Earnings Labs

Mechanics Bank (MCHB)

Q4 2019 Earnings Call· Mon, Jan 27, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the HomeStreet, Inc. Year-End and Fourth Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions] Please note, today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mark Mason, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead sir.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Hello, and thank you for joining us for our year-end and fourth quarter 2019 earnings call. Before we begin, I’d like to remind you that our detailed earnings release was furnished this morning to the SEC on Form 8-K and is available on our website at ir.homestreet.com under the News & Events link. In addition, a recording and a transcript will be available at the same address following our call. On today’s call, we will make some forward-looking statements. Any statement that isn’t a description of historical fact is probably forward-looking and is subject to many risks and uncertainties. Our actual performance may fall short of our expectations, or we may take actions different from those we currently anticipate. Those factors include conditions affecting our financial performance, the actions, findings or requirements of our regulators, our ability to meet cost-savings expectations or to realize those cost savings at the pace we expect, our ability to pay or increase future dividends or implement future share repurchase programs, the novelty of the recently adopted current expected losses or CECL accounting standard which replace the allowance for loan and lease losses accounting standard coupled with our relative inexperience with a newer standard; and general economic conditions such as declining interests rate environment and flat or inverted yield curve that affect our net interest margin, borrower credit performance, loan origination volumes, and the value of mortgage servicing rights. Other factors that may cause actual results to differ from our expectations or that may cause us to deviate from our current plans are identified in our detailed earnings release and in our SEC filings, including our most recent Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, as well as our various other SEC filings. Additionally, information on any non-GAAP financial measures referenced in today’s call, including a reconciliation…

Mark Ruh

Analyst

Thank you, Mark. Good morning, everyone and thank you again for joining us. Our consolidated net income, which includes the results of both continuing and discontinued operations for the fourth quarter of 2019 was $11 million or $0.45 per diluted share, compared to net income of $13.8 million or $0.55 per diluted share for the third quarter of 2019. Net income from continuing operations for the fourth quarter of 2019 was $13.1 million or $0.54 per diluted share, compared to net income from continuing operations for the third quarter of 2019 of $13.7 million or $0.54 per diluted share. Core net income from continuing operations for the fourth quarter of 2019 was $14.9 million or $0.61 per diluted share, compared with core net income from continuing operations for the third quarter of 2019 of $14.3 million or $0.57 per diluted share. Excluded from core net income from continuing operations for the fourth quarter of 2019 were approximately $128 million of restructuring-related expenses net of tax. The decrease in net income from continuing operations was primarily due to a decrease in net interest income and a decrease in non-interest income, offset by a decrease in non-interest expense and reversal of provision for credit losses during the fourth quarter of 2019. Net interest income decreased by $1.6 million to 44 - $45.5 million in the fourth quarter of 2019 from $47.1 million in the third quarter, primarily due to a decline in our net interest margin and a decrease in loans held for investment. The rate and volume of loans held for investment decreased during the quarter, despite record commercial real estate loan originations, as a result of higher loan prepayments driven by operating in a lower interest rate environment during the quarter. Loans held for investment decreased $66.7 million to $5.1…

Mark Mason

Analyst

Thank you, Mark. On our second quarter 2019 call, we laid out a plan, established by management and informed by our efficiency consultants to improve our operating efficiency and reduce our cost structure to reflect our simplified business model and lower growth expectations. The plan identified a range of expense reduction opportunities, many of which involve substantial organization, operational, technology, real estate and personnel changes. These include simplifying the organizational structure by reducing management levels and management redundancy, consolidating similar functions currently residing in multiple organizations. Renegotiating where possible major contracts primarily technology, identifying and eliminating where possible redundant or unnecessary systems and services and adjusting staffing in turn to recognize the significant changes in work volumes and company direction. We anticipate these expense savings to be primarily centered in continued decreases in salaries over the near-term. Potential decreases in occupancy expense over the medium-term and decreases in information technology cost over the longer term as contracts expire or are replaced. Based on that plan we established targets for return on average assets, return on average tangible equity and efficiency ratio by the third quarter of this year. These targets were made with the assumption that our net interest margin and the size of our loan portfolio would remain relatively stable. Given the unanticipated decline in the size of our loan portfolio and ongoing reduction in our net interest margin, we no longer feel confident that we will produce the revenue on which those targets were based. The targets also assumed expense cuts would occur as initially projected by our consultants as headcount was reduced, office space was repurposed and IT contracts were renegotiated. However, now that our consultants have completed a more detailed analysis of major functions, we no longer believe that we will be able to achieve these…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Today's first question comes from Jeff Rulis with D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Thanks, good morning.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Good morning.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

I guess, congrats on the addition of Jim Mitchell to the Board, certainly a well-respected banker in the region. I guess, I am curious as to the conversation with the Board since we're nearly a year since that kind of the undergoing a significant strategic change and really the Chairman in the release kind of signaled the next stage in the company's evolution, if you could just – what you can share on that conversation with the Board and maybe how that has evolved?

Mark Mason

Analyst

Well, more specifically, what is your, what is your question, Jeff? The conversation about the status of our change in strategy? I just want to make sure I answer your question.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Yes, you referenced kind of a Board refresh. I know there is some retirements there. But in the framework of the release on Jim's appointment again entering the next stage, just, it's a high level - how has the conversation shifted from say, a year ago today with the Board?

Mark Mason

Analyst

Sure. If you look at the makeup of our Board, we over the last year and this year have the anticipated retirement of several Directors. And in fact, all three of the Directors who otherwise would have been up for renomination and reelection all exceed our maximum age limit and accordingly are not anticipated to be renominated. As a consequence, we have been actively involved in a search for new directors to refresh the Board to further our diversification goals and our business goals and if you look at the directors that we have added over the last two years and most recently with Jim Mitchell, we have addressed many of those goals with these appointments. One, with the appointment of Mark Patterson, a little farther back, strong investor buyside experience in particular with HomeStreet. Two, most recent additions with Sandy Cavanaugh and Nancy Pellegrino helping address our diversity goals, both individuals with strong executive bank management experience. And with Jim Mitchell increasing the Bank's commercial banking experience and in particular community and commercial banking experience in our primary market. And if you look at the individuals who we anticipate retiring at the end of their terms, we are losing substantial expertise, commercial banking, general business and real estate development experience. And so, the Board is very focused on the skill sets and its refreshment and we are pretty happy to have attracted these really high quality individuals, in particular I am tickled by the addition of Jim Mitchell recently, not only is it - does it speak well of the Board's search and decisioning process, but I take it as a personal compliment that Jim is willing to take on that assignment and help us continue to develop the company.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

I appreciate the color. Maybe a question for Mark Ruh, on the core expenses this quarter, there were some puts and takes, what would you assign that the base level for the fourth quarter? And then if you could kind of give us some guidance on kind of the trend line into 2020 understanding that you've got some seasonal, perhaps mortgage influences. But trying to narrow down your comments about some cost savings have shifted a little later in the calendar, but what's the base level this quarter and what could we expect as we proceed through 2020? Thanks.

Mark Ruh

Analyst

So, you are looking for the core non-interest expense, is what you're looking for, is that correct?

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Yes.

Mark Ruh

Analyst

Okay. I mean, again, we are going to continue to see, I mean as we march toward the efficiency goals that we outlined, I mean you are going to continue to see a march downward in salaries and related costs, certainly, obviously as we cut FTE's occupancy expense as well as we rationalize the office space. Again we had a lease impairment that we just recognized and then therefore going forward, we are going to have a lower cost on that. And again, just the other – all the other cost associated with having those extra people at the company are going to continue to decline as well, the G&A, et cetera. Legal was certainly expensive in the past, but that's because we would expect stability in that as we move forward. So, and I think the biggest cost that you're going to see again are salaries in here and continue kind of a march down. And look, you could correlate that to the number of people that we have in the guidance that we just gave you that 1,026 number that we put out in February and which we anticipate going even lower into next year, marching towards under 1,000, which is where we are headed. And then finally IT, we have, we did mention that we have medium and longer-term goals. The longer-term is we are going to – we are going to crack the nut on this, on these IT expenses. But again, we've told you for a couple of quarters now that that's harder than we anticipated and the timeline is longer than we anticipated. But we will crack the nut on that. So that's really longer-term.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Jeff, this is Mark Mason. I would just add to that thought. If you look at the reconciliation of non-GAAP disclosures in the back of the earnings release, there is a calculated number for non-interest expense from continuing operations core, right? There is just over $50 million. You should really be adjusting that for other unusual or non-recurring things that we've disclosed in the press release to get to what you would call or I would call a baseline.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Yes. What is that number for fourth – the fourth quarter? What would you assign the core number in the fourth quarter? And then the question remains in 2020, what are the quarterly sort of ranges that we can expect to see?

Mark Ruh

Analyst

Well, I would take the just above $50 million and make some adjustment - not a 100%, but some adjustment for the reversal of stock compensation expense, which was – which was somewhat unusual. We will always have stock compensation expense, I am assuming. But we had to adjust it because the company's performance over the three year performance period wasn't going to make the targets originally established. And so, that stock is not going to invest, it had to be reversed. Those - that is the primary adjustment I would make this quarter. Last quarter, I would adjust FDIC insurance, all these community banks received a nice - I won't call it a dividend, a credit on our deposit insurance, which unusually reduced our operating expenses. So I would go through what we've disclosed, adjust our core continuing number in the non-GAAP disclosures to get a baseline and then start reducing the various expense categories consistent with Mark's comments as we continue to decrease headcount, real estate, and technology expenses.

Jeff Rulis

Analyst

Okay, thanks.

Operator

Operator

And our next question today comes from Steve Moss of B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead.

Steve Moss

Analyst

Good morning, guys.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Good morning, Steve.

Steve Moss

Analyst

Just on to expenses, you know as we think about number of FTEs and the overall reductions you are looking at for the upcoming year, should we think about the decline off that, call it $52.9 million range to be in the 10% to 15% range by the time we get to the fourth quarter? Just kind of curious as to if you could quantify that a little bit?

Mark Mason

Analyst

I am going to let you calculate that. We have given pretty good guidance on margin and I think that you can reasonably project forward non-interest income adjusted for seasonality and given the targets on return on assets and equity, I think you'll be able to drop in those numbers.

Steve Moss

Analyst

Okay. And then on loan growth here, you had good commercial real estate multi-family growth and then, obviously the pay downs on - by resi mortgage, just kind of wondering what the pipeline looks like? And what are your thoughts about the loan balances throughout the year here?

Mark Mason

Analyst

We did give some guidance on loan balances that we expect single-family mortgage balances to decline –continue to decline being replaced with commercial real estate and general commercial lending with a slight increase in overall loans held for investment balances over the year.

Steve Moss

Analyst

Okay. So I take it the commercial loan pipeline still remains strong.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Oh yes, I'm sorry, I didn't answer that question. So the pipeline itself typically, this is a weak period of the year, right? There is a rush to closing transactions at the end of the year, particularly the fourth quarter and we have historically started out with relatively weak pipeline, that is not true this year. I think that is due in part to the low rate environment. I think the recent changes in the ten year will accelerate that somewhat and we entered the year with stronger than typical pipelines in every lending area, including single-family mortgage, the – while refinancing is at a higher than typical rate, the application pipeline for purchases is higher than normal at this year. Though I will caution you, at least in our market here in Puget Sound, home – new home and resale home inventories are dropping again, which means home prices will be moving up again and we are a little concerned about this sustainability of a higher than normal purchase pipeline. Commercial real estate, quite active. You saw we had the largest origination quarter in our history that is dominated by permanent lending, but we are making a few new construction loans. That market continues to be very, very active, and we are looking for a stronger year this year than even last year. So, we feel great about commercial real estate. Homebuilding, still a strong pipeline. That business is driven by entitlement pacing and land pacing, but we are in great markets. And while there was a lull in the middle of last year, those pipelines are quite strong as well and an ever-strengthening pipeline in the C&I area. We had a substantially better year in our C&I group, somewhat better in volume, but substantially better in profitability and while we don't break those numbers out, I can tell you it was meaningfully better with more to come this year as we continue to improve the efficiency of that business as well.

Steve Moss

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then, given the strong commercial loan demand here, any thoughts around commercial gain on sale for the upcoming year? I mean, just pretty good year this past year, should that – do you expect that to increase again in 2020?

Mark Mason

Analyst

Well, if we increase the volume that will increase. We don't have any reason to believe gain on sale numbers will change materially. But until we get further in the year, of course, we are not going to know. We are active in that market already this year. We've already completed our first significant sale of the year. And so, I feel good at least at this juncture that we are going to continue at this pace or better.

Steve Moss

Analyst

All right. Thank you very much.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Thanks, Steve.

Operator

Operator

Our next question today comes from Jackie Bohlen of KBW. Please go ahead.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

Hi, good morning.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Good morning, Jackie.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

I wanted to start off with the buyback. You had really good activity through the year and in the fourth quarter and just looking at the level of repurchases in the fourth quarter and then, the new repurchase authorization that you have outstanding and absent meaningful asset growth, is this a good level for us to look to going forward for repurchases?

Mark Mason

Analyst

That is an excellent question. We are still analyzing what our repurchase activity will look like going forward. We have in our internal plan continued repurchasing. Part of the reason I am hedging a little is we have a conversation to have still with the FDIC about what our baseline Tier 1 minimum should be at the Bank. For many years, since before and since the IPO, we have maintained by non-formal agreement with the FDIC at least a 9% Tier 1 level at the Bank, and that of course has driven our capital planning for the Bank up. Given the much more simplified business plan of the company, the substantially reduced volatility of results, the improving results and our strong capital position, we may be making changes to our baseline assumptions, which can only improve potentially capital return to shareholders. Even at the current levels though, we hope to at least get an additional $25 million authorization from the Board after completion of the current most recent authorization, which should take us through the middle of the year. And we think that the prospect for improving profit and results of operations also should be accompanied with the prospect for increasing dividends in the future. And so, taken together, I'm optimistic that assuming continued improvement in profitability in a consistent credit environment, all these things we think about that return of capital will continue at this or similar paces for some period of time.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

Okay, thank you. That's helpful. And then looking to the single-family portfolio and understanding that, you've said, you are going to have contraction through the first two quarters or so. If that – are you expecting expansion then in the latter half of the year? Or are you only looking to predict given a fluid environment what balances would be like in the first half of the year.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Well, in the single-family portfolio, there is going to be a stabilization at some point, right? Given the downsizing of our origination activity and the low rate environment, you are seeing a natural runoff that exceeds new originations. And that portfolio should stabilize, we think somewhat later this year, fourth quarter or so again, with all the caveats on rates and everything, right?

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

Yes.

Mark Mason

Analyst

So, you should see that kind of pattern towards the end of the year.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

Okay. So is it fair to say that the low rate environment has accelerated some of the natural runoff you would see, given the change in the business operations and so that enables you to stabilize sooner than you otherwise would have?

Mark Mason

Analyst

Well, I think that's fair. Stabilization, is a – I'll give you a bit of a caveat because, we are experiencing higher runoff on everything. And so, until those the absolute level of runoff stabilizes I can't say if we are stable, right? I mean, all these, right, so.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

So yes, yes. No and I mean, I fully understand how fluid everything is right now and how much you have going on, so many different moving pieces. And on that note, just one last one for me, I understand that, it's difficult to predict the timing of when you can do a lot of the initiatives that you have and you are dependent on the responses from the others that you are working with. What, what are some events that you look to that could either reaccelerate some of the cost savings you expect? Or potentially further delay them beyond what your new expectations are?

Mark Mason

Analyst

Also a great question. Because we are so much farther along as we sit here today in analyzing the opportunities presented to us by our consultants, we have greater clarity about the size of the opportunity and the timing. So our forecast, we believe at least for the near term are substantially stronger - with respect to things within our control. The things that could change the pace of further personnel reductions are really within our hands to complete analysis and acceptance of changes by the remaining functions of the company. Those processes we have been very careful with, because remember, this is a functioning bank. And the risk management and control aspects of making significant changes need to be handled carefully and correctly. To-date, we have not made any errors nor created any internal control lapses and it's important that we move thoughtfully and carefully with things that challenge people to think differently, reduce resources for work that has been done similarly, but efficiently and make technological changes and all of these things are happening at a relatively fast pace on the heels of a big restructuring. So, pacing is based upon adoption and acceptance rates. There is further analysis that we are doing that has not been completed on several areas of the bank corporate overhead and corporate operations. There is only so many days in a week and we only have so many consultants and members of management with extra time. And so, I think there is a pacing issue. We feel, we feel reasonably good about the opportunity. The timing has been challenged. With respect to real estate, that is a market issue and how quickly we can re-lease space as an example, we are trying to re-lease three floors on our current building here, in…

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

Yes. No, no, it is very helpful. I am - I don't know if this is something you're able to answer, but with regard to the changes you want to make with your core service or in understanding that that contract doesn't expire until 2022, how big of a chunk of your expected cost savings does that comprise just generally?

Mark Mason

Analyst

I don't think I can answer that in part, because of the confidentiality provisions in the contract. I would love to answer that question.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

No fair enough, fair enough, so.

Mark Mason

Analyst

But let me say this, it's meaningful, but - and of course, at some level would change your ultimate outcome before then. But we've given you guidance through the third quarter of this year and mid next year, and mid next year we believe we're going to be in the mid-60% efficiency range, right? So it is not going to – that's 2021, not 2022 right? So that contract itself is not going to prevent us from hitting those 2021 numbers.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

Okay. That was my next question. Is it included in that? Yes.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Does that help? So that you can frame it. Got it.

Jackie Bohlen

Analyst

Yes, thank you. I'll step back now. Thank you for all the time. I appreciate it.

Mark Mason

Analyst

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] It looks like we have a follow-up from Steve Moss at B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead.

Steve Moss

Analyst

I guess couple of things, just a follow-up guys. On the margin here in particular loan yield, just wondering where, notwithstanding where were new money yields for the quarter?

Mark Mason

Analyst

Well, let me I can give you some examples. Our - in the single-family mortgage area, we are booking things in the very high threes like the 390s in the fourth quarter. Commercial real estate, fixed stuff in the 450s, I am sorry this quarter something. Those were arms on single-family, single family fixed about 492, business banking in the low to mid 4% range on floaters, and then fixed CRE, as I said in the sort of high threes to low fours. If that helps?

Steve Moss

Analyst

That helps. And then in terms of just what were single-family rate lock commitments for the quarter?

Mark Mason

Analyst

I don't think we're disclosing those currently, Steve.

Steve Moss

Analyst

Okay. And I guess last one, what are you guys thinking for tax rate for 2020?

Mark Ruh

Analyst

Yes, I'd use a effective tax from 19.5 to 20.5 would be a range I'd advise for 2020.

Steve Moss

Analyst

All right. Thank you very much.

Mark Mason

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, we are showing no further questions. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Mason for any closing remarks.

Mark Mason

Analyst

We appreciate your attendance and patience and listening to us today. I appreciate the great questions. Look forward to talking to you next quarter.

Operator

Operator

Thank you sir. Today’s conference has now concluded. We thank you all for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.