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Mercury Systems, Inc. (MRCY)

Q1 2026 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 5, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Mercury Systems First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to the company's Vice President of Investor Relations, Tyler Hojo. Please go ahead, Mr. Hojo.

Tyler Hojo

Investor Relations

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us. With me today is our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bill Ballhaus; and our Executive Vice President and CFO, Dave Farnsworth. If you have not received a copy of the earnings press release we issued earlier this afternoon, you can find it on our website at mrcy.com. The slide presentation that we will be referencing to is posted on the Investor Relations section of the website under Events and Presentations. Turning to Slide 2 in the presentation. I'd like to remind you that today's presentation includes forward-looking statements, including information regarding Mercury's financial outlook, future plans, objectives, business prospects and anticipated financial performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to future risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results or performance to differ materially. All forward-looking statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statements on Slide 2 in the earnings press release and the risk factors included in Mercury's SEC filings. I'd also like to mention that in addition to reporting financial results in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or GAAP, during our call, we will also discuss several non-GAAP financial measures, specifically adjusted income, adjusted earnings per share, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP metrics is included as an appendix to today's slide presentation and in the earnings press release. I'll now turn the call over to Mercury's Chairman and CEO, Bill Ballhaus. Please turn to Slide 3.

William Ballhaus

Management

Thanks, Tyler. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining our Q1 FY '26 earnings call. We delivered Q1 results that were ahead of our expectations with solid year-over-year growth in backlog, revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow. Our ability to accelerate deliveries on a number of our customers' high-priority programs once again contributed to strong results this quarter. Today, I'll cover 3 topics: first, some introductory comments on our business and results; second, an update on our 4 priorities: performance excellence, building a thriving growth engine, expanding margins and driving improved free cash flow; and third, performance expectations for the balance of FY '26 and longer term. Then I'll turn it over to Dave, who will walk through our financial results in more detail. Before jumping in, I'd like to thank our customers for their collaborative partnership and the trust they put in Mercury to support their most critical programs. I'd also like to thank our Mercury team for their dedication and commitment to delivering mission-critical processing at the edge. Please turn to Slide 4. Our Q1 results support our expectations for robust organic growth with expanding margins and positive free cash flow. Bookings of $250 million and a 1.11 book-to-bill, resulting in a record backlog of $1.4 billion. Revenue of $225 million, up 10.2% year-over-year, adjusted EBITDA of $35.6 million and adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.8%, up 66% and 530 basis points, respectively, year-over-year; and free cash outflow of $4.4 million, a $16.5 million improvement in free cash flow year-over-year. We ended Q1 with $305 million of cash on hand. These results reflect ongoing focus on our 4 priority areas with highlights that include solid execution across our broad portfolio of production and development programs, backlog growth of 6.5% year-over-year, a streamlined operating structure enabling increased positive operating leverage…

David Farnsworth

Management

Thank you, Bill. Our first quarter results continue to reflect solid progress toward our goal of positioning the business to deliver performance excellence characterized by organic growth, expanding margins and robust free cash flow. We still have work to do, but we are encouraged by the progress we have made and expect to continue this momentum throughout fiscal 2026. With that, please turn to Slide 10, which details our first quarter results. Our bookings for the quarter were $250.2 million with a book-to-bill of 1.11. Our record backlog of $1.4 billion is up $86.4 million or 6.5% year-over-year. Revenues for the first quarter were $225.2 million, up approximately $21 million or 10.2% compared to the prior year. During the first quarter, we were again able to accelerate customer deliveries worth approximately $20 million of revenue previously planned to be delivered in Q2 FY '26. Gross margin for the first quarter increased approximately 260 basis points to nearly 28% as compared to the same quarter last year. Gross margin improvement during the first quarter was primarily driven by favorable program mix, lower manufacturing adjustments of $7.4 million and a reduction in net EAC change impacts of approximately $4 million or 51% year-over-year. As Bill previously noted, we expect to see an improvement in our gross margin performance over time, as the average margin in our backlog improves through our continued focus on building a thriving growth engine, coupled with ongoing initiatives to simplify, automate and optimize our operations. Operating expenses increased $6.3 million or 9.6% year-over-year. The increase was primarily driven by higher compensation costs and incremental litigation and settlement expenses within selling, general and administrative costs of $7.3 million and $6 million, respectively. These increases were partially offset by a reduction in research and development costs of $5.2 million or…

William Ballhaus

Operator

Thanks, Dave. With that, operator, please proceed with the Q&A.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Ken Herbert with RBC.

Kenneth Herbert

Analyst · RBC

Nice results, Bill and Dave. Maybe just to start off, when we back out sort of the pull forward on the revenues, you're sort of basically flat in terms of the growth with 12%-ish EBITDA margins, sort of in line, I think, with how you were initially guiding for the first quarter? Can you just talk about your ongoing ability to continue to pull the revenues forward as we think about that as through the rest of the fiscal year? And I know, obviously, it's hard to predict that and depending upon a lot of factors. But how do we think about that? And how do we think about that from a potential to really drive sort of incremental upside as we go through the rest of the fiscal year?

William Ballhaus

Operator

Yes. Ken, thanks. This is Bill. I'll take that. If I think about the last few quarters, we have been successful as we've worked our way through the quarters at looking at the constraints on delivering to our customers and for their high priority programs, being able to work through the constraints and accelerate deliveries. The challenge with doing that is we really don't have good line of sight on how we're working through those constraints, until we get toward the middle or the end of the quarter. And so as we think about Q2 and our commentary for the balance of the year, that's the primary reason why we haven't factored any future accelerations into it. That said, we're continuing across our portfolio every day and every week to work on constraints and trying to accelerate for our customers. And we hear loud and clear from our customers that in today's environment, if -- in general, if we can deliver early, that's a very good thing for them and for their customers. So we continue to work through it. The kinds of things that we're working through are largely tied to trying to accelerate material from our suppliers, in some cases, we have some factory constraints that we need to try and work our way through as material comes in. And those are the kinds of things that we're working on, on a day-to-day basis. So again, we haven't factored it into our outlook for Q2 or for the rest of the year. We do continue to work it. And as we're successful in accelerating deliveries, then obviously, we pull that into our updated view on the current period in the fiscal year.

Kenneth Herbert

Analyst · RBC

And if I could, the additional capacity that you're bringing online in Phoenix, what's the timing? And can you help maybe -- help us quantify sort of what that could add in terms of either capacity or ultimately what it could add from a revenue standpoint?

William Ballhaus

Operator

Yes. I mean, I think, to answer the question, I'd like to take a step back and answer it in the broader context of how we're thinking about our approach to scaling up, not only to meet our anticipated ramp, but also any potential tailwinds across a broad number of programs in our portfolio, where we're having active conversations with our customers today about increased quantity. And I would say our general outlook is that our investment profile in order to meet the anticipated ramp-up in front of us, and the potential tailwinds, I would categorize as an elegant profile, meaning incremental investment when we have line of sight to the demand. And the kinds of places that we would be investing would be adding multiple shifts. Most of our locations are operating on a single shift or an extended shift. So, we have capacity to add multiple shifts. And on certain lines, we might increase automation with additional test equipment, so that we could accelerate our processing and shrink our cycle time. So in general, what we see are incremental investments like that, that are tied to firm demand and typically not in advance of that demand. I'd say the one exception to what I just described is the capacity that we're bringing online in Phoenix that is currently and has been in our cost structure, in our operating expense in terms of the rent. We are making some incremental investments in terms of CapEx to bring additional lines up in that factory. And it's intended in the near term to meet the anticipated demand increase for our Common Processing Architecture program. I won't dimension [indiscernible] the capacity that we could potentially bring online, because it's really tied to the number of shifts, do we work extended weeks, those kinds of things. And right now, we're not forecasting or anticipating the need to do that across the board in Phoenix.

David Farnsworth

Management

I think, Bill, I would just add that it gives us additional flexibility in -- to be able to flex up.

William Ballhaus

Operator

Absolutely.

Kenneth Herbert

Analyst · RBC

Great.

William Ballhaus

Operator

And just to be clear on that point, we will have the ability to ramp up and scale up efficiently on other programs in that space should some of the tailwinds that I've mentioned materialize in bookings.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Pete Arment with Baird.

Peter Arment

Analyst · Pete Arment with Baird

Nice results there.

William Ballhaus

Operator

Peter, you're a little --

David Farnsworth

Management

Peter, we can't hear you.

William Ballhaus

Operator

Yes, it's a little quiet.

Peter Arment

Analyst · Pete Arment with Baird

Can you hear me now?

William Ballhaus

Operator

It's a little bit better, but I think Dave puts his ear really close to the speaker, we should be able to pick up.

David Farnsworth

Management

Go ahead, Peter.

Peter Arment

Analyst · Pete Arment with Baird

I'm sorry. Can you --

William Ballhaus

Operator

Here we go.

David Farnsworth

Management

[indiscernible]

Peter Arment

Analyst · Pete Arment with Baird

[indiscernible] on the CPA, you guys have had a couple of good bookings quarters coming into this first quarter, and it sounds like you've had some other follow-on orders. Just could you give us the latest on how that production is ramping up?

David Farnsworth

Management

Yes. And this has been a multi-quarter progression going back to when we first brought back up the line and went through a very methodical approach to initial production. And our commentary all along has been that we had confidence that once we started to produce again and increase production, we would start to see bookings fall. And that has been the progression that we've seen. And we believe that as we continue to ramp up production and deliver, that will unlock future demand. So this is one of the parts of the business where we're continuing to focus on what we call ramp to rate, higher rate production, because we can see the potential demand, customer demand for our existing CPA products. We're also focused on how we can expand that TAM and investments that we can make in different form factors with a similar kind of CPA architecture and approach, that over time we think could expand the TAM to additional platforms where we could sell this technology into. So we're excited about the progress that we're making on our programs, the increases in production that we've been able to achieve. And this is obviously a part of the business that we're very committed to. We're excited about, and we see significant growth potential.

Peter Arment

Analyst · Pete Arment with Baird

That's great color. And then if you could also just comment on kind of the European defense environment. It sounds like you're getting favorable follow-on production awards there, and seeing that mix continue to ramp?

William Ballhaus

Operator

Yes, it's interesting. As we think about just the market broadly, the general tailwinds that we're seeing fall into a couple of different categories. I'd say, first, it's the growth in the domestic budgets. And it's not just the size of the defense budget, it's also the percent that's being allocated to the acquisition of technology and capabilities like we delivered. And there's also some interesting tailwinds with executive orders around the use of commercial technology and certain priorities like Golden Dome. And then another major driver, which you mentioned is the tailwinds in Europe tied to the ReArm Europe initiative, where defense budgets look like in aggregate, they're tripling over the next few years towards $1 trillion in aggregate. We have very strong channels to market to that European defense budget growth. If we look at our last -- our trailing 12 months, the growth of that part of the business has been about 15%, when we look at direct to European primes and via FMS. And I would say that, that's largely before the tailwinds have really kicked in. Now the conversations that I alluded to earlier that we're having with our primes domestically are mirrored with the European primes, where we're talking about increased quantities, accelerating rates, things like that, in areas primarily associated with EW and radar processing. Now those are conversations that are early in the pipeline, but I do think they're healthy and reflective of what could be a healthy demand environment internationally, where, again, we have good exposure, and we have a demonstrated growth rate in the 15% range over the last 12 months.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Seth Seifman with JPMorgan.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Seth Seifman with JPMorgan

This is [ Rocco ] on for Seth. As expected, gross margins took a bit of a step back in Q1. How should we be thinking about the margin progression through the year? Are volumes the key to expanding margins? Or are there other focus pieces to watch?

William Ballhaus

Operator

Well, I'd say year-over-year, our gross margins are up about 260 basis points, and that was really a key enabler to our EBITDA margin expansion of over 500 basis points year-over-year. So we feel really good about the progression of our margins toward our target profile. And as we said before, we've got clear line of sight to our target profile that consists of improvements to our average backlog margin, as we convert low-margin backlog and replace it with bookings that are in line with our target margin, increased initiatives to drive automation and efficiency and then positive operating leverage. Those are really the 3 components of our bridge from where we are today that, again, over the last 2 quarters, our EBITDA margin has been 17.4%, and we feel like we're on our way towards the target profile of low to mid-20s focused on those 3 components.

David Farnsworth

Management

And Rocco, I know you -- I think your question, you were looking sequentially?

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Seth Seifman with JPMorgan

Yes. [indiscernible] sequentially.

David Farnsworth

Management

Yes. So sequentially, of course, there's a little bit of mix in there, from the margin standpoint. So Q4 and when we talked about this on the earnings call, we talked about, it had a very favorable mix for us during that quarter. And so we did -- our expectation was not that Q1 would approximate that same mix.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Seth Seifman with JPMorgan

Right. That makes sense. And then how should we think about free cash flow conversion this year? Should we expect it to come in below the target of 50% following the strong conversion last year? Or is there additional cash to pull out in the near term?

David Farnsworth

Management

Well, as Bill said, and we've been talking about, we're focused on getting our working capital to the level it should be, and what we feel like the model gets us to. Of course, that takes time, and there's quarter-to-quarter kind of perturbations around that, because of timing of billings and shipments. But we do expect over the long run that we'll be at that 50% level. And -- but in any given quarter, that's -- we're not saying our expectation is this quarter or next quarter that it will be that way. But over time, and what we said for FY '26 is we expect to be free cash flow positive. Cash flow positive with the second half higher than the first half.

William Ballhaus

Operator

And I think as we progress through FY '26, over time we'll be able to provide an updated view on that.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Austin Moeller with Canaccord Genuity.

Austin Moeller

Analyst · Austin Moeller with Canaccord Genuity

Just my first question here. Can you walk us through the delivery timeline for LTAMDS based on what's currently in your backlog and the contract that was recently received by Raytheon for the next batch?

David Farnsworth

Management

Yes. Thanks for the question. I don't think we'll comment on the current deliveries and the current timeline associated with option year 1. With respect to what you referenced, there's typically a time constant from the time that primes in general, get awarded their funding until we get our funding. And we're working through the progressions associated with that time constant. And as those conversations materialize in bookings, then I think we'll be able to give an updated view on our commentary.

Austin Moeller

Analyst · Austin Moeller with Canaccord Genuity

Okay. And how do you view the revenue growth rate and backlog opportunity for your U.S. versus international customers?

David Farnsworth

Management

I mean we feel good about both potentials for growth. I don't think we've quantified one versus the other. But certainly, the tailwinds and -- that Bill talked about make us feel good about the long-term prospects for growth in both of those marketplaces.

William Ballhaus

Operator

Yes. I agree. I mean, both domestically, internationally and as we look across our portfolio in general, we see a number of different growth drivers and potential tailwinds above getting to our target profile, which we've spoken to.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Ho with William Blair.

Jonathan Ho

Analyst · Jonathan Ho with William Blair

Congratulations on the strong results. Just wanted to ask quickly on Golden Dome and maybe what you're seeing there. Is there any sort of update in terms of timing or potential opportunities just given your ability to participate in all the theaters?

David Farnsworth

Management

Well, thanks, Jonathan. Thanks for the comment and for the question. I'd say it's still early in terms of specifics on where funding will be allocated and the timing with which it will be allocated. I will say, though, I feel like we are well positioned with respect to how that opportunity could materialize. And specifically, when you think about the different layers associated with a Golden Dome, a space layer, an airborne layer, tracking layer, interceptor, ground-based processing, shipboard processing, et cetera. And the administration's commitment to having capabilities in place over a 3-year timeframe, it really points to existing capabilities in those layers, and we participate across that entire architecture. And so while there's some uncertainty around the specifics and the timing, we do believe that over time as the funding priorities are clear and the funding is allocated to programs, eventually that's going to translate into increased demand for mission-critical processing at the edge on the platforms in those different layers, and we feel very positioned to capture those tailwinds. So there's uncertainty around the specifics. We do expect things to unfold over time, but we are very confident and believe we're well positioned to be able to capture those tailwinds, because of our broad exposure across that architecture.

Jonathan Ho

Analyst · Jonathan Ho with William Blair

And just as a quick follow-up, I just want to make sure -- I didn't completely hear one of the questions. But in terms of the U.S. government shutdown, are you seeing any impact either to funding or -- and to program starts -- or contract awards? Just wanted to make sure that there was some impact there?

David Farnsworth

Management

Yes. I would say that so far, the -- any impact associated with the shutdown, we'd say is very minimal. And there's a couple of factors behind that response. One is we have very good backlog coverage as we look at our outlook for the fiscal year. Most of our funding comes through the primes and most of our awards come from the primes. I would say that if there's an extended shutdown over time, we could see some timing-related impacts associated with new bookings. But at this point, we haven't seen anything that is beyond minimal.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Michael Ciarmoli with Truist Securities.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Michael Ciarmoli with Truist Securities

This is actually [ Sam ] on for Mike. Congrats on the nice quarter. I was curious, obviously, last quarter, you guys talked to kind of trying to work down some of the lower-margin older backlog that you guys have. I was curious if you could just give a general update on how you feel like you're progressing with that? And kind of thoughts for the rest of the year? And if there's any relationship between the pull forward on the higher-margin work and execution on that lower-margin portfolio?

David Farnsworth

Management

Yes. I think as -- sorry. As was pointed out earlier, we did accelerate some high-margin activity from Q2. We were able to complete it in Q1. So when you kind of normalize for that, we were very close to the range we were thinking about or had communicated. So, I think we made good progress on burning down or expanding some of the lower-margin activity. Still have some to go. We talked about we're going to be working on that throughout the year but made good progress and the higher margin was a result of the mix of high-margin things that we were able to bring into the quarter.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst · Michael Ciarmoli with Truist Securities

Great. And if I could just do one follow-up. On free cash flow, obviously, you guys mentioned kind of second half will be the stronger generation for the year. But should we kind of think about a steady sequential progression through 2Q into the second half? Or should it -- we think about it maybe more as a bit of a step function increase once we get closer to the end of the year?

David Farnsworth

Management

Yes. I think we only talk about cash for the year and talk about it being stronger in the second half. Cash can be -- can vary quarter-to-quarter based on just timing.

Operator

Operator

Your final question comes from the line of Sheila Kah with Jefferies.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

Analyst · Jefferies

Maybe if I could just start off on your margin. You talked about margin improvement from the 16% we saw in the quarter to your target of low to mid-20s, and that's based on visibility in your bookings, positive operating leverage and increased automation. Can you maybe talk about how we should think about the timing of those? And then maybe as a follow-up to that, how we should think about the backlog margin composition as you think about your core business? And the order momentum you've seen in recent quarters?

David Farnsworth

Management

Yes. So as far as the timing goes, it really depends on how we convert over the next few quarters. If you think back to when we made the comment about our backlog margin being lower than what we would typically expect to see, it was at the end of FY '24. And since that time, we've commented that we've been able to bring in bookings that are in line with our targeted profile. So the low-margin programs in our backlog distribution at the end of FY '24 will burn off over some period of time from the end of FY '24. Now our backlog duration isn't a year, but it also isn't 2-plus years. So somewhere between, I don't know, 8 quarters-ish, that low-margin backlog should pretty much all convert. And so that would put us in the FY '27 timeframe. So we want to see how we progress through FY '26. The progress we make in Q2, Q3 and Q4 before we get any more precise around how we expect to converge on the target profile. Your second question, our backlog progression has been in line with our expectations. We've seen an increased mix towards production, which we think is just healthy in general, given the heavy mix of development programs that we had going back to 2 years ago. And the margin profile of our backlog is converging on what we believe is consistent with our targeted margin profile.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

Analyst · Jefferies

Can I actually ask one more question on the buyback. Why now on the share repurchase agreement? And just do we think about the buyback program using the revolver balance to fund the buyback?

William Ballhaus

Operator

Thanks, Sheila. This is Bill. I'll take that one. We've made a lot of progress on delevering, which has been our focus over the last couple of years. And we've seen significant free cash flow. I think over the last 4 quarters, our free cash flow has been just north of $130 million. And while our primary focus is on the organic value creation opportunity in front of us, and that's primarily tied to the top line ramp, as we transition toward production, and the margin expansion that we've talked about, we also want to make sure that we've got the all appropriate degrees of freedom available to us, so that we can drive long-term shareholder value. So we haven't talked anymore about our plans for capital deployment beyond that other than our primary focus is the organic value creation opportunity in front of us. But we want to have access to all the levers and degrees of freedom.

Operator

Operator

Mr. Ballhaus, that appears that there are no further questions. I would like to turn the call back over to you for any closing remarks.

William Ballhaus

Operator

Casey, thank you, and thank you to all of you who participated today. We look forward to getting together to discuss our results next quarter. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.