Earnings Labs

EchoStar Corporation (SATS)

Q4 2013 Earnings Call· Fri, Feb 21, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Brandy, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the First (sic) [Fourth] Quarter and Full Year 2013 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Deepak Dutt, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Deepak V. Dutt

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Thank you, operator, and good day, everybody. Welcome to our fourth quarter 2013 earnings call. I'm joined today by Mike Dugan, our CEO; Dave Rayner, CFO; Pradman Kaul, President of Hughes; Mark Jackson, President of EchoStar Technologies; Anders Johnson, President of EchoStar Satellite Services; Dean Manson, General Counsel; Ken Carroll, Executive Vice President of Business and Corporate Development; and Tom McElroy, Controller. As you know, we invited media to participate in listen-only mode on the call. And as you know, identified participants for their firms in your reports [ph]. We also do not allow audio taping, which we all ask that you respect. Let me just now turn this over to Dean Manson for the Safe Harbor disclosure.

Dean A. Manson

Analyst

Thank you, Deepak, and hello, everyone. All statements we make during this call that are not statements of historical fact constitute forward-looking statements, which involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause our actual results to be materially different from historical results and from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. For a list of those factors and risks, please refer to our Annual Report on Form 10-K filed in connection with our earnings. All cautionary statements that we make during this call should be understood as being applicable to any forward-looking statements we make wherever they appear. You should carefully consider the risks described in our reports and should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. We assume no responsibility for updating any forward-looking statements. Let me now turn the call over to Mike Dugan.

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Thanks, Dean. Welcome, everybody, to this morning's call. We obviously have some pretty good participation. I will start with some general highlights, and then turn the call over to Dave Rayner, who will give you some financial highlights of the fourth quarter 2013. First, we had a strong quarter with $808 million of revenue compared with $786 million in the fourth quarter of 2012. Secondly, we had another strong quarter in terms of subscriber growth in our Hughes consumer business. Third, we made some exciting announcements related to the Hopper Joey family and the Sling product lines. Finally, we closed on agreements to acquire Solaris on a strategic transaction with DISH Network. Now for some details. In our Hughes consumer broadband business, we added a net of 53,000 subscribers in the fourth quarter of 2013, which represents a 29% growth over the net adds in the fourth quarter 2012. This growth came from solid contributions from all of the sales channels. Since the launch of our broadband Gen4 service on our October 1, 2012, we've added a net of 265,000 subscribers and we ended the fourth quarter of 2013 with a total of 860,000 subscribers. Construction of EchoStar XIX continues to be on schedule. This new Ka-band satellite will have over 60% greater capacity than EchoStar XVII, which previously was known as JUPITER 1, and is expected to be the world's highest capacity broadband satellite when launched. It's planned for launch -- it's still planned for launch in the first half of 2016 and will cover the Continental U.S. and a significant part of the territory of Mexico and Canada, and provide capacity for continued growth in our Hughes Broadband. Hughes nonconsumer order input in the fourth quarter of 2013 was again very strong with $201 million of new orders…

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Thank you, Mike. I'll summarize EchoStar's financial performance for the quarter and the full year, and then we'll open it up for some questions. Overall, I'm pleased with the performance of our 3 segments. The year-over-year results are somewhat masked by investment gains and dividends we received in 2012, but the underlying performance is solid. EchoStar revenue in the fourth quarter, as Mike said, was $808 million compared to $786 million in 2012. EBITDA was $161 million for the fourth quarter of 2013, down $9 million compared to the previous year. In the fourth quarter of 2012, we recorded significant gains on sales of investments, as well as a dividend from strategic investments, somewhat offset by some asset impairment charges. When adjusted for these transactions, EBITDA this quarter was up $20 million or 13% over last year. Net income for the fourth quarter was $4.5 million compared to $26.2 million in Q4 2012, and diluted earnings per share were $0.05 compared to $0.28 per share last year. The primary contributor to the lower net income in the fourth quarter were the lower EBITDA, already discussed, plus the higher depreciation on Hughes satellites. For the full year 2013, our revenue was $3.3 billion versus $3.1 billion in 2012. EBITDA was $650 million in 2013 compared to $794 million in 2012, the decline being primarily a result of a $185 million less in sales of investments and dividends in '13 versus '12. Net income for 2013 was $2.5 million compared to $211 million in 2012, once again, the variance being primarily a result of the reduced EBITDA and the higher depreciation resulting from EchoStar XVI and XVII being in service for a full year. EchoStar CapEx in the fourth quarter was $127 million, of which $57 million for the construction of our…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Andrew Spinola of Wells Fargo.

Andrew Spinola - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Wells Fargo

I can understand the strategic rationale to this transaction with DISH. But I'm wondering if you could step back and realize it's a complicated transaction, but maybe walk us through how you look at the value that you're giving up versus the value you're getting and that -- and why you concluded that this is not just a fair transaction, but a good transaction for SAT [ph] shareholders?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Yes, let me try and walk through that. We did valuations, obviously, on both sides of the transaction. Really using discounted cash flow projections on the business -- on the broadband business, as well as on the satellites. And that's how we got both to the 80%, as well as the $11 million of cash. So we put all the factors in there in terms of what we believe was going to happen with the broadband business going forward and as well as the satellites. To be clear, that the satellite backlog, of which I referenced or Mike referenced, is only that piece that is committed. We would expect to have additional revenue above and beyond that, but there were certain commitments and then extension periods beyond that in the satellite agreements. The broadband business, as I said in my comments, you need to view this as a wholesale arrangement. We're keeping all the whole -- we will be retaining the wholesale fees that we'll be charging to the HRG. And so the economics associated with that remain within the EchoStar family, and not part of the tracker.

Andrew Spinola - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Got it. And on that whole -- the wholesale economics, can we -- you had a wholesale business prior to this, can we think of the rates that are being charged to HRG as being the same as what were charged to DISH and your other wholesale partners going forward? Or was there a new rate negotiated, and was it lower or higher than the historical rate?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Wells Fargo

I'm not going to answer that question other than to say that there was a wholesale rates that was negotiated, where we came out being satisfied with that rates, but I don't want to start referencing rates because we don't have one wholesale rate across our entire wholesale customer base. So it becomes a little bit competitively sensitive.

Andrew Spinola - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Wells Fargo

Okay. Just a last question, I guess. You mentioned that the new satellites that are coming onboard give you substantially more EBITDA. Obviously, no debt being taken on. You're in a better position to do acquisitions. How important is the opportunity to do acquisitions going forward as a driver of this transaction, and specifically, in scaling the FSS business?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Wells Fargo

I mean, it certainly gives us greater cash flow in the near term, and in reality, significantly greater cash flow in the near-term. It gives us greater leverageability. But in terms of where that could be used, I'm not going to comment on that at this point in time. It certainly gives us greater ability. And the FSS business is attractive. There are other businesses that are attractive also. So we will -- I mean, as we have been all along, we'll continue to evaluate M&A opportunities as they are presented to us.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Bazinet of Citi.

Jason B. Bazinet - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst · Jason Bazinet of Citi

I also had a question about the proposed transaction with DISH. Once this transaction is complete, is it fair to say that you will only be reflecting the wholesale ARPUs for the Hughes consumer business? In other words, will all retail activity occur within the tracking stock?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Jason Bazinet of Citi

Yes. The -- so if you want to think about it from a separating the tracking stock from the rest of the business, the ARPUs and the tracking stock that the pure retail arm will be higher than the wholesale ARPU, obviously. But as -- so going forward, as I've said, we'll be providing additional financial information on the tracker. That tracker ARPU will be representative of the true retail rate.

Jason B. Bazinet - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst · Jason Bazinet of Citi

And then is it fair to say also that all of the subscriber acquisition costs will also be reflected in the tracker stock, that you're just going to have CapEx from this satellite and any future satellite and then just wholesale payments and whatever costs to run the satellite? Is that the right way to think about it?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Jason Bazinet of Citi

Yes, that's why my comment about the satellites giving us significantly higher near-term cash flow is because the tracker is where most of the -- or at least 80% of the SAC will be absorbed. And obviously, SAC is a significant expenditure. But I want it to be clear that all of the operations will be consolidated within HSSC and EchoStar. We will break out the tracker as supplemental information, but everything will continue to be consolidated.

Jason B. Bazinet - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst · Jason Bazinet of Citi

Okay, I think I understand. So there's no real change to what -- to our Hughes model, it'll just be sort of separate? Is that the right way to think about it?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Jason Bazinet of Citi

No, EchoStar level, there isn't any change. I mean -- so our -- everything that we have going forward will be the same from a reporting standpoint. This is just one other piece of equity that has been deployed, and we'll report on that equity separately.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Chris Quilty with Raymond James. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: I'm actually a little baffled by the transaction. As I look at it, you just sold the majority of financial interest from the most exciting part of your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

Well, I think there's a couple of things, Chris. First of all, you need to look at the real growth of the retail business since we launched Gen4. While our total subscribers have grown by 265,000 in total, the majority of that growth has been coming from the wholesale business. So when you look at the incremental growth coming off of pure retail that we're talking about here, it's not as much growth. And the growth on the wholesale business is unaffected by this transaction. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: All right. But the retail business is more attractive in terms of the financial returns.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

It is until you start backing out a wholesale fee. I mean, the one thing you've got to take into consideration here is we are retaining a wholesale fee on all of those retail subscribers. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. Let's cut this from a different direction. Since you're going to provide the disclosure of the $280 million-or-so of EBITDA that you did in the Hughes segment last year, what percent is coming from the consumer versus the enterprise?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

I don't have that information in front of me. And obviously, we haven't put it in the K, so I'm not willing to disclose it. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. Tell me if I'm totally off here the way I run the numbers. If I assume -- let's be generous and give the enterprise business a 25% EBITDA margin, it's about half the revenues, which means 75% of your EBITDA is coming from the consumer business. And I don't know how to disaggregate the retail versus consumer, but if I just apply 80% to that, it's an EBITDA stream of around $160 million, $170 million. And on the flipside, if I annualize the revenues off the satellites you're requiring at $175 million, give you an 80% EBITDA margin, it looks like about $140 million of run rate EBITDA. And so just at face value, it looks like you're giving away a bigger EBITDA stream that's growing against an EBITDA stream that's smaller and is going to decline over time.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

So there's 2 things, I think, that you're missing. Once again, the wholesale fee that is retained by EchoStar, not part of the tracker, significantly reduces the EBITDA loss as you're describing it. And once again, remember that this is an equity instrument. We're not giving up anything at this point. But that wholesale fee significantly reduces what you described as the loss. I would also say that your incremental margin assumption on the satellite business is pretty low. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. Well, I mean, obviously, the reason your stock is down 8% is because we don't have any of the numbers to figure out whether we got a good deal or bad deal here. And at least, at face value, it looks like a bad deal.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

I understand that. Management and the Board went through significant analysis on this. We do not believe it is a bad deal by any stretch of the imagination. We believe it is a positive deal and fuels our ability to pursue other strategic objectives. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: So your view is...

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

Yes, I think you guys have a reason to wonder, "Are we doing the right thing?", but I can only guarantee, as we've told you a number of times, that we're very anxious to expand our business profile. This was a way to get us into a position where we really are financially in a better position to look at investments and things like that. And we still maintain 100% of control of operations of the core business that you guys value so highly. We value it as well. And we actually think this is a very positive step for EchoStar, and maybe not tomorrow, but over the -- if you want to look out a little bit longer, you're going to see a significant advantage that this provides us. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. Can you help me, the -- I think DISH provided lease payments in their 10-K on the satellites, which if I run a discounted cash flow, I come up with a net present value of around $650 million, $700 million. Is that a fair assessment?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

I think in round numbers, that's not too far off. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: Okay. And so your judgment is the access to cash flow and the ability to do something with it outweighs the sure thing of complete ownership of the consumer business? You think you can create more value through acquisitions of assets or investment in assets than maintaining full control over the business?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

Well, I will say that we believe the satellite broadband business is a very well-understood structure, that's why we were able to assess the value of what we -- for this transaction. And it has a specific growth profile. I would say without the strong support of our wholesale partners, which includes DISH, our growth in that segment could have been less. I think our competitors have shown that this isn't the easiest business to compete in. And we do believe that there's expansion capabilities or possibilities for EchoStar that could provide better long-term value. And we didn't see where we were giving up a lot to get ourselves into the position to do that, I guess. Because we -- first of all, this is a specific agreement, yet we continue to have full management and operational control of the assets. Chris Quilty - Raymond James & Associates, Inc., Research Division: And presumably, if you launch anything in Brazil or internationally, you would gain, under the current agreement, 100% ownership of those assets and opportunities.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · your business, that's growing rapidly, to DISH in return for 5 satellites with terminal revenue generation capability that's going down and increases your exposure to a customer where you're exposure is already too high. What am I missing around the strategic rationale for this investment

Absolutely. This is U.S.-based subscribers.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Amy Yong with Macquarie.

Amy Yong - Macquarie Research

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

I have a bunch of questions on the deal. But can you actually give us a percentage breakdown of retail versus consumer? I know someone else asked that, but it looks like you have 635 retail subscribers. And I think you have a total 800 plus. So do we just -- is it just simple math?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

860. It's pretty simple math.

Amy Yong - Macquarie Research

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

Okay. Can you confirm whether or not the tracker will be listed as a separately traded stock or...?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

No, it is not a public tracker. It is a private tracker, it will not be listed.

Amy Yong - Macquarie Research

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

Okay. Now does this give you flexibility to divest certain assets? I mean, can we, in the investment community, look at this transaction on the other end?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

I'm not sure I understand the question, Amy.

Amy Yong - Macquarie Research

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

Well, could you potentially divest, let's say, DISH Mexico? You talked a little bit about M&A and just potentially looking at assets to buy, but what about just the flexibility this allows you to divest your own assets?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

I mean, I don't think this changes our ability, one way or the other, to do anything in that regard, although I would say we have no plans or intentions on any asset divestiture.

Amy Yong - Macquarie Research

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

Okay. Do you, at all, lose scale for the other part of your businesses, including the commercial side and just the international portfolio?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

No.

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

No, not in any way. I mean, to be honest with you, our day-to-day management focus in all the business units, not except [indiscernible] a little bit, is not going to change in any way. On the other hand, our -- I would expect you to see our business development organization under Mr. Carroll to become much more focused on looking at opportunities because I think we've given him a better toolbox. And I understand it's a little bit confusing, and I'll be honest with you, it took me a little while to get my hands and my mind wrapped around all of the complexities that this transaction presented when we first considered it. However, I think the management here is very excited about our future and where we're going to go. I think, to be honest with you, the strength of the consumer business allowed this to go forward because of the Hughes team's done such a great job, and they continue to improve their numbers. They continue to provide great consumer value, and none of that is going to change. I think in reality, this is a way for us to tap some internal value that just wasn't totally visible to the Street.

Amy Yong - Macquarie Research

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

And then just one last question on just financing. Does HRG have capacity to raise debt? Or does the debt need to be raised over at EchoStar?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Amy Yong with Macquarie

HRG has no reason to raise any debt. I mean, it will be internally funded just like it would today. So if at any given time frame, SAC exceeds the cash flow of the retail business, we will fund it from internal resources. But there is no intent to have HRG be a debt-raising entity.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc.

Timothy J. Quillin - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Could you -- Dave, could you give us a sense of what the detriment to EBITDA will be on a net basis to Hughes, including the wholesale revenue that you'll be getting from the tracker?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Okay, I'm not sure I quite understood the question. But I mean, for our reported numbers, there'll be no change from what we've done historically. So when you look at HSSC, there is no change -- or at EchoStar, for that matter, there is no change associated with the tracker in terms of the numbers that we will report. Obviously, we will report incremental revenue associated with new satellites. But from a tracker standpoint, it's an equity. It would impact earnings per share, but it would not impact reported revenue or EBITDA.

Timothy J. Quillin - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

So I guess the point being that -- I guess what we're trying to figure out is that when we do the math and we'd say that you're gaining x amount of EBITDA and losing x amount of EBITDA, you're saying we're not factoring in the wholesale benefit that you'd get selling to the tracker? And so I'm trying to figure what the net impact would be in terms of lost EBITDA at Hughes relative to the EBITDA you gain with ESS.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Yes. And once again, you can't just look at EBITDA. You've got to look at the entire operating cash flow because the SAC will also be attributed to the retail business. And SAC is not an insignificant cost associated with that. And the other thing I want to point out again, that the growth in the retail business, since we launched the Gen4 service, has been about 40,000 customers. The vast majority of the growth in our overall subscriber base has come from wholesale. Wholesale growth has been very strong. All the wholesale economics in that business is being unimpacted by this transaction. So I want to emphasize that the wholesale business has been what's driving the overall growth. And that's important to keep into consideration that we're not losing that wholesale growth.

Timothy J. Quillin - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Well, I may not be smart enough to figure out this transaction until it's -- until you report it. But I think one of the aspects is the freeing up some borrowing capacity. And how would you quantify that? And so -- and do you have an acquisition in mind that might diversify your FSS business and, ultimately, to a higher value for the overall business?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

There is no specific acquisition that we're willing to discuss. I mean, we're always looking at alternatives. Ken and his group are very active in looking at opportunities, but there is nothing specific that we're ready to announce or discuss other than we are interested in growth to M&A.

Timothy J. Quillin - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Right. Why wasn't EchoStar XV part of the deal?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

DISH had a requirement to keep a minimum number of satellites under their indenture. And so they're -- we couldn't move all of them across.

Timothy J. Quillin - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Okay. And on the $800 million to $825 million in CapEx, is that -- right now, is that just T2 EchoStar XIX? Or does it include any CapEx related to another satellite for Brazil?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

It has got -- it certainly got EchoStar XIX. It has got T2, and it has several other satellites that we have not yet announced. Once we have finalized contracts on those, we'd be willing to discuss those. But we need to finalize the contracts first.

Timothy J. Quillin - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Okay. And can you give us any hint about what the -- what kind of markets those would be targeted for?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

We'll wait till we announce it.

Timothy J. Quillin - Stephens Inc., Research Division

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Okay. And then just lastly on Hughes. Would you -- now that you're starting to fill up capacity in certain of your more popular beams, how would you think about Hughes' subgrowth in 2014 versus 2013?

Deepak V. Dutt

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Yes. Obviously, some of the more popular geographic areas, the beams are beginning to fill up, and we are constantly tethering our sales plans to extend the life of each of those beams. And that's an effort that's going on in real time. So far, we have been able to make sure that no beam is closed, and we hope to continue that for the next x months. And we'll see what the effect will be as we go forward. But we have beams we label high-fill, and we have -- we're going to be coming up different economic plans to extend the life of those beams.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of James Ratcliffe of Buckingham.

James M. Ratcliffe - The Buckingham Research Group Incorporated

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

Again, on the transaction, a couple, if I could. Just economically, is the right way to think about how this affects the numbers just going forward, take HSSC call it EBITDA less CapEx, incorporate the CapEx portion of SAC, and then subtract out 80% of whatever HRG generates and EBITDA less CapEx, then I get the proportional cash flow for Hughes regardless of how it actually gets reported based on GAAP?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

I have to apologize. I'm going to have to ask you to repeat that. It was very low volume. Your question...

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

Yes, the volume was very low. It's hard for us to hear you, sir.

James M. Ratcliffe - The Buckingham Research Group Incorporated

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

Just thinking about how to think about this regardless of the way GAAP is going to treat it for accounting purpose. Is the right way to just take HSSC, call it EBITDA less CapEx, and then subtract 80% of whatever HRG's EBITDA less CapEx is to get kind of the proportional cash flow that's really attributable to HSSC?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

No, I don't think it's as simple as that. I mean, we're going to be allocating our costs within the Hughes group between the wholesale cost and the -- let's call it the wholesale business and the retail business. Those costs that are attributable strictly to retail, things like billing, SAC, customer service, those costs will be attributed to HRG. And then 80% of that will be represented by the tracker.

James M. Ratcliffe - The Buckingham Research Group Incorporated

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

Got it. Okay. And running the payments that DISH has cited out, I get sort of more like $800 million NPV, but somewhere at the $700 million, $800 million range. So it implies about $1 billion for all of HRG in value. And DISH is sitting on an absolute mountain of cash, considerate enough to come up with an extra $200 million. So why not just sell them the whole business outright, rather than having this tracker structure and retaining 20%?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

Well, part of the -- the purpose of the entire transaction, the way it was structured, was to make sure it was a tax-free exchange for both parties.

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

And then on top of that, I think, to be honest with you, DISH was motivated to keep the Hughes management and organization in place managing the business because of their strong performance. Just a -- it's a different animal than DBS, and believe me, I know, from my involvement with the satellite-TV business. What the guys are doing on the broadband side is significantly different, and that team is very important to the success.

James M. Ratcliffe - The Buckingham Research Group Incorporated

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

Great. I guess, finally, on that note, since this isn't, as I understand, and correct me if I'm wrong, going to actually change how the day-to-day business is run. They're just going to effectively create another cost allocation and profitability allocation entity that gets in HRG the day the ops don't change. Did you shop this -- the opportunity to buy 80% of those cash flows to other entities? Or was DISH the only party you looked at for this?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · James Ratcliffe of Buckingham

No, we didn't. I mean, what we were looking for was to do a tax-effective transaction that increased our short-term cash flow, which this effectively did.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank.

Anthony Klarman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

Just one more question on the deal that was announced. I guess I'm wondering if there are any implications for your future CapEx arc as you think about what you may have to spend. I know that some of the satellites you're getting were already effectively replaced, even though some of the older ones are still in orbit. There's, I think, Echo 1 is actually through its useful life. So I'm just wondering if you could talk a little bit about whether there are implications on the capital side for this longer-term in terms of how you would have to set a replacement cycle up for the birds that you're taking in?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

I think potentially, longer-term, the debt may be there, but I don't think in the near term, it changes any of our capital spending plans. The increase in CapEx that we discussed for 2014 is unrelated to this transaction. So I think the answer, at least in the near term, is no to that.

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

Right. I think you have to look at the fact -- first of all, most of the satellites, although they are a little bit older, although XIV, I wouldn't consider an old satellite in any way, or even some of the other ones, but have long lives ahead of them. The transaction numbers were done based off of calculated life and capability. I think EchoStar I, by the way, continues to be in orbit and provides very significant capability long after its calculated life because, as you all know, EchoStar I was put in orbit at the end of 1995. And we still consider it a pretty good asset. So there's a lot of things that track satellite health and life, and the ones that are transitioned in -- the cost and the value of those satellites was done on a reasonably conservative basis. So there's a -- we have a lot better potential to, for instance, use EchoStar I in a financial way than DISH would have had because DISH has very limited use for its satellites. So you have to consider that flexibility as a hidden advantage to the transaction.

Anthony Klarman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

Understood. And then if I could ask a question about Solaris. Is it fair to say that your ability to get the Solaris deal done really, at the end of the day, came down to the fact that you had line of sight to a satellite that you could use to fulfill the requirements that they were sort of failing to fulfill on their own?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

I would say the fact that TerreStar 2 was available to us certainly provided EchoStar additional motivation to consider the investment. And I also think that the fact that we had a satellite we could reasonably quickly redefine and reconfigure and get into orbit makes it very attractive to the entities in Europe. There's no question about that. So yes, was the availability of that satellite important to that deal? Yes, for sure. But that wasn't the only thing.

Anthony Klarman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

I may have missed it in the MD&A, because I thought I heard you mention something, but you have a $55 million payment that you can exercise in 2014 to essentially take over the purchase right of T2. Has that been exercised? Or when do you anticipate that happening?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

It hasn't been exercised at this time.

Anthony Klarman - Deutsche Bank AG, Research Division

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

Okay. And then finally on Solaris. You mentioned the spectrum that they use, obviously, it's probably not ironic that it's the same band in the U.S. that both SAC [ph] and DISH had owned through the 2 restructurings where you came to own the AWS-4 spectrum. Is there a spectrum angle here that we should think about as well in addition to just the regular satellite service that you're looking to provide? And as you think about potential M&A opportunities, should we not limit ourselves to FSS and perhaps also think about some other sort of wireless or spectrum-related opportunities?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

Well, we never advised you guys to only think about FSS. In fact, we've constantly told you that we're looking at all kinds of things outside FSS. There's no question there's a lot of synergies in the infrastructure for DISH's U.S. play and the Solaris activities for Europe. And actually, the Hughes division here is heavily involved in some of the early work on that, and there's some synergies there as well on that. Over and above that, I don't know how much more we can talk about.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Anthony Klarman of Deutsche Bank

Yes. I mean, the only other comment I'd make is similar to the U.S. The Solaris assets and licenses include a terrestrial aspect to it, which is called CGC, or complementary ground component, over there. So clearly, it's not the -- well, MSS is the main constituent of that. It also has a terrestrial component to it.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Walter Piecyk with BTIG.

Walter Piecyk - BTIG, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

First question is can you -- is the tracking stock able to be used for any type of acquisitions?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

I'm not sure I -- can you expand on that question, Walter?

Walter Piecyk - BTIG, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

Can you issue a tracking stock to acquire assets? Or is it -- is how it works is it can't be for acquisitions? I know it's not going to be publicly traded or anything, but obviously, you can issue stock in an acquisition, even if it's private stock.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

Right. I mean, certainly, we could. I mean, there's no intents to do that at this point in time. I mean, the tracker that we have issued is specific to a set of assets and operations. We wouldn't be looking to issue another tracker related to that.

Walter Piecyk - BTIG, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

And how does the corporate governance work on -- who makes that decision? Is it -- since DISH owns 80%, is it their decision -- obviously, I understand that there's no intent to do it, but if you want to build additional assets in that kind of residential broadband, there's no -- from a corporate governance tracking doesn't give them those types of rights. So I assume that this would still be your decision, one way or another, on whether to use that stock for acquisitions?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

Yes. I mean, obviously, they've got anti-dilutive rights. So we can't dilute their position in the existing assets. They've got a series of investor rights that we've agreed to associated with that. And so if I understand your question, if we wanted to use HRG to do other acquisitions in a related field, we could certainly do that, but we would have to do that in conjunction with DISH and so would be dilutive to their position.

Walter Piecyk - BTIG, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

Okay. And on the -- as far as the kind of who owns what. The tracking stocks, I remember, in the old days, they were always a challenge. If someone buys -- comes to your doorstep and buys you, what I read in the 10-K is that then you would have to buy the 80% stake back from DISH. So whoever is buying you, unless there's an incremental negotiation with DISH, is also buying that asset. So then you then have to buy, in that situation, that 80% from DISH. How would that valuation be determined as far as what price you'd have to pay? And then similarly, it's the same question, but I guess if DISH ever got bought, you'd have to buy back -- I think you have to still buy it back as well. So how does that -- in those situations where either DISH or you get bought, how is the value of HRG determined when that gets sent back to EchoStar and its ownership?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

So first of all, to clarify, yes, there are change of controls for both, under an EchoStar change of control, as well as a DISH change of control. I don't think there is a have-to. There are options become available to the respective parties based on the change of control by the other party. In terms of how the value is determined, it would be an agreed-upon forecast. Very similar to how we create the value today, looking at what the model is, doing a discounted cash flow of future activity and agreed-upon valuation. There are mechanics in the agreements, by which if we could not agree -- mutually agree upon the value, then there is a process to determine that value.

Walter Piecyk - BTIG, LLC, Research Division

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

Understood. So just one last question on that. The 10-K, the way it's worded there, it says, EchoStar would have to repurchase the tracking stock. Would that be ultimately -- if DISH didn't want to actually sell it to you, could they say no? Because the point is, I guess, if someone wants to come to you and buy everything, would you at least say to the buyer, like, "Okay, we definitely have the rights to actually be able to sell everything including the Hughes business."

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Walter Piecyk with BTIG

I believe that the change of controls are options that are not automatic triggers.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

I just had another question on this transaction because I know it's confusing. But when previously, just in the old way, you guys always used to say that your NPV for retail and for wholesale from a subscriber perspective was roughly the same. That was, I think -- is that a correct way that it was communicated?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Yes. I mean, I think that's a fair statement.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Okay. So when previously, under the old regime, when DISH would sign up a customer, you would get wholesale economics for that customer. They would cover the SAC, they would cover the billing and you'd get paid for running the satellites, which you do so -- which you do, right?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

That is correct. Correct.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Now when DISH signs up a customer, you still get wholesale economics, just like you did before, but you also get all these satellites, ownership on them going forward. Is that correct?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

That is correct.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Okay. So from your perspective, since you're kind of saying, "We think most of the subscribers we're going to sign up are going to be wholesale, we're not really losing much because we weren't selling that many retail customers anyway." So from your perspective, it's a big win for the company.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Yes. And I don't want to say that we weren't selling a lot of retail customers. We were selling an enormous amount of retail customers. However, you've got an established base that had churn on it. And so the net growth on the pure retail was not as significant as it was on the wholesale because, obviously, the wholesale, all we're seeing is the net impact because we weren't incurring SAC, et cetera. So I think there's some nuances around what you say. But in general, I think we agree with how you're viewing it at a high level.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Would you be willing to share right now, not specific, but just representative numbers, to -- it was $50, we got $25 -- just is that something just representative, simple, none actual numbers? Because I think that would go a long way to helping people understand like the way the cash flows work. Because I think there's more confusion than there should be, in light of the fact that most of your subscribers in the future will come from a bundled relationship. I think that's what you're saying, either through DISH. I mean, is that correct?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

No, you got to remember DirecTV is involved in this, too. And that's part of the retail...

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Well, yes, the retail business is still very strong. And again, the difference is the retail business was working against us, 500,000 to 600,000 installed base, where the wholesale business DISH brought had a fairly small base and had no base for Hughes at all. They were -- their subs were actually additive. So I think there's -- we probably created some sort of a misperception here that the wholesale, which was frontier [ph] and DISH was additive, but the retail business was much -- was very significant except that it would also had significant churn reducing its net numbers. So I don't know if I helped clarify the information.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Okay. And then it doesn't -- I highly, highly, encourage some numbers behind this. They don't have to be -- it could just be algebra-based numbers in the supplement you put out because I think you're getting a pretty good deal, and I think the entire world, especially evidenced by your stock, doesn't think that. So if you had a little bit of a, b, x, y, z, with like arrows and whatnot, I think that would really help. Last question. Do you think your relationship with DTV is going to be affected by this transaction?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Again, we hope that the retail business continues -- it's going to run exactly the way it's been in the past. The financials will be exactly the same, so we think it's an under-penetrated market. And we're going to continue to add subs through all the retail channels.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

So DISH is going to own 80% of subs that DirecTV adds?

Michael T. Dugan

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

I think you could say [indiscernible].

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

To be clear, DISH owns a tracking stock representing 80% of the retail business. And to my...

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

But DirecTV is a wholesale subscriber. If you said -- if DirecTV...

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

No. DirecTV is a sales agent for our retail business.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Okay. So now if DirecTV installs a subscriber through Hughes, they're effectively going to be -- there's going to be an economic benefit to their competitor, DISH, based on this agreement?

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

There will be a benefit in terms of a value created within a tracking stock.

Michael Bressler

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

Okay. That -- it seems like DirecTV's behavior may be modified in the future in light of that fact.

David J. Rayner

Analyst · Michael Bressler of Kensico Capital

So operator, I think we're past the end of the call.

Operator

Operator

You can go ahead with any closing comments.

Deepak V. Dutt

Analyst · Tim Quillin of Stephens Inc

Well, I don't think we have any closing comments at this point except to say, thank you, everybody, for participating, and have a good day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. That concludes today's conference. You may now disconnect.