David Hass
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.
Yeah, so, Drew, again, we came through the quarter with strong volume with both volume and organic being the primary contributors to the growth algorithm where we're incredibly excited. When you move into ‘25 guidance, I'll talk about both the top as well as the synergy capture and this will sort of combine with a little bit of what Andrew was asking in that prior question. So, within the 3% to 5% organic net sales growth, we're starting with a balance of approximately 50-50 on price/mix, and volume. And really where that looks is how the businesses are exiting 2024 and how we believe the mix of products across both what they are as a water type, again, premium, regional, spring water, purified, or other, as well as how they're distributed, whether it's directly distributed or through various channels of trade. So, we remain very confident and excited about how that volume and mix with price is sort of articulated across the guide profile. When you look at the synergy capture and timing there, which was kind of a little bit more back to Andrew's question, obviously as ‘25 began, we began finalizing details around the synergy capture. Q1 is a little bit muted in that capture, and then really from Q2 through Q4, it ramps up to a nice run rate. So, when you think about the $100 million in capture in 2026, approximately 50% of it is a flop or a rollover effect of 2025 synergy value and then $50 million organic new synergy captures that begins pretty much at the beginning of the year of ‘26. So when you think about those factors that allows the network to consolidate, it addresses Andrew's question around basis point expansion that's really captured through the synergy lift. And then when you get the K and you hear from us next week, we'll start to talk and really address a lot of the disclosures around how we go to market. So take for example that Walmart released earnings this morning. Walmart's a great contributor to our business. Our company is arriving at Walmart. We have an amazing partnership with Walmart. So, again, when you think of how the mass channel has brought in higher income household, has a very strong distribution of our company-wide portfolio, that's why we really look at going to market as a single segment but is traded across different retail channels, different product pack sizes and others. But again, we remain very confident in where and how ‘25 has been outlined.