Andrew Clyde
Analyst · Bonnie Herzog of Wells Fargo
Yes. On the things that we can control, we've good visibility on, but as you know, Bonnie, the bottom line is going to be a function of fuel margins. And we have absolutely 0 visibility on that. I think Dan and maybe a couple of other analyst said, oh, you can hit your guidance, if you have seasonally normal margins. That's how we build our plan, that's how we set our guidance. We don't look for seasonally abnormal events to happen. And so I know there's a lot of angst about, are we going to hit our guidance or not? And we have to have seasonally normal numbers to achieve that. If we do, we're going to achieve it. If we don't, we may have a follow-up like 2014 and below our guidance out of the water, or we can have a continued run-up in prices and miss our guidance. And so we're going to consider the angst. The analyst, investors have around this guidance as we think about 2019 guidance, because if we gave you guidance plus or minus a cent per gallon, which isn't an unreasonable RIN, you would find it completely unproductive and non-informative about the business, right? If we try to narrow it to $0.005 a gallon, right? We get a lot more angst and anxiety around it. So in a normalized margin environment, which we have no line of sight on a year in advance, we do know we're going to continue to make significant improvements to our business, top line, bottom line, margin dollars, cost, etcetera, and that's how we're going to grow this business. And normal and abnormal effects from weather, storms, regulations, etcetera, that impact our business, frankly, are just bumps along the road to driving long-term shareholder value. And So we're going to think hard about how we provide guidance next year, but it might look different, given the ongoing angst that we continue to get, given the question. I hope that's helpful. But I have a clear visibility into the rest of the year, what margins are going to do. And if you have got better, sure we'd love to hear it.