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MP Materials Corp. (MP)

Q2 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 5, 2021

$62.03

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the MP Materials Second Quarter 2021 Financial Results Conference Call and Webcast. All lines will be on mute unless if you do ask the question on today's call. I'll now hand over to Martin Sheehan, Head of Investor Relations at MP Materials. Please go ahead when you're ready.

Martin Sheehan

Management

Thank you, operator, and good day, everyone, welcome to MP Materials second quarter 2021 earnings call. With me today are Jim Litinsky, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of MP Materials; Michael Rosenthal, Chief Operating Officer; and Ryan Corbett, Chief Financial Officer. Before we get to Jim's and Ryan's opening remarks, I'd like to remind you that during today's call, we will make certain forward-looking statements that do not constitute historical facts under the Safe Harbor provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are predictions, projections and other statements about future events that are based on current expectations and assumptions, and as a result are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual future events to differ materially from forward-looking statements in this communication. For more information about factors that may cause actual results to materially differ from forward-looking statements, please refer to the cautionary language in the earnings release and in our filings with the SEC, including the Risk Factors section in our recent SEC filings. During the call, management will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe to be useful in evaluating MP Materials' operating performance. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for MP Materials' financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available in our current report on Form 8-K filed today and can be found on our website, investors.mpmaterials.com. And please check our Investor website regularly and follow us on Twitter, Instagram and LinkedIn, where we often provide news and information on the Company. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jim. Jim?

James Litinsky

Management

Thanks, Martin, and thank you to everyone joining us on the call this afternoon. We've had a busy and very productive second quarter. So let me run down what we will cover on the call today. First, I will recap the highlights of another quarter of outstanding results. Second, Ryan will provide color on our operational and financial performance. Third, I will provide an update on our Stage II optimization plan, including new developments on the heavy rare earth front, then I will share an exciting update on our Stage III plans, after wrapping up the prepared remarks, we will open it up for Q&A. Let's start with the second quarter highlights on Slide 4. The highlight of the quarter operationally was clearly our production levels. We produced 10,305 metric tons of REO and concentrate. We believe this is the largest quarterly total in the site 60-year history. What is even more impressive about this result is that we had a one-week planned shutdown in the quarter to perform preventative maintenance Last year, we delayed that plant shutdown due to COVID, puts , the amount of REO produced per operating hour increased 14% year-over-year. Michael and the team continue to do amazing work in fine-tuning and improving our Stage I processes, and while production levels will vary slightly quarter-to-quarter, especially, as we begin Pines of our Stage II assets, this quarter's efficiency, gives us continued comfort in our Stage I processes supporting our guided NdPr oxide production. The combination of solid production and net sales volume as well as higher pricing resulted in record financials, as our revenue more than doubled year-over-year. This and continued solid cost control resulted in adjusted EBITDA increasing nearly six-fold. Importantly, our adjusted EBITDA margin also hit an all-time high of 64%, demonstrating the leverage we get from strong NdPr pricing. Ryan will talk more about our sales and production volumes in a minute. I will update you in detail on the Stage II after that, but the headline is we are making steady progress. Despite supply chain and COVID challenges, we remain confident in our goal of achieving run rate production of 6,075 metric tons of NdPr in 2023. And lastly, we have some exciting news to share on Stage III, but first so I will turn it over to Ryan, for a more detailed rundown of our operational and financial results. Ryan?

Ryan Corbett

Management

Thanks, Jim, and hello, everyone. I'll share some additional color on the quarter, beginning on Slide 6. Our record quarterly production in Mountain Pass of 10,305 metric tons was up 11% from last year and 5% sequentially, despite the maintenance shutdown Jim mentioned. This shutdown was the largest in most complex outage in our history. We completed the maintenance work early and most importantly safely. The driver of our higher production in the quarter was both a higher feed rate of ore into the mill and modestly improve recoveries of REO in our flotation process. Higher feed rate will often negatively impact recovery percentages but improvements in our processes and reagent schemes allowed us to actually increase recoveries compared to last year, while still growing our feed rates. Moving clockwise on the Slide, our sales volumes continue to closely mirror production at 9,877 metric tons of REO. This was down 4% from last year, but up 1% sequentially. As always, shipping causes modest timing differences in our revenue results versus production. I would also point out that in 2020 due to typical seasonality around Chinese New Year, plus the initial wave of COVID-19 in China, our sales in Q1 of 2020 were seasonally low with a big catch-up quarter in the second quarter. This year, we didn't see the usual seasonal slowdown in the first quarter so results across the first two quarters were much more balanced than normal. On a year-to-date basis, metric tons of REO sold were up 5.7% which roughly equal the 6.2% increase in year-to-date production. On the top right, you can see the bigger impact that demand for NdPr is having on our business, with the realized pricing of REO up 137% to $7,343 per metric ton, also up a strong 25% sequentially. I would…

James Litinsky

Management

Thanks, Ryan. Most of you know that our Stage II project is the optimization of our site to move beyond today's profitable concentrate production to separating rare earth oxide at Mountain Pass. Our success is critical to the global industry and supply chain security since today nearly 90% of all rare earth separation is done in China. Stage II is also expected to provide significant upside to our financial profile as we've spoken about on prior calls. Let's turn to Slide 11, to see recent photos of our progress, including some of the key equipment being installed. The top left shows the rebar being laid for the foundation of our Salt Crystallizer and below that one of the key crystallizer components being delivered to the plant. I guess it looks like a space capsule, but it actually does water treatment. On the top right, you can see the inside of our new concentrate dryer. It's now beautiful inside, I love this photo. And lastly on the bottom right. You can see the steel structure for our new concentrate filter press has gone up, and is shown surrounded by two cranes, the rest of the picture is our existing facility. Moving on to Slide 12. One of the big upgrades for Stage II is installing a roaster back into the process. Here you can see a picture of our roaster also referred to as a calciner. It has officially arrived at Mountain Pass, and as of yesterday, has been placed on its foundation frame. This roughly 90-foot long rotary oven will evenly feet our concentrate without the need for any chemicals. The oxidation process will allow us to cost-effectively remove roughly 20,000 metric tons annually of lower value cerium concentrate from the process. While we're moving the majority of the cerium,…

Operator

Operator

Thank you, gentlemen. Our first question today comes from David Deckelbaum of Cowen. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

David Deckelbaum

Analyst

Thank you, and thanks, Jim for taking my questions this afternoon.

James Litinsky

Management

Sure. Hey, David. How are you doing?

David Deckelbaum

Analyst

Hi there. So just a couple from me, just one, the price that you received for your rare earth basket this quarter was inordinately high, obviously, we've seen strength recently in the price of NdPr. It looks like you had a higher yield of NdPr in terms of your typical basket. Is that fair to say and what would be driving that? Or what would have driven such a high sales realization this quarter?

James Litinsky

Management

Ryan, why don't you take that?

Ryan Corbett

Management

Yes, sure. Hey, David. Really no difference in NdPr yield, obviously, selling the concentrate and we're producing a consistent basket in line with the elemental distribution in the ore body, and so no change there. I would say that concentrate tends to occasionally have discrete supply and demand drivers that are not perfectly aligned with what you see in market data for NdPr as an example. And so obviously given the inordinate proportion of supply that we represent. In our opinion, it just, it shows the very, very strong demand for our product. And so while our pricing does tend to mimic very closely the movements in NdPr that you can observe and tends to do so with some amount of lag, which could explain some of the higher pricing in Q2. That's really the driver here nothing having to do with the mix of products sold.

James Litinsky

Management

Yes, David, and that's why we're rushing to get Stage II done as quickly as possible. Because we certainly give up revenue by selling an intermediate product.

David Deckelbaum

Analyst

Yes. Absolutely. Understand that, that margin uplift potential. Just - and thanks for outlining some of the ambitions around Stage III. I'm just curious just on Stage III, I'll let some others ask around Stage II. But you said that you would announce the location of the facility this year. I guess that then means the operations there in still take the form of the potential to JV or build or buy somebody else that could potentially be housing that facility. And I'm just curious as you look at some of the Biden Administration's initiatives particularly around desires to refine rare earths and secure that supply chain here. If you think that Stage III would be qualifying for some additional government grants to help you financing or something like that?

James Litinsky

Management

Sure. Well, so I'm sure you saw a lot of the coverage all day today with the executive order out of the White House and all the big automakers or most of the big automakers talking about getting to 50% EVs by 2030. You can imagine that with all of that behind the scenes, there is also a big push in the supply chain, particularly given everything that's happened with semiconductors. And I think you can see that - you can see it actually an earning season. If you look at some of the calls for example, Tesla called it out and some of the others called it out. If you have - if you're missing one piece of the supply chain, you can't produce. And it - we'll see what the final infrastructure builds and we'll see what comes out of DC. We do - we hear a clamoring on all sides to make sure that we have this supply chain here and obviously you heard my comments about how important this is and I think that when people start to do the math of how much investment is coming this way and what that means as far as the upstream. We need a lot of investment and obviously one of the leaders in that and expect to make that investment. But I do think we will see a lot of support from both sides of the aisle. What exact shape or form that takes is still unknown, we've sort of heard some interesting things behind the scenes, there could be various credits or benefits or other grants, who knows, again what shape or form it will take, but I do think that we're going to see something. Because they're just - there needs to be as you've heard me say this is a fourth industrial revolution, it's a total transformation. And the scale of investment is not there yet and it needs to come.

David Deckelbaum

Analyst

Absolutely. Thanks for the responses guys.

James Litinsky

Management

Sure. Yes. Of course

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. Our next question today comes from Carlos De Alba, Morgan Stanley, your line is open, please continue.

Carlos De Alba

Analyst

Hello, Jim, how are you doing?

James Litinsky

Management

Hello, Carlos.

Carlos De Alba

Analyst

Hey, good very strong results congratulations.

James Litinsky

Management

Thank you. Thank you.

Carlos De Alba

Analyst

So just what - it seems that on a Stage II, you are sort of hinting that your CapEx may have to go up or maybe there could be some delays under the schedule. Is there too early to say sort of a magnitude of the potential trade-off, and if you had to make it given your strong balance sheet, is it fair to assume that you would up to potentially increase the CapEx but still complete the project on time. So you can use produce a full capacity around 23?

James Litinsky

Management

Well, I think you heard the statement I made about there's certainly any time you're building a project, there is a trade-off, and scheduling cost. And we certainly - I think the statements I made really sort of speak from the cells in that. We we're humans just like you reading the newspaper and we see all of these things happening around the world. And we've experienced them. I think that we've done a really great job managing the things that come up and whether it's in labor, whether it's vendors. There all of these things that things are disrupted out there. And so what we want to do is we obviously just want to make sure that we're level headed about the work that we have to do to get this job done and that we're very focused on, we want you to know that we're very focused as far as putting something specific on. It's so hard Carlos, because we just - again we don't know what's around the corner with Delta and with the labor situation all these things. But we're - again we reiterated our confidence in our 2023 run rate target. And you can see from the photos that we continue to make a lot of progress and it's really exciting out there and there's a lot of people working. And so we feel really good about it, but we just want to obviously be realistic that we just don't - don't know what may unfold in the world and obviously given my views about how we see the coming months and years, we hopefully around head out of thinking about these things. So I'll give you one small example Carlos, resin is a hard thing to get right now, if - you know if you're out there trying to buy something with resin, you basically can't get it. And we had a vendor that wanted to give us a delay and we were able to get a Defense Production at focus on getting that sooner and so those are the kinds of things that we're managing. And so we obviously will - hopefully DoD will be able to help us with things like that. And so we feel really good that we'll continue to kind of do the blocking and tackling to get this job done. But we also just we're - we see what you see. So we're just trying to be careful.

Carlos De Alba

Analyst

No fair enough. That makes sense. And then just in terms of the maintenance downtime that you're experiencing in second quarter. How much did that impact in terms of volumes and perhaps in terms of your cost? How much lower cost would you be able to achieve had you been producing at 100% without the maintenance. And also given the accumulation of REO that you experienced in the last quarter and given the sequence of shipping that you or shipments that you have already for the third quarter Do you expect to reduce that inventory in the third quarter, or you may take a little bit longer?

James Litinsky

Management

Ryan, why don't you take that?

Ryan Corbett

Management

Sure. I'd say Carlos, the way we think about the business and I think you hinted at, this is REO produce per operating hour, right, which will drive the - our view of efficiency of production. So to your point if we were producing without that we shut down our production number would have been even higher than it was. Jim, I think called out the number of his prepared remarks of 14% year-over-year growth in the per hour production number. And so we're not going to get into specifics on the production cost impact given the fact that we may take shut downs here and then all the time for a variety of reasons. But suffice to say, it has an impact, it absolutely has an impact on the production cost And so that incremental efficiency would have flowed through much more clearly in our reported number to the extent we didn't have that shut down. And then on the inventory number, if you're talking about finished goods inventory. The finished goods inventory in Q2 was not significantly higher. As we've mentioned, the 10,305 versus the 9,877, It does imply some build, but those shipments are lumpy and it's purely just a matter of securing bookings on outbound chips. So it's not anything out of the ordinary certainly we've called out in the past and call out further in our filings COVID makes the shipping situation, a bit more difficult than it normally would be. But we've had very good luck moving our product to the extent that we need to. And so I don't think there is anything unique to call out in the future just keep in mind, as we've mentioned many times before the lumpiness that could be possible. But given the sales structure and contracts that we have it's purely a timing impact and nothing further.

Carlos De Alba

Analyst

All right. Okay. And then last question for me is on what will be the implications of basically the announcement to go ahead with the Stage III probably earlier than anyone expected. What are the implications of that regarding your Shenghe agreement?

James Litinsky

Management

Implications as far as what - remember that once the offtake will be paid down pretty soon as Ryan said, it's around - as of the end of the quarter it's around $48 million. We expect that to be paid down. And as you said, it's now in sort of our short-term, we expect that to be paid down within the year. So I think there's really no impact because that will be gone. And I would stress again that there a distribution party, they don't have - we're certainly free to sell any product anywhere that we want, they don't have any special rights or anything like that. So there is really - there is no impact we're going to proceed with our mission as we've clearly stated.

Carlos De Alba

Analyst

Fair enough. And they would potentially remain as shareholders, right?

James Litinsky

Management

Well, we're a public company. I mean, I don't know if they're going to buy Apple or Tesla or Boeing or GM next. the questions for them, but obviously we appreciate all our shareholders and we're going to - we're working for our shareholders. So whoever they are.

Carlos De Alba

Analyst

Fair enough, Thank you very much. Good luck.

James Litinsky

Management

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. Our next question comes from Tyler Langton of JPMorgan. Please continue.

Tyler Langton

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon, thanks. Just a follow-up question on Stage II, I think of the sort of the is a little over $200 million of CapEx, could you remind us, maybe how much is left to be spent and maybe sort of how much of that is kind of walked in from a price perspective. And then also for if the separate everywhere else do you have a kind of a rough sense on what the CapEx profile could be for that?

James Litinsky

Management

For heavy, one of our - we haven't broken a lot of that. Why don't I - Ryan, I'll give it to you to do the best that you can do on that, and then you can cover heavies if you want, which and I'll finish up.

Ryan Corbett

Management

Sure. Yes so our original estimate Tyler on Stage II was $220 million of growth capital for the specific optimization project. As of the Q2 results of growth CapEx, we spent a little over $40 million but not all of that is Stage II, recall and we had called out in our filings that we have some other chunkier projects that make up some of that capital spend including the re-commissioning of our combined Heat and Power plant and several other growth initiatives. So, I would not kind of pull that out and assume that that's all Stage II. Obviously, there are other projects that are ongoing growth projects on-site in preparation for Stage II. So there is still a good ways to go on that sort of original number. What I'd say on heavies and on all of this is obviously, we are managing this project and whatever potential incremental high return opportunities come to Pass for the long-term success of the business. We're obviously not - we're not managing it for a short-term headline on what the CapEx number is. So, I think it's safe to bet that they're going to be other high return opportunities that heavies as a perfect example to enhance the project as we go along. And that's one thing to keep in mind as you think through modeling out CapEx over the next little bit here. But I think that's really all that we've disclosed. I don't know, Jim or Michael if you have anything to talk on to that.

James Litinsky

Management

No. I think that sums it up, and I just might - I would go back to Slide 8, and look at the free cash flow power of what we've already accomplished just in Stage I and obviously recognizing the significant uplift that we have, and I think it's a really impressive thing that we've been able to achieve operationally, that we can make all of these high return on capital investments still generate - pay down debt and still generate cash flow for the business. And so we certainly - we've obviously made clear that we have a mission to get all the way to complete the full supply chain. And so these are a component and magnets are a component and - but I think we're certainly going as fast as we can in also with recognition that we ultimately work for our shareholders and our job is to make sure that we're making investments that have a very high return on capital. Because ultimately that's what we're here to do. We are a public company. And so I think it just suffices to say that to the extent that as we're going to come out with some kind of heavy thing or whatever, we might come with next. We'll do our best to convey to you kind of the economics as best we can on a go-forward basis. So I'm not - we are managing to making sure that as we invest incremental dollars that those dollars have a high return on that capital. And so that's how we think about it.

Tyler Langton

Analyst

Okay. Great. That's helpful. And then, you can't I get into too many specifics, but just I mean, are your customers or sort of potential customers and sort of like the EV supply chain kind of expressing more interest I guess in finding sort of long-term supply agreements. Just sort of any color you could provide there will be helpful?

James Litinsky

Management

Yes. Well, I would say that we've had dialog with a variety of parties and it's broad, it's not just EVs, right. And certainly as it is intensely, but is also - there is, you've heard me say all of the things that are out there wind turbines, drones all of these exciting things. And there is standard other industrial items that you wouldn't think of and so as part of this transformation for electrification magnetics are really important. So there is a lot of industrial customers that we are pretty I would say engage with and figuring things out. I think that there is a lot of demand. It's certainly the semiconductor issue I think created a lot more - trying to think of the right word here, but a lot more excitement or urgency with a greater sense of urgency to make sure that there is supply chain security, and then obviously, I think when people start to really look at the numbers of what we're talking about. Again that urgency will only increase and then as I've made clear I think that I do believe that some of the last companies to realize that supply chain is existential. It's going to be existential and there'll be two ways. So I think that there'll be those who don't figure out how to lock down deals with us or someone like us, they're going to regret it. And so we're having all of those conversations and also realizing that we're in an outstanding strategic position. And so the last thing we want to do is make a bad deal for ourselves, we obviously want to make the right deal. And if it means being patient to make the right deal, we'll be patient but we can certainly have what I believe are a lot of options on the table and will continue moving forward until we ultimately do something. But again, the growth prospects are pretty exciting.

Tyler Langton

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks so much, that's it for me.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much. Our final question for the moment is from Matt Summerville of D.A Davidson. Matt, your line is open. Please continue.

Matt Summerville

Analyst

Thanks, just a couple of quick ones. I just want to be clear has output taken a permanent step function move higher here with Stage I given that 14% year-over-year growth metric you talked about in REO tons per hour. And it sounds like you may be fine-tuned sort of the process involving reagents such that you're not getting slowed down as you increase the feed rates. So can you just put all that together and help me out a little bit there?

James Litinsky

Management

Sure, Michael, do you want to chime in and talk operations?

Michael Rosenthal

Analyst

Sure. Yes, thanks for the question. I would say that over the last three years, we've been consistently working to increase the mineral recovery of our filtration process. And then as we get to a stable level we try to increase the throughput and so that, that process is ongoing, I don't think I'd necessarily say the 14% is representative of the step function that we'll see for the full year. But I think we're quite pleased with how the last quarter has gone and hope we continue to see stable growth.

Matt Summerville

Analyst

And then per one of the slides Ryan, you pointed out the $130 I think per time incremental cost from onboarding folks ahead of Stage II, going into production is there another incremental wave of hiring we should be thinking about as we model out production cost going forward from here?

Ryan Corbett

Management

It's a good question, I'd say for the rest of the year obviously, we don't give specific guidance. But I again using your term on step change, I wouldn't expect one for the rest of this year. Certainly, we're going to continue to make the right long-term decisions when we find the right candidates for certain roles that make sense to bring on obviously significantly ahead of commissioning. So you could see tick up some, but I don't expect a step-change. Obviously, we can talk more about 2022 when we get closer. But 2022 is certainly a year of transition, as we onboard full suite of folks to get ready to get Stage II, up and running and so that's a bit of a different story, that's kind of how I think about it.

Matt Summerville

Analyst

Great. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions on the line. So I'll hand back to the team.

James Litinsky

Management

All right. Well, thank you, everyone. Again, we are really proud this was a very productive quarter and we will keep at it. And we look forward to chatting with you all soon. So, thank you and see you soon.

Ryan Corbett

Management

Thanks, everyone.

Operator

Operator

Thank you all for joining today's conference call. The call is now concluded, and you may now disconnect your lines.