Kevin Farr
Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities
Thank you, Bryan, and good morning, everyone. Our last call and in our February Analyst Meeting, we said we aim to deliver consistent growth by continuing the momentum in our core brands business, optimizing our entertainment partnerships, building new franchises and working to expand our international footprint. In addition to that, we said we want to build on the progress we've made in improving our operating margins through sustaining the gross margin and delivering another round of cost savings. And finally, we said we expect to generate significant cash flow and continue our disciplined, opportunistic and value-enhancing cash deployment. While recognizing we’re very early in the year, our solid first quarter results build upon the progress we made towards our profitability goal in the face of a challenging cost environment and a continuation of a difficult economic climate. First quarter, our portfolio approach was once again proven to be successful with worldwide revenues up 8%, reflecting solid growth both domestically and internationally and in core brands, entertainment licensing and our new franchise, Monster High. In addition to revenue success, we improved our gross margins by 60 basis points to 49.7% as we maintain strong pricing discipline and continued to seek efficiencies in our supply chain. Starting on Page 5 of our slide deck, you can see our worldwide gross sales are up 8%. Adjusting for Easter timing, we continue to feel good about sell-through trends domestically, as well as internationally. Based on 2011 NPD data for the first two months, we continued to experience good momentum in the U.S. as the toy industry, overall, is growing, and we are gaining share. As expected, retail inventories are up when compared to what we were very light levels this time last year. We believe this is largely due to the positive [ph] momentum we've had at retail and also due to the timing of Easter holiday. Overall, we remain comfortable with inventory levels. Let's turn to Page 6 and 7 of the slide presentation to see the segment perspective on sales. Worldwide sales for Mattel Girls & Boys brand segment were up 15% for the quarter. Barbie sales continue to improve, driven by our Ken campaign, core fashion lines and the introduction of our new family platform. Hot Wheels continued to be driven by increased worldwide demand in diecast cars in its new Revs-Ups line. Monster High and Disney Princesses drove growth in our Other Girls business. Growth in our Entertainment business was primarily attributable to sales in toys geared to the Cars, Toy Story 2 and Green Lantern. Worldwide sales for Fisher-Price brands were down 2% for the quarter. Our Fisher-Price core business, including Baby Gear, was flat for the quarter. Fisher-Price Friends was also flat, excluding the discontinued Sesame Street license, with solid performances in Thomas, Dora and Mickey Mouse Clubhouse. For Fisher-Price overall, we saw some softness domestically but are very encouraged to see growth internationally. American Girl has continued to deliver strong results with sales in the first quarter up 4%. Our Girl of the Year, Kanani, and our popular My American Girl line was off to a strong start, and we see good momentum in our retail operations. Our International business, as seen on Page 8, continues to improve with growth across all regions for the quarter. We saw considerable strength in Latin America, particularly with Brazil and Mexico, and continue to be encouraged with performance in Europe in light of the economic climate. Asia Pacific continues to deliver strong double-digit growth, although off a much lower base. Now let's review the P&L, starting on Page 9 of the slide presentation. For the quarter, gross margin was up to 49.7%, an improvement of 60 basis points from last year. The favorability was primarily due to pricing, as we continue to be challenged by an inflationary cost market. Looking forward, we have executed a high-single price -- single-digit price increase effective April 1, 2011. And we continued to closely monitor the commodity markets and look for efficiencies in our supply chain and manufacturing facilities. As seen on Page 10 of the slide presentation, for the quarter, selling, general, administrative expenses increased approximately $42 million to $335 million. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A expense was 35.1%, up 190 basis points compared to the prior year's rate of 33.2%. As expected, more than half of the year-to-year dollar increase in SG&A were $26 million as due to higher litigation and legal settlement-related costs. The remainder is primarily due to employee-related costs, included merit, as well as the impact of the expansion of American Girl retail stores. For your reference, we've updated and included a historical trends summary of our incremental MGA and recall-related legal and settlement costs in the appendix to the slide presentation. In addition to the $18 million of incremental cost you see on the slide, we recorded a $7.5 million charge in the first quarter related for full settlement of litigation related to the Gunther-Wahl production lawsuit, which was summarized in our 2010 10-K. Page 11 of the presentation summarized the performance of our two-year Global Cost Leadership initiative and our early read on the timing of what is now called Operational Excellence 2.0 cost savings Program. As you know, we exceeded our stated commitment on the Global Cost Leadership program by delivering cumulative net savings of approximately $212 million, equating to a run rate of $225 million coming into 2011. We have already recognized Operational Excellence 2.0 gross savings of $5 million in the quarter, with the goal of $150 million of sustainable cumulative savings to be achieved by the end of 2012. The primary drivers of these savings are expected to come from $75 million of legal expense reductions and $75 million of structural savings executed through a handful of important initiatives, some of which are outlined at the bottom of the page. These initiatives are designed to simplify and align our business. While some of the positive impact will be seen this year, the majority of the benefits will be generated in 2012, giving the timing of investment costs and the timelines required to complete the more complex initiatives. Turning to Page 12, operating income in the first quarter was $36.8 million or 3.9% of net sales, down 120 basis points compared to last year's first quarter. While our business fundamentals continue to improve with higher sales and gross margins, higher legal spending and the impact of legal settlement activities discussed earlier resulted in a year-to-year decline. Turning to Page 13. Earnings per share for the quarter was $0.05. Higher sales and gross margins were offset by higher legal and settlement-related activities, which impacted operating income. In addition, higher interest expense more than offset a lower tax rate in the quarter. We discussed cash flow on Page 14. Cash flow for operations for the quarter was $42 million compared to $245 million in the first quarter of last year, driven primarily by our decision not to factor domestic receivables at the end of last year, resulting in incremental collections of $300 million in the first quarter. Capital expenditures for the quarter were $45 million, up $21 million from last year, reflecting the timing of tooling investments and the expansion of our manufacturing plants. For the year, we expect to spend about $165 million to $175 million in capital as we continue to invest to increase capacity at our own manufacturing plants. We expand our retail operations at American Girl and make strategic IT investments to improve our effectiveness and efficiency. The improvement in operational cash flow was partially offset by our capital deployments initiatives, namely our share repurchases and our quarterly dividend payment. Our cash on hand at the end of the quarter was $1.1 billion, up $178 million from the prior year's first quarter, primarily due to a higher beginning cash balance of $1.3 billion this year versus $1.1 billion last year. Inventories were up $178 million compared to last year. The increase in inventories was expected given low inventories last year and our need to improve customer service, the higher cost base due to the rising input costs and the build of products to support the upcoming Cars 2 and Green Lantern theatrical releases. We expect inventories to continue to be higher in the first half of this year, driven by our push to improve our customer service levels to support POS momentum and new entertainment properties, as well as higher input cost. We continue to have a strong balance sheet and a business that generates strong cash flow, which we deploy to enhance shareholder value. In addition to repurchasing 4 million shares of our stock in the first quarter, today, we announced our second quarter dividend of $0.23, reflecting the annualized dividend of $0.92 per share, which represents an 11% increase to 2010's annual dividend. So in summary, we are pleased with our solid quarterly results but recognize we are in the early stages of the year. Our fundamentals are strong, our management experience, and we remain keenly focused on consistent value creation for our shareholders. And as Bob mentioned, we believe we can achieve this by executing our three overarching global strategic priorities: to deliver consistent growth by continuing the momentum of our core brands; by optimizing entertainment partnerships, building new franchises, and working to expand and leverage our international footprint; to build on the progress we've made on improving our operating margins through sustaining the gross margin and delivering another round of cost savings; and to generate significant cash flow and continue our disciplined, opportunistic and value-enhancing deployment. That concludes my review of the financial results now. We'd like to open the call to questions. Operator?