John Villano
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please proceed with your question.
Yeah. So first of all, I'd love to say I'm in a good spot, but clarity, right, is a big issue right now. We are still, not believers that a 0.5 point interest cut when it comes and if it comes is going to solve the problems in the industry. We're still fighting through some COVID excesses, not only material and labor costs, but rapidly increasing prices and now decreasing prices that kind of throw business plans out of whack. We have an election coming, right, and certainly not wanting to get political, but there's uncertainty, there's wars out there. We're taking this month by month, and kind of in tune with where Gaurav was going with his questions, a lot of our competition say or fellow mortgage REITs, they have the ability to lever through a period of defaults. We don't. We can't. We're not going to chase ridiculous money. So, we can't earn through these things. We feel that that's -- you're just really walking yourself off the plank and we don't want to do that. So, we'd like to think that 2025 is a better time for us to get back on the growth wagon. We're playing defense. Hey, just yesterday, we received $2.25 million on a loan, an industrial property. They didn't pay in nine months, full pay. Those things happen. So, the portfolio was still moving, and as you noted, we did raise $20 million in the last month and a half. So, we're quite happy with how the portfolio is turning, but we're still at risk with respect to appraisals and borrowers that, as Nick mentioned, they're just jammed up. There's nowhere for them to go. And the real issue that we run into is once the distressed vibe gets out there, getting 100% is very difficult. So, we're running into a little bit of that, where a borrower in distress can say, hey, you know, what if I give you 85%, what if I give you 90%. So, we're fighting some of those off at the same time. It's just going to take a little time for us to get clarity moving forward.