Earnings Labs

NovaGold Resources Inc. (NG)

Q1 2019 Earnings Call· Wed, Apr 3, 2019

$7.85

-4.03%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. This is the conference operator. Welcome to the NOVAGOLD First Quarter 2019 Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to turn the conference over to Melanie Hennessey, Vice President, Corporate Communications. Please go ahead.

Melanie Hennessey

Analyst

Thank you, Arielle, and good morning everyone. We are pleased that you have joined us on NOVAGOLD’s first quarter financial results and also for an update on the Donlin Gold project. On today’s call, we have Greg Lang, NOVAGOLD’s President and CEO; and David Ottewell, NOVAGOLD’s Vice President and CFO. We also have our Chairman, Dr. Thomas Kaplan, who will be on hand to answers questions at the end of the call. At the end of the webcast, we will take questions, both by phone and by e-mail. Before we get started, I would like to remind our listeners that any statements made today may contain forward-looking information such as projections and goals, which are likely to involve risks detailed in our various EDGAR and SEDAR filings and forward-looking disclaimers included in this presentation. With that, I have the pleasure of introducing Greg Lang, NOVAGOLD’s President and CEO. Greg?

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Thank you, Melanie. Good morning, everyone. Our 50% owned Federally permitted Donlin Gold project is in Alaska, the second largest gold producing state in the U.S. and is located approximately 300 miles west of Anchorage, as shown on slide 4. On slide 5, we highlight two state permits received in the first quarter. The Alaska Department of Environmental Conservation issued the Final Waste Management Permit and the Alaska Department of Natural Resources issued the Final Reclamation and Closure Plan Approval in January. We are advancing other state permits regarding the project's transportation corridor and pipeline. Additionally, we are commencing work needed for the Alaska Dam Safety certificates that will carry on into 2020. Permitting largely complete, we are increasing our focus on continuing to integrate scoping-level optimization work into a study that will become the basis for an updated project development plan. Slide 6 outlines the permit work that the team has already accomplished over the past year, heavily de-risking the Donlin Gold project, while staying on track with our strategy. With Federal Permits in hand, we have the right, but not the obligation to conduct work on site. Highlighted in green are the two most recent state permits, that were received in the first quarter which I mentioned in the previous slide. We will keep you updated as other permits come in. A big part of our activities in Alaska is working with both Calista and TKC, our native corporation partners. Over the past few months, we continued our outreach efforts and met with tribal councils and key stakeholders in the Y-K region. In the first quarter, NOVAGOLD and Donlin Gold participated in several community activities. Some of the highlights include a meeting with career counselors in the Lower Kuskokwim School District with the goal of engaging youth in an upcoming career fair and participating in the Alaska Forum on the environment where we received the Green Star Certification certificate that recognizes businesses for their efforts in sustainable Environmental Stewardship. Additionally, Donlin Gold hosted their Annual Safety Expo ahead of the Iron Dog Race in Alaska. We attended the State of Alaska Legislative session in Juneau, where we met with state representatives and senators, as well as the newly elected Governor, Michael Dunleavy. Transparent and open communications with local communities is an essential part of our day-to-day responsibilities in the region. And with that, I'll turn it over to our Chief Financial Officer, David Ottewell.

David Ottewell

Analyst

Thank you, Greg. Slide 8 highlights our first quarter operating performance. For the first quarter, we’ve reported a $6.3 million net loss, $1.9 million lower than the prior year. The net loss decreased primarily due to lower share-based compensation costs, lower permitting costs at Donlin Gold, increased interest income and accretion of notes receivable, partially offset by higher interest expense on the promissory note payable to Barrick and foreign exchange losses. NOVAGOLD's cash flow highlights are outlined on slide 9. In the first quarter we spent $5.2 million, $1.8 million lower than the prior year quarter. Total spending decreased due to lower permitting costs at Donlin Gold, increased interest income on term deposits, and the sale of Galore Creek in July 2018, partially offset by withholding taxes paid on vested PSUs. We ended the quarter with $161.8 million in cash and term deposits. In 2019, we continue to expect to spend a total of $24 million, including $13 million for our share of Donlin Gold, and $11 million for corporate, general and administrative costs. At Donlin Gold, 2019 spending is expected to increase with the commencement of field work and detailed engineering to support the application for Alaska Dam Safety Certificates. Looking ahead, as a result of our sale of Galore Creek last year, we have $100 million receivable from Newmont, with an additional $75 million contingent on Galore Creek construction. Back to you, Greg.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Thank you, Dave. Now for a brief overview of Donlin Gold, with its significant size, high grade, incredible output and a mine life measured in decades, along with excellent exploration upside, strong local partnerships and jurisdictional appeal, Donlin Gold is expected to be a pacesetter in the precious metals industry for years to come. I will speak to each of these attributes in the coming slides. Beginning with size, on slide 12, we compare Donlin to 17 other development stage projects in the industry. And if you look at the peer group average, with 39 million ounces Donlin is unique and more than five times the size of the average peer group. Another key attribute shown on slide 13 is the outstanding quality of the deposit. Donlin's grade at 2.25 grams is double the industry average. Given the rapid decline in gold, reserves and grade, deposits such as this are needed to sustain the industry. Beyond the size and quality, Donlin Gold has longevity with an anticipated production profile of greater than 1 million ounces a year, over a 27-year mine life. With the mine life measured in decades, once in production, the project is expected to be the largest contributor in the region, and will bring great benefits to its stakeholders for many years to come. The bubble chart on slide 15, shows the scale of the project and how it compares to 10 largest gold producing mines in the world. Only six are expected to produce more than 1 million ounces a year this year, further illustrating that projects like Donlin are very scarce and needed to replenish the industry's diminishing reserves. Slide 16 depicts the challenges of finding new gold deposits as defined by the blue bars. Gold is getting harder to find, and even as the…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Lucas Pipes of B. Riley FBR.

Lucas Pipes

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Hey, good morning, everyone. How are you doing? I wanted to follow up a little bit, Greg on the optimization study that you mentioned. Could you share with us a little bit more in regards to timing? And then what parts you're most focused on at this time. Thank you very much.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Good morning, Lucas. Thanks for joining the call. Our partner -- we've been working very closely with them the last couple of months. As you might imagine there is a lot of data for the new executives to get their arms around. And we're continuing to pursue that with them and advance our execution plan for this year. But I think we're still some months out from committing to a firm gate on when Barrick will finish getting their arms around the project. And as they do we'll keep everyone posted.

Lucas Pipes

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Excellent, thank you. And then you've touched on it in terms of the major changes we've seen in the industry, with this consolidation. Greg, what do you think could this mean for Donlin and NOVAGOLD, I would appreciate your perspective on that.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Lucas, we don't really give a lot of thought to what's happening around us in the industry. I think it's fascinating. And really this year, we're financially strong and we're in a great spot to continue to move our project forward.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Hi Lucas, it's Tom. Can everyone hear me?

Lucas Pipes

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Hey, Tom. I can hear you, yes.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Great. I'll add just one wrinkle to Greg's answer. When we look back upon the value proposition, and the upside potential of Donlin being unlocked, I believe that I will be proven to be right, that the Barrick-Randgold merger is indeed the White Swan that I referred to in my last comments in the conference call that preceded this one, as well as in my letter to shareholders. The first of that White Swan's offspring -- little swans are called cygnets -- the first white cygnet from that is what we just witnessed between Newmont and Barrick. 25 years ago, the frontier gold rush, the go where the gold is phenomenon, that led from the United States being the most coveted jurisdiction for gold mines to people moving into Peru, when Newmont went in with Buenaventura on Yanacocha, and of course Freeport to Indonesia, and then ultimately Africa and everywhere else. As you know, for a number of years, I believe that, that era is over. And again, I have [standing] [ph]. It was very, very good for me in a number of these countries. But about seven or eight years ago, we realized that it was ultimately all going to come around to jurisdiction. That if one really wanted to be able to get maximum premium valuation for assets, not to mention the ability to sleep at night, you're going to want to be in safe jurisdictions; North America, Australia and the like. And so we withdrew from almost everything in the developing world. And the reason was we thought resource nationalism would rear its head, and it's the nature of resource nationalism, that it's not something that could be contained. And when someone sees that their neighbor over the fence is getting a better deal from a mining…

Lucas Pipes

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Tom, thank you so much for that detailed description. It’s great to hear that and great to hear that highlighted. Thank you.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Thank you, Lucas.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Terrence More [ph], a Private Investor.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. First thing, I was looking at your measured and indicated, you got measured at 6 million, roughly 6 million ounces, indicated 33 million ounces. Would you do me the honor of differentiating those two and explaining why the indicator is not in a measured?

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Well, good morning Terrence, you've actually asked a question which would require a fairly in-depth answer. But I guess the simplest way to put it is the function of the drill holes density. And I'd observe that we strictly adhere to the industry and statutory requirements in how we compute and report our reserves and resources.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, the indicated, the vast amount, your 39 million overwhelmingly is in indicated -- is indicated, that does not have the sound of finality to it. So I know what my question is, is your possibility that you wind up with much less than 39 million ounces.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Terrence, I think to give you more sense of the classification, there is measured and indicated then inferred, and only if you're looking for a category that's if you would say at-risk to either get increased or decreased, it's typically in the inferred. Measured and indicated are very, very solid. And I would direct you to our webpages, which have really very in-depth detailed technical descriptions of the criteria that supports each one of those various classifications. And if you have trouble locating it, please feel free to reach out to us and we will direct you to the appropriate spot in our data.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I've got it on my computer now, I can find that. I appreciate that. Now my next question is, what is the projected date for production to start if there is one?

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Well, Terrence, at this stage, we have not announced a development plan. It's our strategy to position this asset, because when the prices and markets are right we're in the position to go forward. And Tom would you like to expand on that question little bit?

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Did you look to me?

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Yes.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

When the conditions are right, when the gold price is higher, can everyone hear me?

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Yes.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Yes.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Hello?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hello, yeah, I can hear you.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Yeah, we can hear you, Tom.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Are we still on?

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

We seem, Terrence, we seem to have encountered a communication failure there. But really to answer your question a little bit more.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

I'm back on, sorry about that. I hope you can hear me now.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Much better.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Much better, great. Basically, when the gold prices rise, and we'll know it when we see it. Don't ask me what that price is going to be? You'll see it in an explosion in the share price, you'll see it in investor sentiment. People will understand that the next leg of the bull market is moving. That's when we and of course we have a partner -- and Barrick will make a construction decision.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Tom the reason I asked that, because I've been an investor in NOVAGOLD for many years, literally many. And I remember -- and correct me if I'm mistaken, but my memory is usually pretty good that at one point NOVAGOLD was offered to buy out at $17 a share which NOVAGOLD turned down. And that was --

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

That correct. That was before I was a shareholder in the company by the way. That was 2006, when Barrick made a hostile bid, correct. I came into the company on December 31, 2008. It was a very, very different story at that time. The one thing that I can tell you is that if you have read the annual report, you will see that every promise we've ever made to investors from the time that we have come into the company, we have fulfilled each and every one of them. I don't think there are many companies that over the last decade would be able to say they haven't made one mistake. And the result is that we have a federally permitted project in the United States with one of the best management teams in this space. We haven't done anything to dilute shareholder value. On the contrary we spun off Trilogy, which is now a $0.25 billion company in its own right. We sold Galore, not for pennies but for real money. We are now a pure play on 50% of an asset that in its own right could rival Nevada. Now you've been an investor for a long time, and you've clearly seen that the last decade has been very difficult for gold stocks over the most part. Nonetheless, what I would suggest is that where we are now in a position to be able to wait for the higher gold prices that will allow us to get the kind of great return that everyone should be looking for before they build a gold mine in this environment. We are, I think, better positioned than any other company in this industry. So I hope to be able to reward you. One thing, I can assure you, I sit exactly on your side of the table. If anything, you could say that the owner lives above the shop. I love the story more now than when we got into it 10 years ago and I was pretty excited then. But the fact that all of the boxes have been checked, the fact that we have been de-risks. The fact that all of the upside is so very clearly obvious, and that we are sitting with enough cash to be able to survive any downdraft in the industry that could devastate other companies that are producing or developing prematurely in my view. This is exactly the kind of vehicle that you should be looking for. I know personally, this is exactly the kind of vehicle that I want. And I don't know if anyone that is better, because if there were, I would be buying it.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I appreciate that. And I'm still with the company. I've got a good position with you. But let me let me wrap this up, because somebody else might have a question. I can't ask all the questions. You mentioned Galore Creek, which was one of the things I was going to bring up because you did not address that. You sold 50% Galore Creek, but we still retained 50%. What is the status of Galore Creek as far as development?

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Well, Tom. I'll take that question.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Please take that one, Greg. Thank you.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Terrence, we had owned 50% of Galore Creek and it was co-owned by Teck. So now we sold 100% of our 50% interest. So Galore Creek are owned by Teck and Newmont.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. All right. I did not understand that, I though we still had 50% of that. Last thing gentlemen, let me make a comment here. I am glad to see that Paulson is owns a lot of your stock, because I am also in the Detour and Detour was an absolute mess. It was a scam until Paulson took over the Board and straightened that company up. So I have a lot of hope for Detour too under Paulson's leadership. So just thought I'd throw it in there that I think it's a good point that Mr. Paulson and his companies are heavily invested in NOVAGOLD.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

We're very pleased to have them as shareholders and I'm sure your remarks will find their way to Paulson Group.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I hope so. Okay, gentlemen, thank you very much. Sorry take up so much time.

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

All right. Thank you.

Thomas Kaplan

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

Thank you Terrence.

Operator

Operator

This concludes…

Gregory Lang

Analyst · B. Riley FBR

All right, well everyone. Thank you for your interest in NOVAGOLD. We appreciate you taking the time to join our call. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.