Kirsten Lynch
Analyst · Morgan Stanley.
Thanks, Megan. The source for our new pass holders, as I noted in spring, is primarily the prior season lift ticket guests. But when we look on a full pass selling cycle basis, it is -- the source of new pass holders comes from lift ticket guests, but it also comes from our lapsed lift ticket guests, our lapsed pass holders, and prospects. And we have, as you know, an extensive database to know those guests and know where they skied, when they skied, how often they skied to be able to connect with them one-to-one. Related to lift ticket price, our pricing strategy is set very deliberately to move people into advanced commitment because that is what creates stability for us versus the variable decision-making that comes from a refundable product like a lift ticket. When we have a product line that enables us to have a very strong transition from lift tickets into a pass called Epic Day Pass that allows people to move into one through seven days, and we've watched this, I believe it was in FY '19, if I'm remembering that correctly, we launched that in order to actually capture those guests that are skiing at a lower frequency and have had enormous success in doing that, as I mentioned during the script, we've grown our pass product sales 62% units and 43% in sales dollars over the past three years and Epic Day Pass has been a huge portion of that. But the other part of our strategy is that we have a diverse portfolio of resorts and some of those are local, some of those are regional, and some of those are destination, and when you look at [technical difficulty] ticket price for a local resort versus a regional resort versus a destination resort, meaning for the people who are starting the sport or taking up the sport, we don't often see them buying a plane ticket and traveling to one of the destination resorts, we have a network that allows a lift ticket purchase at a very reasonable price with first time programs to support them as they start to sport at low prices at those local resorts and then as they move to regional and destination. So I think right now, the lift ticket decline, what we see in our data, when we look at the lift ticket decline, is relative to when the conditions were good versus when the conditions were bad and there is a conditions impact, but there is also industry normalization impact based on that behavior. I do not at this point believe that the 17% decline is related to the price of lift tickets because we tend to move those people into Epic Day Pass versus it just being direct on leaving the sport.