Alfred E. Mann
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thank you, Hakan, and good afternoon. As Hakan described, MannKind's primary focus has been on completing the MKC-171 and MKC-175 Affinity trials to enable us to reach our objective of approval. Recruitment is well underway, and our clinical team is working hard to bring even more sites online so that we can get the last patient first visit as soon as possible. I truly believe that AFREZZA will fill a very important need throughout the entire spectrum of diabetes. The extensive clinical program, to date, has shown AFREZZA to yield superior clinical benefits in so many measures, though not yet superiority in HbA1c. Occasionally, I get asked to explain why in our trials AFREZZA has only been non-inferior to standard prandial insulin therapy in terms of lowering HbA1c. The key to this is that out of fear of hypoglycemia, the physicians who have participated in our clinical trial are used to managing fasting glucose levels very high. They do so because the late postprandial persistence of current prandial insulin products create hyperinsulinemia that can cause a significant drop in glucose levels. Even though AFREZZA does not have the late postprandial persistence, basal insulins have not been separately titrated for the AFREZZA cohorts in our trials, so that fasting levels are excessively high in those patients as well. Since the HbA1c is really an average glucose level over 2 to 3 months, these high fasting glucose levels tend to mask the more physiological prandial benefits of AFREZZA. With our current study MKC-171, we are targeting this issue head on by requiring the fasting glucose level to be lower to under 110 milligram per deciliter, unless there is hypoglycemia. In earlier trials, even with AFREZZA cohorts, clinicians have generally not increased basal insulins to adjust fasting glucose to goal. In the Affinity trial, the FDA has authorized us to engage an independent monitor who will review e-diary records and will contact the clinicians responsible for patients that are not complying with the protocol. This should not only assure reaching a non-inferiority requirements for approval, but hopefully, it may even enable us to show superiority of AFREZZA in HbA1c. I expect in this trial that compliant-AFREZZA patients will reach HbA1cs below the age American Diabetes Association's target of 7% and even the Endocrinology Society's goal of 6.5% and without increased risk of hypos. Indeed, my belief is that many patients are likely to reach A1Cs below 6%. While you may not be fully convinced of my argument, the problem is not unique to our trials with AFREZZA. In its approval of Eli Lilly's insulin lispro in the 1990s, the FDA stated that they saw no clinical benefits of that rapid-acting analogue over regular insulins. The justification of approval was simply that lispro did not need to be injected so long before starting to eat. Today, I doubt that anyone would disagree that the kinetics and the dynamics of rapid-acting analogues, such as lispro and aspart, are superior to regular insulins and that they bring important clinical advantages. But even these rapid analogues are not adequately physiologic. Indeed, in the closed-concerned surveys of clinicians at the annual ADA meetings, one of the questions asked in 2009 was whether the rapid analogues are fast enough. Only 4% thought they are. 94% expressed the need for a still-faster prandial insulin. AFREZZA is such a faster insulin, and without the late postprandial persistence, that is the primary cause of hypoglycemia and weight gain seen with insulin therapy today. Yet, we still do see some hypos in our trial, though much less severe and with lower frequency than for the comparative cohorts. But why should we see any at all? We see this in basal/bolus therapies, especially for type 1 patients. An examination with the timing of these events point to the insulin -- the basal insulins as the likely primary cause of the hypos in those trials. Glargine, or Lantus, has for years been the best basal insulin, but is by no means efficiently physiologic. Degludec, a new basal insulin, enables better basal control, and there are other long-acting insulins in development. Yet even though the average connects and dynamics of these new basal insulins are better, an increasing number of KOLs are recognizing that a basal patch pump would be the ideal companion to AFREZZA in type 1 and late type 2. And while that maybe obvious for clinical results, the keys to market success of such basal/bolus therapy with AFREZZA and a basal pump will be simplicity and especially competitive economics. These therapies not only be -- must not only be safe and effective, but must be available without much of a premium in cost. And while competitive pricing may seem a daunting challenge for these advanced products, that objective is within reach for both AFREZZA and a basal patch pump. Indeed, in the process of better control, we'll significantly lower the overall cost of diabetes. In summary, I believe that in the near term for early-stage type 2 diabetes, patients will -- with the optimum therapy will prove to be AFREZZA or AFREZZA plus metformin. The data from our study MKC-175 should help support this prediction. In type 1 and late type 2, I expect AFREZZA plus an improved basal insulin, and especially a simple basal patch pump, will prove to be the ideal therapy and without the side effects of most of the alternative antiglycemic drugs that are widely used today. We are well along the enrollment of both MKC-171 and MKC-175, and we are confident of successfully meeting the trial endpoints. This completion, we believe, we have clarified path to approval of AFREZZA. Our challenge is now to assure adequate financing to carry MannKind through the approval of AFREZZA and prepare for its launch. These are now my areas of primary focus. Last year in response to a question about my willingness to continue to invest in MannKind, I gave an answer that was based on the liquidity of my portfolio. That remark was misconstrued by some as an unwillingness on my part to put more money into MannKind. Nothing could be further from the truth. I'm selling off some of my other ventures. One such sale was closed just last month. However, I don't want MannKind financing strategy to rest solely at my exits from other ventures. As Matt described, MannKind did place an equity offering in February that netted us about $80 million as a bridge while we work to put in place additional financing that should fund our capital needs through this critical period. We are continuing to pursue and evaluate some potentially non-dilutive and minimally dilutive financings in order to preserve shareholder value. It is wise that I not comment further on these opportunities until we can make a definitive report. With that, I thank you for joining us today, and we invite your questions. Operator?