The reason I ask is, and you mentioned international, is that -- all right, domestic is one thing, but international, from the perspective, I know at least from the U.S., they may view it as a potential tax or additional cost that's unilateral and therefore, in violation of the bilateral. So I just wonder how they implement it internationally when international carriers have different ways in how they price their product and obviously are protected by the bilateral arrangements between Brazil and those countries.

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Mike Linenberg with Deutsche Bank

Yes. I completely agree with you, Michael. And of course, LATAM does not support the passing of the law, and we have together with the IATA and ABEAR in Brazil been making very clear and explaining the impact of this potential measure. This is not good clearly for the industry -- airline industry in Brazil and I think -- I believe has the potential of ending up with higher fares for passengers that fly whether into Brazil or outside or coming to Brazil. So I think that at an industry level, we are making a lot of effort in making sure that everybody understands the impact that this has on traffic and on the industry, and we're completely sure that this would not be a positive measure for us all.

Michael Linenberg

Analyst · Mike Linenberg with Deutsche Bank

Great. And then just my second on capital allocation. And this is Roberto, to you or Ricardo, how you think about it longer term? You've had a nice balance. Obviously -- the dividend is statutory. But you pay the dividend. You've been paying down debt. You've also been buying back stock. As we think about the sort of various levers going forward, should we expect to see, say, regular reductions in shares outstanding? Or was that more of just an opportunistic initiative on your part?

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Mike Linenberg with Deutsche Bank

Thanks, Mike. So first of all, I mean, as we think about capitalization, do remember that the development of the business and how we see and foresee opportunities for growth, is the priority. So that will always take over other potential decisions. At this point in time, we believe we have done a balanced mix of initiatives, and we remain very close to the target that we have in terms of financial policy. So we're content with what we have done during 2025. Going forward, looking forward, I think we will see -- I mean, this is a Board decision. Ultimately, the dividend payout in Chile per law is a shareholders' meeting, a shareholder decision, which will happen in April. But all options for capital allocation and growth investment remain open. And as we progress in the next few months, the company will, for sure, explain to the market how do we continue depending on our results and of course, the situation in the region and the opportunities we may see.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Gabriel Rezende with Itau BBA.

Gabriel Rezende

Analyst · Gabriel Rezende with Itau BBA

Congrats on these very strong results. I would like to follow up on your comments regarding the investments and the efforts you have been putting into bringing a more premium experience to the customers. And just trying to understand how relevant it has been so far in terms of your revenue growth as well as your profitability. So if you could maybe provide some color on how relevant these premium revenue are at this point? You mentioned that it has grown by 15% year-on-year. So just trying to understand how much it represents out of the total passenger revenue at this point? And how much could it represent in the future as you bring more efforts into this?

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Gabriel Rezende with Itau BBA

Yes. Thanks for the message -- the question. So first, I think it's important to remark what is what we're experiencing. First, yes, premium revenue is growing faster than capacity. And a relevant portion of the improvement that we see in the RASK for Spanish-speaking domestic Brazil and to an extent, international is due to a change of mix where we have a larger proportion and portion of premium revenue coming from there. And that's both corporate and as well, let me call it, high leisure, I don't know if that's a context or the concept in English, revenue that we're seeing. Now this is a function of, in my mind, 2 things. Most importantly, it's impeccable execution and care in every interaction that we made for the customer. Secondly, it's improvements in products, as you probably saw in the presentation, the Lima Lounge, premium economy in the international and other things. But as we have, in a way, decommoditized, if you want, our product, we have focused very much on experience. And that, I think, has brought a willingness to pay that customers probably had that we were simply not exploiting because our product probably was not as good as they were expecting. And now we are, I think, very clearly seeing the impact that this has in our results.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Felipe Ballevona with Santander.

Felipe Ballevona

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

Can you hear me?

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

Yes, we can.

Felipe Ballevona

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

Great. Awesome. So well, first of all, congrats on the strong results. I have a couple of questions here. First, following actually on the first question of the Q&A. What was the reason behind the growth slowdown in international traffic recorded in October? Is international traffic being dragged down by Colombia? The last couple of data points of the [ IDOCB ] that have showed a slowdown in your international, not only in the domestic as has been the case for the previous months, but also in the international front. And also my second question, if you have any news regarding a potential buyback?

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

Yes. Felipe, so first of all, our international Colombia operation is very small as compared to the total international traffic. We have not seen, in particular, an impact on international travel in and out of Colombia, and that it's very unsubstantial to the size of our traffic, particularly out of Brazil and secondly, Chile and then Peru. No, I guess this is a function, as I explained in the beginning, softer demand into the U.S., particularly on leisure traffic. We believe that this is linked to people probably deciding to go elsewhere and probably spending more time within their countries and to the region. But we don't see this as a fundamental slowdown in demand. It's probably assigned to more external factors than that. So that's the main reason, okay? Having said that, do remember that we expect that our ASK growth for the whole of 2025 is going to be around 10% to 10.5% increase in capacity, which is a significant increase in capacity, and that's a reflection of a good level of demand that we see to operate this.

Felipe Ballevona

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

That's very good color. And do you have any news regarding a potential buyback or...

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

Sorry.

Felipe Ballevona

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

You're fine.

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Felipe Ballevona with Santander

As I said before, at this point in time, we are close to the financial policy targets that we have. Going forward, we will see what the Board decides and do remember that the company has a range of alternatives to allocate capital and also be mindful that the first priority will always be growing the business. And after that, any excess that we believe should go back to shareholders, the company has a few tools to decide on how to do it. So rest -- at least, stay tuned, eventually.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Jens Spiess with Morgan Stanley.

Jens Spiess

Analyst · Jens Spiess with Morgan Stanley

Congrats on the very strong results. Just wanted to know if you could provide any context on next year, how is the -- like the order book -- the booking curve looking like? And also how much do you expect to grow in terms of ASKs next year based on your fleet plan, that would be very helpful. And if you could remind us how many leases do you have expiring next year, I would very much appreciate that.

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Jens Spiess with Morgan Stanley

Yes. Jens, so as we explained in the press release and Ricardo mentioned here, we expect high single-digit ASK growth, or that's our goal for 2026. We will provide more detailed guidance on 2026 in a few more weeks. You asked about -- the first part of the question, fleet. And by the way, yes, fleet. So we have on Slide 4 of the presentation, you can see 41 arrivals of A320 family and 7 E2 aircraft, plus 3 wide-bodies. We have relatively few leases. I don't have the correct figure here, the right figure, but we have the option to, of course, extend them if you want to. And our expectation at this point in time is to end up the year with a total fleet of just over 400 aircraft -- around 410. You can see that as well in the press release, okay? And -- sorry, I'm just looking at a note here they're sending me. Yes. And last thing, they just reminded me to make you feel comfortable that we have the fleet we need to grow for what we're expecting next year. So I don't expect -- we don't expect that we would need to make changes in our fleet plan for the capacity we have planned. The first part of the question you asked me, now, remember, is booking curve into the beginning of the year. Very early still, particularly on domestic markets, the percentage of booked seats is very low. But what we're seeing initially for the first couple of months of the year looks in the current trend that we have seen in third quarter and that we expect for the rest of the year.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ewald Stark with BICE.

Ewald Stark Bittencourt

Analyst · Ewald Stark with BICE

I want to know if you can provide any color behind what is driving the lower percentage of hedged fuel during this quarter? Especially I would like to focus on, is anything on booking going forward that is driving this lower percentage of hedged fuel, or maybe you're looking something different about forecast of oil?

Unknown Executive

Analyst · Ewald Stark with BICE

Yes, thanks for the question. If you look at the press release, it's nothing that different for what we usually do. You have about a 47% for Q4 of this year and then 33% for Q1. And of course, as soon as we approach the next quarters, we will have, of course, consistent with the policy, an increase the fuel hedge. But I wouldn't say that this is any different than what you have seen in the past. It's a very standard, I think, coverage that we have today for fuel price, nothing that really deviates from the policy.

Ewald Stark Bittencourt

Analyst · Ewald Stark with BICE

Financial statements say that you have a 26% hedge fuel for the next 12 months. Starting from first quarter of 2026, every quarter is below 30%.

Unknown Executive

Analyst · Ewald Stark with BICE

Yes. If you look at the detail on the earnings release, there's more detail here. I think at the financial, that's sort of on a weighted average of what's it going forward. But here, you have the actual percentages covered for every quarter. Again, 47% for Q4, 33% for Q1. So that's a difference you were look at the financials here. Then as this is as of November 14, 2025, it's more updated. I think, of course, the financials, they call for, I think, September 30, but this is -- you have the most updated vision of the current portfolio, as of November 14.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Guilherme Mendes with JPMorgan.

Guilherme Mendes

Analyst · Guilherme Mendes with JPMorgan

Regarding the pilot strike in Chile, can you share some potential -- expected impact for the fourth quarter? I understand it should be material, but I just wanted to hear your thoughts on what could we expect from this negotiation.

Roberto Alvo Milosawlewitsch

Analyst · Guilherme Mendes with JPMorgan

Thank you, Guilherme. At this point in time, we have no clarity of the potential impact. So we will update that if necessary at an appropriate time.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Ricardo Bottas for closing remarks.

Ricardo Dourado

Analyst · factors, which are discussed in detail in our SEC filings. And if there are any members of the press on the call, please note that for the media, this is a listen-only call. I will now hand the conference over to Ricardo Bottas, Chief Financial Officer. Ricardo, please go ahead

I would like to thank you all to participating in today's call and remind you that we will have our Investor Day again on December 9. So we would love to have all of you participating on that opportunity to get more information from the company and the additional updates. Thank you all, and have a good day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.