Alfred E. Mann
Analyst · Bank of America
Thank you, Hakan. And good afternoon. Many of our long-term stockholders have expressed concern about the loss of value of their investments. That is certainly understandable given that MannKind's stock has dropped by about 3 quarters since the CRL. I have shared in that loss of value. In fact, my loss has been the greatest of all. I had personally invested $575 million to purchase what is about 40% of MannKind and the current value of that equity is but a fraction of my actual cash investment, yet I expect that loss to be reversed by developments over the next couple of years. I am certainly continuing to hold my stock and I'm even converting some of my loans with the company into stocks so as to maintain my ownership position. As you know, out of concern for potential dilution to our many stockholders, I had earlier personally provided to MannKind an additional $350 million in a low-interest credit line. We had expected that amount to have been sufficient to fund the company past the launch of AFREZZA. However, with the delay in approval, at year end, there was only $45 million left in the credit line and there were mounting obligations. It therefore became critically urgent for the company to raise additional capital. We are continuing to work on several minimally dilutive financings, but in today's world, it seems to take much longer to complete such transactions. We therefore certainly needed to act decisively and quickly to raise capital, not to do so would have been very foolish. We therefore undertook the recent equity offering with net to the company about $81 million. Unfortunately, that financing was quite dilutive, yet it will provide resources for the company while we continue our pursuit of non-dilutive and minimally diluted financing to satisfy our needs to approval and beyond. Let us not dwell on the past and instead focus on the future. Our situation and the outlook for MannKind soon could very well change substantially for the better. Some of you may recall a somewhat parallel story regarding my experience in MiniMed, which had protocol which had pioneered in insulin pumps and continuous glucose sensors. After some negative publicity by the serious problem with another company's pumps, the 3 major companies competing for that market all dropped out. Our stock was then priced at $1.75 per share. Later, Medtronic acquired MiniMed for a split-adjusted $192 per share. The story for MannKind has been similar with the low stock value. I am not suggesting an ultimate future gain by a factor of over 100 for MannKind, but I do remain very optimistic about the value of AFREZZA as well as several other product opportunities at MannKind. While the financial consequences of this past year have been costly, the company now has the resources to bridge our current needs and enable us to prepare for the future. So let us now look forward to the unique opportunity that is AFREZZA. The 2011 CRL focused on the device change with a few associated CMC and other related questions. As Hakan described, we are conducting 2 significant trials: 1 in Type 1 and the second in Type 2. We have worked closely with the FDA in preparing this study protocol to be sure that they are fully endorsed. We believe we have carefully managed the risks so that these trials provide a clear path to approval. In our response to the CRL, we have initially proposed 2 basal/bolus studies: 1 in Type 1 and the second in late Type 2. What was so significant during this process is that the agency actually guided us instead to conduct the Type 2 study in early-stage patients failing on Metformin with or without another oral drug. Although I have long expected AFREZZA to be extremely valuable in early-stage Type 2, with study, the MKC-175, such use should even be incorporated into the initial label. This would enable us to market AFREZZA throughout almost the entire spectrum of diabetes, greatly expanding the potential market. Of course, I predict that the capacity of our factory fully equipped will be able to serve only about 2 million people so I expect our real challenge in the few years post-launch will be in expanding capacity. The benefits of AFREZZA in basal/bolus therapy for Type 1 and late-stage Type 2 are obvious, but AFREZZA is truly so much more and I predict it will transform therapy in early-stage Type 2. In this early-stage population, AFREZZA alone or with oral agents should provide simple, safe and effective therapy without injections. After all, insulin is nature's antiglycemic agent and is needed 24/7. But today's exogenous insulin products are not adequately physiologic and the deficiencies raise significantly, significant challenges. Prandial insulins start much too slowly so the patients are instructed to inject their dose before even starting to eat. More importantly, the activities of these insulins last far too long, and the excessive persistence is a significant cause of hypoglycemia and weight gain in prandial therapy. In early Type 2, a variety of alternative antiglycemic drugs are used today and these products are viable largely because of the deficiencies of current insulin products. But it is insulin that the body needs for glucose metabolism. Even with the limitations of current insulin products, there is increasing pressure to move patients much sooner to exogenous insulin. The alternative antiglycemic products are intended simply to supplement endogenous pancreatic insulin more effectively. Some of them are directed to increasing pancreatic output, likely contributing to early-year beta cell burnout. Other products have tested lower resistance to insulin to inhibit hepatic glucose release or to slow digestion, but all of these drugs have limited efficacy and side effects that can be significant in some patients and the long-term safety for many of them may still be in doubt. Moreover, none of these antiglycemics, I believe, does slow progression of the disease so that, after 8 to 12 years, patients using those drugs typically move on to insulins. Another issue is that many of the newer, more advanced antiglycemic agents are very expensive. If only there were a physiologic ultra-fast-acting insulin that would reduce postprandial hyperglycemia to within normal guidelines without the risk of hypoglycemia or weight gain and without the complexity of titration or the need for multiple daily measurements of glucose. Such a prandial insulin would far better deal with postprandial excursions throughout the entire spectrum of diabetes. Moreover, key opinion leaders assert that, by reducing pancreatic and hepatic stress, such an insulin would slow and perhaps even stop progression of Type 2 diabetes and prediabetes. Surely, that would seem to offer a far better solution than those alternative drugs. Moreover, a therapy that does not require the inconvenience and discomfort of multiple daily injections, would certainly be more patient-friendly. AFREZZA has been shown in over 50 clinical trials to mimic endogenous insulin kinetics and this should enable this insulin to more effectively and more safely address the objectives of providing improved glycemic control. A product such as AFREZZA would be especially appealing to children and should ease the issues about treatment in the classroom. Because of the FDA's aversion about risk in this young population, the initial label for AFREZZA will be restricted to patients 18 years and older. The age -- asked us [ph] to submit a post-approval Phase IV protocol for a trial in children. We responded with a proposed study in children ages 12 to 18. Interestingly, FDA directed us to include children down to age 4. Indeed, there are many reasons supporting the unique value of AFREZZA for treating almost the entire spectrum of diabetes. I actually sensed this potential from the moment I first saw the kinetics and dynamics of AFREZZA. It became immediately clear to me that such a product would address the kinetic deficiencies of current prandial insulins and would represent a major advancement in diabetes therapy. I believe that in prediabetes and in early-stage Type 2, ultra-fast-acting insulin such as AFREZZA will evolve as the monotherapy or as a second-line therapy along with Metformin and without the vagaries and risks of other alternative antiglycemic agents. And as noted, these products may even arrest the progression of Type 2 diabetes, reducing the awful complications of this disease and the enormous associated costs. For Type 1 and late-stage Type 2, such an insulin, along with a small patch pump, would offer a superior overall glycemic control with greater convenience and low risk. I remain even more optimistic today about the potential of AFREZZA. As Hakan noted, we expect to complete the current trials around the end of the year and to resubmit the NDA in the first half of next year. That will surely be a time for celebration. With that, I want to thank you all for joining us today. And we'll now open the questions -- the call to your questions. Operator?