Alfred E. Mann
Analyst · JMP Securities
Thank you, Peter, and good afternoon. Let me start with our Q2 call, in which we spoke of the 2 new trials that we're called for in last January's complete response letter from the FDA. We also described how those studies have begun to evolve based on suggestions from the agency during and after the May 4 and the review meeting. Perhaps a review and some color on what transpired would be helpful. Keep in mind that the first CRL raised certain questions about the MedTone device, including labeling of the cartridges and the methodology employed by the laboratory doing the insulin assays used in the bioequivalency trial, a trial that we had run to qualify and improve regularized version of the MedTone that was designed for automated mass production. It would have been difficult to satisfy the labeling direction on the cylindrical MedTone cartridges. And since the blood samples were no longer available, we would have had to repeat the bioequivalency trial in order to resolve the assay matter. However, at the time of the CRL, we have developed a next generation device that we had nicknamed Dreamboat. We were already performing a bioequivalency trial to compare Dreamboat to the MedTone device used in our extensive clinical program. And we were able to complete this study using insulin assay methodologies that address the FDA's constructive comments in the CRL. We determined that we could address the other labeling and other device questions if we responded to the CRL with the Dreamboat submission. Moreover, the next generation device is so superior to MedTone that we, as well as our potential partners, have already decided that it only made sense to launch AFREZZA with Dreamboat. After consultation with the agency at the end of review meeting, we responded to the CRL with the submission that included in vitro and performance data for the new device, thereby obviating questions in the CRL regarding MedTone. Our filing was accepted and over the course of the next 6 months, we engaged in the routine exchange of questions and answers with the FDA that are part of regulatory review. However, as you know, we received the second CRL last January, focusing on the change to the new device and requiring additional clinical data with this device. In particular, a key message in this CRL was that the fairly short clinical trials in both Type 1 and Type 2 patients would be needed to compare the new device to that used in our previous clinical studies of AFREZZA, including the 2-year MKC-030 trial. As Peter has explained, we arrived at the final design for these studies after extensive discussion with the FDA. Let me just say that we are very pleased with our collaborative relationship with the agency. The FDA has been especially supportive, even helpful, during this process over the last few months. From all ends, we are confident that AFREZZA is on the path leading to regulatory approval. As Hakan has explained, we have moved quickly to initiate the Type 1 study and the Type 2 study will be initiated shortly. If our admittedly somewhat aggressive assumptions about patient enrollment continue to hold, we expect to complete both of these studies by the end of 2012 and to submit the results to the FDA a few months later. That should lead to a PDUFA date 6 months after filing in 2013. We are now focusing on intense patient recruitment efforts in order to meet the timelines. During our next quarterly call in February, we should be in a better position to more accurately estimate the completion dates for the 2 ongoing clinical studies. It is becoming widely recognized that AFREZZA offers a truly very effective and safe tool to help address the worldwide diabetes epidemic. AFREZZA will fill a poorly met need. After all, each of the current array of antiglycemic drugs has side effects, somewhat real safety concerns. Those drugs are commercially viable primarily because of the deficiencies of current insulin, especially prandial products. If only there were a physiologic prandial insulin, such an insulin ought to be used not only in basal/bolus therapy, but also in the early Type 2, even in prediabetes. Some key opinion leaders are postulating that by largely eliminating both the pancreatic and hepatic stress, AFREZZA will slow and perhaps even stop progression of Type 2 diabetes. Of course, a long-term trial will be needed to prove that, but the prediction seems scientifically sound. While the delay has been costly with these new trials and especially the Type 2 study in the early stage disease, we believe that from the start of the launch, we should be able to actively promote AFREZZA throughout almost the entire diabetes community. This will greatly expand our market opportunity. I view the concern about marketing risk raised by some of our observers to be unrealistic. Every marketing study by our independent marketing consulting firms, as well as by our prospective partners, has conservatively indicated AFREZZA to be a multibillion dollar opportunity. Those projections as high as they may seem, in my view, are only underestimating this market potential. And indeed, we are almost 400 million diabetics in the world today and a much larger number of pre-diabetics who can benefit from AFREZZA, I believe our challenge would come out to producing a product to be able to serve a credible number of that huge prevalence. In summary, with the path to FDA approval, the growing recognition and the huge market opportunity and the strong partnership interest, we are looking forward to the launch of AFREZZA. In closing, let us thank you for joining us today and we will now take your questions.