Clay Williams
Analyst · Dahlman Rose
Thank you, Pete. National Oilwell Varco produced excellent results in the second quarter, posting revenues of $3.5 billion, earnings of $1.13 per fully diluted share for the period. Our quarter included transaction charges of $4 million pretax, and excluding these, earnings were $1.14 per fully diluted share. Operating profit, excluding transaction charges, was $712 million or 20.3% of sales, higher than we expected, due to strong margin performance from Rig Technology, which offset expected seasonal margin declines from Petroleum Services & Supplies and Distribution Services stemming from breakup in Canada and flooding in the Bakken area. Margins in these 2 segments also faced some additional mix challenges, which I will detail in a few minutes. But nevertheless performed well due -- to meet the rising needs of our customers. Strong demand in the North American shale plays and good international activity contributed to solid results for both segments. Like others in our industry, we have been witnessing a steady migration within North American shale activity. Gas prices have remained range bound in the $4 neighborhood since 2009, below the average for the 2003-to-2008 period, leading to levels of gas drilling about 40% below their 2007-2008 peaks. However, declining gas rigs have been more than offset by growing levels of oil-directed drilling, which has risen sharply to levels not seen in 25 years, fueled by sustained high crude prices. Together with rising deepwater production from the Gulf, the 400,000 barrels of oil per day flowing from shales have resulted in the first increases in U.S. oil production in a generation. The great migration of activity from gas to oil has created new opportunities for our operations, along with new challenges, as we reposition our assets and workforce to continue to meet the pressing needs of the petroleum industry. As a result, both the Petroleum Services & Supplies and Distribution Services segments are expanding rapidly into new geographic areas to build out the infrastructure required of us. The Bakken region of North Dakota and Southern Saskatchewan, the Utica and Marcellus Shales across the upper Midwest and the East Coast, the Eagle Ford Shale of South Texas are pulling workers and iron into new frontier regions, while oil productive regions of old like California, the Rockies, the Permian Basin of West Texas are experiencing new growth. Our Service operations are busy investing and repositioning to be where our customers need us, adding solids control equipment and generator sets to new field locations, opening tubular inspection and drill pipe repair facilities in growing regions and investing in our large fleet of downhole drilling motors and bits. Likewise, our factories for products needed for oil production in these regions are expanding and reconfiguring to meet the evolving needs of our customers. For example, we're adding a new coiled tubing mill, which would start up in the fourth quarter, to produce larger 2-inch and 2 3/8-inch diameter coiled tubing to accommodate lengthening laterals in these horizontal wells. We're investing in new artificial lift technologies for liquid wells. We're expanding our Fiberglass Pipe plants to offer composite pipe solutions to operators dealing with rising water production and corrosion challenges. We've invested in new well service pump technologies and machinery and additional flowline products for pressure pumpers within our Mission product line. We're also benefiting from strategies undertaken during the downturn to improve our supply chain and efficiency in areas like drill pipe manufacturing, where we have shifted production of tool joints to lower-cost areas in Latin America. PS&S and Distribution Services also continued to expand overseas. For example, Tuboscope coating and inspection facilities in Brazil, Mexico, Abu Dhabi and Oman; Star Fiberglass pipe plants in Brazil and Oman; new Mission and Well Site Services operations in Brazil and Russia; new XL Systems facilities in Africa; expansions in Dubai and Saudi Arabia; and new drill pipe manufacturing capabilities in Abu Dhabi. In short, we are preparing for growth in the face of a massive industrial transformation, the application in new horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing technologies that turn shales into productive oil and gas reservoirs, which will play an enormous role in the world's energy equation through the 21st century. This transformation is steadily gaining footholds internationally, as entrepreneurial petroleum producers and national oil companies apply technologies refined in the shale laboratories of North America to promising basins on other continents. NOV intends to play a major role in this important transformation. And speaking of massive industrial transformations, another parallel effort is underway to find new sources of energy from the earth's oceans. With 60% of our planet covered by deep water, our industry will require a massive fleet of deepwater rigs to explore and produce petroleum well from this exciting frontier area. Exhibit A is NOV's record level of orders for rig equipment during the second quarter. Clearly, our customers are beginning to share our long-standing view that many, many new rigs are required to advance the deepwater effort, and they're investing heavily in the tools required to develop these offshore resources. During the second quarter, Rig Technology segment booked new orders of $2,963,000,000, up 30% from the first quarter of 2011 and quadruple a second quarter a year ago. Bookings included drilling equipment packages for 8 drillships, 6 jack-ups and a large production platform. None of the rigs were for Brazil. Revenue out of backlog totaled $1,390,000,000, yielding a quarter-ending backlog of $7.7 billion, up 26% sequentially. As of June 30, 84% of this backlog was for the offshore and 16% for land. 84% of the orders are bound for international markets and 16% for domestic markets. For the remainder of the year, we expect approximately $2.8 billion of the June 30 backlog to flow out as revenue. Another $4.3 billion is scheduled to flow out in 2012 and the $600 million balance in 2013. Overall, this segment gained modest pricing leverage through the first half of the year in the 6% to 8% range, as we face rising costs for steel and other inputs. Numerous buy-ins like hydraulic fittings and transmissions are very tight with long lead times. Competition has been tough, but we have been fortunate to win a good number of new orders, owing to NOV's comprehensive offering of leading technology and skillful execution. We've also been able to maintain good progress billing schedules on these long lift projects to minimize our own working capital investments in the projects and improve our capital efficiency. By increasing our customers' investment in the projects as construction proceeds, these progress billings mitigate the risk of potential cancellation should we face another sharp downturn like we did in 2009. As a reminder, we faced cancellation of only a very small fraction of our orders following the downturn 2.5 years ago. Recent orders have been concentrated in the most experienced shipyards, those that constructed most of the offshore rigs bought between 2005 and 2008. Specific yards have developed high levels of expertise in the construction of jack-ups in Southeast Asia and the construction of semis and drillships in South Korea. Other yards around the world, who dabbled in offshore rig construction a few years ago, have landed comparatively few orders recently, highlighting an evolving market preference for highly experienced yards for the execution of these complex projects. Building an offshore rig is much more complicated to undertaking than, say, a tanker or a freighter. The legs for jack-up, for instance, require tight tolerances and complex assembly operations, and inexperienced yards missed deadlines over the past few years as they learned the hard way just how tough it is to build an offshore rig. Real-world experience in building rigs over the past 6 years have made drilling contractors smarter about the selection of their vendors. Nevertheless, competition among highly experienced Korean yards for floaters has been intense. These yards have been active, building a variety of industrial vessels, tankers, freighters, LNG vessels, in addition to a smaller drilling rig business for many years. In 2008, the credit crisis and economic downturn slowed orders for all vessels, and these yards saw their backlogs for all vessels decline significantly as they worked through their large backlogs. The recent uptick in demand for drillships is offering a way for the Korean yards to refill their backlog holes, and they are hungry and aggressively pursuing any and all drillship projects. But in comparison to the Singapore yards, they have much bigger holes to fill. As a result, their pricing leverage has been limited thus far, while the jack-up builders in the Far East have met with more success in achieving price increases on new jack-ups. Both regions are demanding progress billings more consistent with our own and don't appear to be offering a "20% down, 80% at delivery" specials seen several months ago. Flat capacity in South Korean yards, coupled with strong desire to replace tanker and freighter backlogs with rig orders, have prompted these yards to sign up for aggressive build schedules and tighter deadlines, generally shaving 10 months or so off the construction schedules of just a few years ago. NOV's order inquiries for offshore drilling equipment packages have continued to be strong through the first few weeks of July, and we hope to post another strong order quarter in Q3. We're continuing to work closely with various shipyards, including EAS in northeast Brazil, the Atlântico Sul yard, to participate in the Petrobras orders. We are also continuing to invest heavily in Brazil to support the growing fleet of offshore rigs at work there and to help meet local content goals for the new rigs. On our -- our long-term FPSO outlook remains very strong, given that we are tracking dozens of potential projects around the globe. While second quarter FPSO turret orders improved sequentially, overall they remained slow, which we believe will persist through the next few quarters due to the very long cycle time required to sanction these projects. FPSO orders pivot on E&P decisions to move forward on billions of dollars of development CapEx, not just for the FPSO but also for the development joint programs, subsea wellheads, manifolds and riser expenditures, and those decisions typically require extensive reservoir modeling, feed studies, economic forecasting and financing. Predictably, they don't go as fast as rig-building decisions. So in the meantime, we're busy integrating our APL business into NOV and assembling a broader array of NOV products into an FPSO package concept. Land rig market appears to be getting stronger. We built 13 large complete land rigs this quarter, along with individual components for dozens of other new-build land rigs, mostly targeting shale plays in the U.S. and Canada. Our outlook for orders remains bright, with the reemergence of 3- to 5-year term contracts for high-capability rigs for shale plays in North America, and we expect international orders for land rigs for the Middle East and the Far East to increase in the second half of the year. Our backlog for land equipment jumped 22% sequentially to $1,246,000,000, due to combination of strong land rig sales and high demand for well intervention and stimulation equipment. Demand for coiled tubing units, pumpers, blenders, cryogenic, nitrogen equipment is surging for pressure pumper, serving the many active shale plays across the U.S. and Canada. And we were pleased to add frac, sand handling products, through our acquisition of APPCO during the quarter. Overall, our outlook is bright. NOV will continue to play a critical role in the massive industrial transformations at work in the world's oil and gas industry: the retooling of a land rig fleet with modern technologies to develop new shale plays, the replacement of an aging jack-up fleet, the buildout of a fleet of floating rigs to develop deepwater resources and a supply of a myriad of technologies and products to enable horizontal directional drilling and hydraulic fracture stimulation in a safe efficient manner. With unequaled worldwide scale and scope, strong cash flow and financial resources, and, most importantly, the best, most professional workforce in the industry, National Oilwell Varco is exceedingly well positioned to drive transformation. Now let me turn to our operating segment results. NOV's Rig Technology segment generated revenues of $1,894,000,000 in the second quarter, up 18% sequentially and up 13% compared to second quarter of 2010. Operating profit was $517 million, yielding an operating margin of 27.3%, up from 26.2% in the first quarter and down from 30.4% in Q2 of last year. We previously forecasted margins to move down for the second quarter, however, the period benefited from lower costs than we expected, specifically on drilling risers we were building for the many offshore rigs the group is constructing. Late last year, we began to transfer drilling riser fabrication operations to our Hochang operation in South Korea, in order to improve proximity to the shipyards and reduce manufacturing expense. Our analysis this quarter, based on actual results so far, showed much better cost improvements than we had anticipated. Since most of our large reconstruction projects are booked on a percentage-of-completion revenue recognition model, we adjust our estimates of future costs periodically and continuously reconcile to expected future margins on all projects. This quarter's adjustment resulted in a margin pickup in higher revenue, as we reconciled the slightly higher expected margins in the projects overall. Excluding this catch-up effect, Rig Technology margins would've declined slightly from the first quarter. We are pleased that future drilling riser production and future margins are expected to benefit from these operational cost reductions. But nevertheless, we continue to face modestly declining margins over the next couple of quarters, due to winding up of the many high-margin offshore new-build projects won during the order ramp-up from 2005 to 2008 and the comparatively low levels of orders and lower margins seen during 2009 and 2010. This mix effect is seen in our year-over-year second quarter comparisons, which showed a 310-basis-point margin decline and only 4% operating leverage or flow-through on the 13% sales gain. This mix effect was less pronounced in going from the first quarter to the second quarter of 2011 and helped by the riser margin pickup. The group's sequential flow-throughs were 33% as a result. Record orders this quarter are rapidly replenishing our backlog with solid projects, which we expect to begin to increase margins in 2012 after they drift down through the next couple of quarters. Most importantly, these projects will be executed by the best rig equipment manufacturing team in the business who routinely innovate new ways of building equipment efficiently and profitably, like drilling risers. They continually seek low-cost, high-quality sources of products across our expansive network of facilities and post manufacturing margins rarely matched in our industry. Solid operational performance prompted revenue out of backlog to jump 24% sequentially to $1,390,000,000. During the quarter, we delivered 6 floating rigs and commissioned one jack-up, and the commissioning operations continued on 28 rigs in 14 different shipyards. Non-backlog revenue, of which 82% this quarter was aftermarket spares and services, improved 4%. Organic expansions along the Gulf Coast, Brazil, Dubai and the North Sea, acquisitions in Singapore and India and the growing install base of NOV rigs should position NOV's ascending service infrastruction -- infrastructure for our own make BOPs to underpin arising aftermarket revenues in future periods. Looking into the third quarter of 2011, we expect Rig Technology revenues to be flat or up slightly with operating margins in the mid-20s. The Petroleum Services & Supplies segment generated total sales of $1,359,000,000 in the second quarter of 2011, up 7% sequentially and up 32% year-over-year. Operating profit was $249 million, and operating margins were 18.3%. Compared to the second quarter of last year, operating leverage or flow-through was a solid 34%. Revenues improved $94 million from the first quarter, but operating profit was up only $3 million sequentially and margins declined 110 basis points from very strong first quarter levels. The sequential performance represented only 3% flow-through due to a number of factors. First, the impact of the seasonal breakup in Canada reduced revenues compared to the first quarter at high decrementals, mostly affecting our Downhole Tools and Well Site Services product lines. The non-recurrence of high first quarter solids control equipment sales into North Africa and the Middle East and continuing unrest affecting all operations in that region further pressured Q2 results. These sales declines were offset by: first, higher revenues from recent acquisitions at lower margins; second, modestly lower margins on increased sales in Mission, Drill Pipe and XL Systems owing to mix; and third, lower margins on higher Well Site Services revenues due to startup costs for new locations and flooding in the Bakken region. Finally, Tuboscope posted a very strong quarter with sharply higher coating and pipe inspection revenues at strong flow-throughs. Domestic mix of revenues for the group increased from 50% in the first quarter to 54% in the second quarter, due to strong demand for the -- from the liquids-rich shale plays, while Canada declined from 10% to 7% of the mix, as expected, due to seasonal breakup. International grew slightly, but the international mix declined from 40% to 39% during the quarter. The group continues to battle inflationary forces for steel, polymers, epoxy, labor and rent, particularly in the emerging shale areas. And several product lines are carrying startup costs for new operations across these, but most are also reporting increasing traction on pricing, typically in the mid single-digit range to offset creeping costs. Our outlook remains very positive for the segment. We expect revenues and margins to improve both in the third quarter, as we emerge from the breakup in Canada, strong activity across the shale plays in the U.S. and offshore markets in the North Sea and the Gulf of Mexico slowly improved. Mission is seeing steady adoption of premium ceramic liners by drillers and strong demand for its growing offering to pressure pumpers and for positive displacement pumps. Sales and rentals of downhole drilling motors should continue to grow, with the opening of our new Motor Reline Facility in Houston and some amazing test runs for our new Helios cutter PDC bits, underpin our improving outlook for Downhole Tools for the second half of the year. Several other units are expected to benefit from new facility startups later in the year and into 2012, including Tuboscope, Fiberglass Systems, Quality Tubing and XL Systems. Turning to Distribution Services. Second quarter revenues were $423 million, up 3% from the first quarter and up 16% from the second quarter of 2010. Operating profit was $26 million or 6.1% of sales, down from $28 million or 6.8% of sales in the first quarter of 2011. Compared to second quarter of 2010, operating profit doubled and operating leverage was a solid 22%. Regional mix swung sharply for the group with Canada down 28% sequentially and accounting for only 14% of the segment's second quarter mix compared to 22% in the first quarter. Nevertheless, the Canadian operation was able to maintain good profitability despite the large breakup effect. U.S. and international sales both grew nicely sequentially, with international operations helped by our acquisition of Capital Valve in the U.K. and accounted for 52% and 34% of the segment's mix, respectively. U.S. margins were down slightly with new DSC startup costs in South Texas, Pennsylvania and the Mid-Continent. Mono Industrial sales margins were down in Argentina and Europe, but the group foresees improving results later this year as international sales of artificial lift products began to grow significantly later in the quarter. As a result, we expect Distribution Services revenues in the third quarter to move up nicely on higher artificial lift sales recovery in Canada and continued rig activity-driven growth across the U.S. We expect margins to move back up into the high-6 range. Turning to National Oilwell Varco's consolidated second quarter income statement. SG&A increased $9 million sequentially, due to higher incentive compensation accruals but declined as a percentage of sales to 10.7% as compared to 11.6% in the first quarter and 11.5% in the second quarter of last year. Operating profit, excluding transaction charges, grew $84 million sequentially and $118 million year-over-year. Interest expense declined $5 million sequentially due to our second quarter $2 million -- $200-million indenture repayment. Other expense improved $12 million sequentially, due to improvements in foreign currency exchange expenses. Equity income in our Voest-Alpine joint venture was $10 million for the quarter, down $3 million from the first quarter due to lower volumes and unfavorable mix, as less OCTG and more line pipe was sold. We expect equity income to decline slightly in the third quarter due to our annual summer maintenance shutdown in August. The tax rate for the second quarter was 32%, about flat with the first quarter, and we expect the tax rate for the remainder of the year to be in the 32% range. Unallocated expenses and eliminations on our supplemental schedule was $80 million in the second quarter, up $12 million from the first quarter due to higher tax consulting expenses, legal costs associated with acquisitions and inter-segment eliminations. Depreciation and amortization was $138 million, up $3 million from the first quarter. EBITDA, excluding transaction charges and Libyan asset write-downs was up $94 million sequentially to $858 million or 24.4% of sales. National Oilwell Varco's June 30, 2011, balance sheet deployed working capital, excluding cash and debt, of $3.5 billion or 25.2% of annualized sales, down $211 million from the first quarter. This is due primarily to rising orders in our Rig Technology group. Total customer financing on projects, in the form of prepayments and down payments, billings in excess of costs, plus costs in excess of billings, was $876 million at June 30. Accounts receivable increased $92 million, and inventory rose $186 million sequentially on higher revenues and acquisitions, largely offset by higher accounts payable and accrued liabilities. Cash flow from operations was $912 million for the second quarter, a sharp improvement from the first quarter, due to the working capital items I had mentioned and strong levered cash flow of $618 million. CapEx increased $34 million sequentially to $113 million due to high expenditures on new facilities, primarily within Rig Technology and Petroleum Services & Supplies. We expect CapEx for the full year 2011 to be a little over $400 million, as we pursue a number of expansion opportunities. During the quarter, we spent $208 million on 2 acquisitions and acquired 2 more businesses within the past few weeks, bringing our total to 6 so far in 2011. This does not yet include the announced acquisition of Ameron, which we hope to close in the fourth quarter, which will push our acquisitions to over $1 billion in 2011. We filed for regulatory approval last week and are enthusiastic about the new products Ameron will bring our fiberglass and composite fluid corrosion control solutions and FPSO offerings within our PS&S group and new infrastructure and industrial products to our Distribution Services group. We look forward to welcoming Ameron's very talented team to our organization soon. Finally, to wrap up our balance sheet discussion, NOV's cash balance was $3.4 billion at June 30, 2011. Now let me turn it back to Pete.