Kevin Farr
Analyst · Needham
Thank you, Bryan, and good morning, everyone. Recognizing we're just entering our peak season, our strong second quarter and first half results continue to validate the progress we're making towards our profitability goals in the face of a challenging cost and economic environment. We remain focused on delivering consistent growth by continuing the momentum in our core business, working to expand our international footprint, optimizing our entertainment partnerships and building new franchises. We see top line growth as an important piece for profit growth strategy. In addition, we remain committed to improving our operating margins through sustaining our gross margin and delivering another round of cost savings. As we continue to achieve these priorities, we expect to generate significant cash flow and continue our disciplined, opportunistic and value-enhancing cash deployment. In the quarter, we continued to see success across our entire brand in geographic portfolio with worldwide revenues up 15%. The strong performance was anchored by solid growth, both domestically and internationally, and in entertainment licenses, core brands and our new franchise, Monster High. In addition to momentum in our top line revenues, we're continuing to ensure sales gains are translating into profit increases. Central to this strategy is proactive [ph] management of gross margins. Gross margins continue to meet expectations and were essentially flat for the quarter. And we are pleased with this result given the strong mix of entertainment properties. For the first half of the year, gross margins are up slightly despite a challenging input cost environment. The key drivers have been both the implementation of a price increase this quarter and supply chain efficiencies realized through our Global Cost Leadership and Operating Excellence 2.0 cost-saving programs. Starting on Page 5 of our slide deck, you can see our worldwide gross sales are up 15% for the quarter. We continue to feel good about sell-through trends domestically, as well as internationally. And based on year-to-date 2011 NPD data, the U.S. toy industry continues to grow, and we continue to gain share. As expected, retail inventories are higher than a year ago, but the primary drivers here remain like inventory levels from a year ago and supporting our momentum in consumer takeaway. For the quarter, retail inventory levels came down on a percentage basis versus the quarter and are in line with historical averages. Overall, we remain comfortable with retail inventory levels as we enter the second half of the year. Let's turn to Page 6 and 7 of the slide presentation to see the segment perspective on revenues. Worldwide sales from Mattel Girls & Boys Brands segment were up a robust 22% for the quarter. As Bob outlined earlier, our Girls business really had a strong quarter. Barbie sales momentum continues, driven by our core fashion and I CAN BE... lines and the introduction of our new Barbie Family platform. Monster High and Disney Princesses continue to drive growth in our Other Girls business. On the boy side, the strong growth in our Entertainment business was primarily attributable to Cars 2, which is meeting our high expectations. We had excellent support from our retail partners, and we have seen strong sell-in and initial sell-through. Green Lantern provided a boost to sales are meeting expectations. In the Wheels category, while Hot Wheels performance for the quarter was down slightly due to strong retailer support of Cars 2, we continue to see strong demand at Diecast cars and our new Rev-Ups line. In the Games category, we saw strong growth in our UNO brand in the quarter. Worldwide sales for Fisher-Price Brands were up 4% for the quarter. Our Fisher-Price core business including Baby Gear was up for the quarter, driven by solid results in our Baby Gear, Infant, Preschool and Boy categories. Fisher-Price Friends is down in the quarter with decline being driven by the discontinued Sesame Street licensing. Normalizing for that, Fisher-Price Friends sales will be up in the quarter driven by Thomas, our new license agreement with DreamWorks and Sing-a-ma-jigs!. American Girl continued to deliver strong results from sales in the quarter up 13%. The second quarter results benefited slightly from the earlier Easter timing shift. And overall, the brand is doing very well as we are seeing solid performances in both our direct and retail channels. Our International business you see on Page 8 had a standout quarter. All of our regions including Europe, Latin America and Asia-Pacific had strong revenue growth in the quarter. We saw a considerable strength in Latin America, particularly with Brazil and Mexico. And we continue to be encouraged with performance in Europe in light of the economic climate. Also, Asia-Pacific continues to deliver strong growth, although often much smaller based. Now let's review the P&L starting on Page 9 of the slide presentation. For the quarter, gross margin was 47.9%, down slightly by 20 basis points from last year. The quarter was impacted by higher input costs and royalty expenses associated with the increased revenues in our licensed entertainment properties, which was almost completely offset by our pricing action and supply chain efficiencies as we continue to proactively manage our business in this inflationary cost market. As seen on Page 10 of the slide presentation, for the quarter, selling, general, administrative expenses increased by approximately $12 million, or 4% to $331 million. As you can see, we got good leverage on our sales gains for the quarter. As a percentage of net sales, SG&A expense was 28.5%, down 280 basis points, compared to the prior-year's rate of 31.3%. Looking at the cost drivers for the quarter, foreign exchange accounted for almost 2/3 of SG&A increase in the quarter. To help offset those increased expenses, we are starting to see the benefits of Operational Excellence 2.0, which contributed $7 million in gross SG&A savings in the quarter and $10 million for the first half. Other benefits in the quarter were lower incentive and equity compensation expense and reduced legal settlement spending, which dropped $4 million year-over-year in the second quarter. For your reference, we continue to include an updated historical trend summary of our incremental legal and settlement costs in the appendix of the slide presentation. Page 11 of the presentation summarizes the performance of our 2-year Global Cost Leadership initiative and a summary of our progress on our new initiative, Operating Excellence 2.0. We are making good progress on this new initiative and have already recognized Operational Excellence 2.0 growth savings of $9 million in the quarter. As I mentioned earlier, $7 million of the savings are in SG&A line, but areas of focus also include gross margin and advertising. Our goal continues to be realized, the $150 million in sustainable accumulative savings by the end of 2012. The primary drivers of these savings continue to be expected to come from a reduction of $75 million of legal spending and $75 million of structural savings executed through a handful of important initiatives. Some of these initiatives are outlined at the bottom of the page. The structural savings initiatives are designed to simplify and align our business. While some of the positive impacts we've seen this year, the majority of the benefits will be we generated in 2012 given the timing of investment costs and the time lines required to complete the initiatives. With regard to legal expense reductions, we remain committed to achieving these savings. We'll be better informed on timing once the judge rules on the post trial motions, and we determine our next steps in the ongoing MGA litigation. As you can see from the slide in our appendix, spending is significantly reduced when we're not preparing for or at trial. Turning to Page 12, operating income in the second quarter was $109.3 million, up 57% for the quarter. Operating income was 9.4% of net sales, up 260 basis points compared with last year's second quarter. As you can see, our business fundamentals continue to improve with good sales momentum, strong gross margins and continued focus on cost savings initiatives. Turning to Page 13, earnings per share for the quarter was $0.23, up 64% versus the prior year. The quarter's improvement was due to higher sales and operating profit, along with the lower share count and the benefit of foreign currency. We discussed cash flow on Page 14. For the first 6 months of the year, cash flow used for operations was $227 million, compared to $372 million last year, driven primarily by our decision not to factor domestic receivables at the end of last year, resulting in incremental collections of $300 million in the first quarter. Year-to-date, capital expenditures were $102 million, up $45 million from last year, reflecting investments to expand our manufacturing plants, American Girl retail expansion and higher purchases of tooling due to timing. For the year, we continue to expect to spend about $165 million to $175 million in capital as we continue to invest to increase capacity at our own manufacturing facilities, expand our retail operations at American Girl and make strategic IT investments to improve our effectiveness and efficiency. Year-to-date, cash flow used for financing activities and other increased due to our capital deployment initiatives, namely our share repurchases and our quarterly dividend payment, as well as the scheduled pay down of long-term debt maturities. Our cash on hand at the end of the first 6 months was $418 million, down $127 million from the prior year. As expected, inventories were up $186 million compared to last year. The increase in inventories was equally attributable to the higher cost base due to rising input costs, supporting growth, which reflects our momentum in consumer takeaway and our need to improve customer service levels versus 2010. We expect inventories to continue to be higher in the third quarter driven by our push to continue to improve our customer service levels to support POS momentum, as well as the impact of higher input costs. However, we expect that the magnitude of these increases to be more moderate year-over-year. On capital deployment, we continue to have a strong balance sheet and a business that generates strong cash flow, which we utilize to enhance shareholder value. Through the end of June, we've repurchased approximately 9.8 million shares of our stock, with 5.8 million in the second quarter alone. In addition, we announced our third quarter dividend of $0.23, reflecting the annualized dividend of $0.92 per share, which represents an 11% increase to 2010's annual dividend. So in summary, we're pleased with our strong quarterly results and recognize we have more work to do since we are just entering our peak season. We continue to have good momentum and strong fundamentals. As Bob mentioned, we believe we are well-positioned to continue to create total shareholder value by executing our overarching global strategic priorities. First, to deliver consistent growth by continuing momentum in our core brands, working to expand and leverage our international footprint, optimizing entertainment partnerships and building new franchises. Second, to build on the promise we made on improving our operating margins to sustaining the gross margin and delivering another round of cost savings. And third, to generate significant cash flow and continue our disciplined, opportunistic and value-enhancing deployment. That concludes my review of the financial results. Now we'd like to open the call to questions. Operator?