Earnings Labs

Surgery Partners, Inc. (SGRY)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 7, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Surgery Partners' Third Quarter of 2023 Earnings Call. Currently, all participants are in listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to hand you over to Chief Financial Officer, Dave Doherty. Please go ahead, sir.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Good morning. My name is Dave Doherty, CFO of Surgery Partners, and I'm here with our CEO, Eric Evans, and our Executive Chairman, Wayne DeVeydt. Thank you for joining us for our third quarter 2023 earnings announcement. During our call, we will make forward-looking statements. There are risk factors that could cause future results to be materially different from these statements. These risk factors are described in this morning's press release and the reports we file with the SEC, each of which are available on our website at surgerypartners.com. The company does not undertake any duty to update these forward-looking statements. In addition, we will reference certain financial measures that are considered non-GAAP, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. These measures are reconciled to the most applicable GAAP measure in this morning's press release. With that, I'll turn the call over to Wayne. Wayne?

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Thank you, Dave. Good morning, and thank you all for joining us today. We are pleased to report another quarter of consistent growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, exceeding our prior guidance. Including our non-consolidating facilities, we performed over 172,000 surgical cases this quarter. When adjusted for divested facilities and factoring in one less business day, this was nearly 6% more than 2022. Other than the impact of Hurricane Idalia, which marginally impacted our Florida and Georgia facilities mid-quarter, we did not experience any pressure from external factors, as we continue to produce steady, predictable growth in our key growth areas. This strong case growth combined with increased acuity and contributions from recent acquisitions, generated $674.1 million of net revenue and $105.5 million of adjusted EBITDA, resulting in a 15.7% margin. Dave will share more details regarding our financial results, but let me highlight a few. Net revenue of $674.1 million was almost 9% more than the prior year, with same facility revenue growth in excess of 14% in the quarter. On a year-to-date basis, same facility revenue growth was nearly 11%. Adjusted EBITDA was $105.5 million, representing nearly 10% growth over the prior year quarter and a 14% on a year-to-date basis. Adjusted EBITDA margins improved 70 basis points sequentially to 15.7%, as compared to the prior quarter. Finally, we completed the acquisition of two additional short-stay surgical facilities in the quarter and have deployed approximately $135 million year-to-date. The pipeline of future acquisitions is robust. Which allows us to be highly selective and remain disciplined in our acquisition strategy. Specifically, we have well over $200 million currently under LOI and a significant number of additional opportunities in early conversations. We continue to be pleased with our balanced approach to growth, with all pillars of our long-term growth algorithm, either meeting or exceeding our expectations. Based on the strength of our third quarter results, and our continued positive outlook on our numerous investments in the business, we are raising our full year adjusted EBITDA guidance, to a range of $436 million to $440 million, with approximately $2.75 billion in consolidated revenue. Dave will discuss our guidance in more detail later in the call. With that, let me turn the call over to Eric to highlight some of our operational initiatives and recent investment activities. Eric?

Eric Evans

Analyst

Thanks, Wayne, and good morning, everyone. We are pleased with our third quarter results, which represent another quarter of consistent and predictable growth across all of our core service lines and consistent with our company's growth algorithm. From an operational perspective, our specialty case mix is right where we expected and volume was in line with our expectations with over 146,000 consolidated surgical cases in the quarter. Our non-consolidated facilities, which are an increasing part of our portfolio, exceeded our expectations with almost 26,000 cases. In the quarter, our same-facility case growth was 2.9% when compared to the third quarter of 2022 and net revenue growth per case was 11%. We expect to continue to see both volume and rate growth with rate growth in excess of our long-term guidance throughout 2023, due to the strength of our physician recruiting and case mix acuity. On the recruiting front, our various initiatives continue to drive strong year-over-year growth, fueling growth in MSK procedures, particularly total joint cases in ASCs. Year-to-date, we have recruited nearly 500 new positions to our short-stay surgical facilities with approximately 40% representing MSK specialties, and we remain on pace to recruit more physicians than last year with an increasing focus on higher acuity procedures. To provide some context, we continue to see strong growth in total joint procedures performed at our ASCs, which have increased approximately 60% year-to-date compared to 2022. As Wayne mentioned, we have deployed approximately $135 million, year-to-date on 15 transactions, which includes 3 additional facilities closed in October. We continue to rapidly integrate acquisitions into our operations, bringing the full benefit of our revenue cycle, procurement, managed care and physician recruiting teams to yield significant synergies within the first 18 months of ownership. We remain committed to our annual capital deployment goal of…

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Thanks, Eric. I will focus on our third quarter financial results, key metrics for our unconsolidated and managed facilities and our outlook for the remainder of the year. Starting with the top line, we performed over 146,000 surgical cases at the facilities we consolidated in the third quarter. When combined with facilities we don't consolidate, we performed over 172,000 cases, representing a slight increase over last year. Adjusting for divested facilities and one less business day in the quarter, total cases grew nearly 6%. These cases spanned across all our specialties with an increasing focus on higher acuity procedures, which is reflected in our double-digit same-facility growth this quarter. The combined case growth in higher acuity specialties, specific managed care actions and the continued impact of acquisitions, supported consolidated revenue growth of 8.6% over the prior year. This growth was accomplished despite revenue headwinds associated with the facilities invested in 2023. On a same-facility basis, total revenue increased 14.2% in the third quarter, with case growth at 2.9%. Net revenue per case was 11.0%, higher than last year, primarily driven by higher acuity procedures. There were no unusual events that affected the third quarters of both 2022 and 2023. Adjusted EBITDA was $105.5 million for the third quarter, giving us a margin of 15.7%, in line with our expectations of continued margin expansion. Inflationary pressures related to labor and supply costs have moderated this year. But, we remain vigilant in monitoring these factors across our portfolio. Consistent with prior quarters this year, the third quarter labor and supply costs are a lower percentage of revenue than the prior year. As we mentioned in prior comments, we have increased investments in facilities that are not consolidated, including both de novos and acquisitions. Because they are not consolidated, the earnings of these…

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now be conducting the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Kevin Fischbeck of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Kevin Fischbeck

Analyst

Great. Thank you. I guess maybe to start off, the pricing number looked really strong in the quarter. Can you just remind us kind of, where the actual core pricing is versus kind of the acuity benefits and payer mix shift that might happen year-over-year? And was there anything unusual in the quarter on the revenue per case side?

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Hey, Kevin. Good morning. I'd start by saying, no, nothing unusual other than we continue to bias towards the higher acuity cases. As you saw in the prepared remarks, the total hips and joints done in our outpatient settings were up over 60% against the prior year backdrop, which, as you know, had strong growth that year as well. So I'd put it more in the 50-50 bucket of how much is acuity mix impacting the revenue component versus how much is really just the core growth and managed care rates that we're getting along the way.

Kevin Fischbeck

Analyst

And then I guess in your prepared remarks, you guys made a comment that the consolidated cases were basically as expected, but the unconsolidated cases came in better than expected. Is there something behind that? Is there a point that you're making there about the kind of the power of having maybe a three-way joint venture or more syndication? Or is there anything else to that?

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Well, I think it's fair to say that, part of the reason we've been biasing to this additional growth lever is, we think it's an untapped opportunity for employee doctors that are part of systems, and it gives us a unique way of bringing kind of our chassis and our playbook to it. So I wouldn't say we're over indexing on that. But I think, ultimately, we wanted our investors to understand the strategy is working out, and it's slightly better than we had expected so far. And we don't really see those trends diminishing at this point. I think, the key thing is, as you know, Kevin, because they're not consolidated, those metrics do not end up in our same store either in terms of the volume component. And so ultimately, just feel very good about how we're kind of running into the new year with the M&A pipeline as well as with the same-store metrics.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yeah. And Kevin, I'd just add to that difference -- differential. I mean we are pointing out the strong growth there, but part of that is, we bring things on when they're new, we bring a lot of synergies. And so we expect there to be kind of outsized growth early on. We've been pleased with how those have taken off. And certainly, it's a big part of the growth story.

Kevin Fischbeck

Analyst

All right. Great. And then maybe just last question. I appreciate the commentary on the professional fees, it seems to be a hot topic. Is there -- can you help just size that for us? Like, what is -- what was the professional fee spending in the quarter?

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yeah. So I'll let Dave side that in a second. Just to readdress kind of -- when you think about physician services in our business, again, because we're not a traditional acute care company, we're short-stay surgical. The only exposure we have is on anesthesia. We don't have hospitals, [we don’t have yard docs] (ph) per se. So we have exposure on anesthesia. We've had exposure for a number of years. But quite honestly, our side of care is the preferred site of care for anesthesiologists. When I lived in the traditional acute care world, I used ASCs and surgical facilities, short-stay surgical facilities in a way to try to lower subsidies or try to get a good deal with anesthesiologist. So we're in a preferred setting. We have a few places where there's pressure, but it is really immaterial. We talk about managing this, I mean we're certainly proactively managing the pressures that anesthesiologists feel by helping with scheduling, getting more efficient, being really proactive and being a good partner with them. but the size is immaterial. Maybe you can give them just a rough size of the risk we see next year.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah. Yeah. Sure. So first off, and you can see this in our P&L. Which is in our press release this morning. We'll give more details, obviously, in the Q. But in the quarter, just over $70 million of total professional fees we get recorded in there and those professional fees include, a number of different activities, including the medical supply costs that we have, a malpractice insurance and all of those other things. The component that relates to anesthesia, which has been talked about a lot, most recently, of that is relatively small, like less than $10 million for the year that we look at. So inside the quarter was really small. And as we've kind of modeled out and look towards next year, although it's still early and we're putting together the budget process, that variance that we're looking at is no more than a few million dollars. So easily something that we can absorb as we go into it. I think one of the things, just to reiterate a point that Eric mentioned earlier, because we've gotten this question a couple of times, Anesthesia has this pressure that you -- that we cite on cost side and profitability for them has not impacted in any way our cases. We've not had to cancel one case due to anesthesia-related matters this past year. So we don't believe that this is a problem area for us as we've seen elsewhere in the services industry.

Kevin Fischbeck

Analyst

All right. Perfect. Thank you.

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Thanks, Kevin.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Jason Cassorla of Citi. Please go ahead.

Jason Cassorla

Analyst

Great. Thanks, good morning. I just wanted to go back to the same facility revenue per case in the quarter. Did that include any benefit from insurance proceeds related to the cyber impact? And I guess, with that level of growth, it would imply perhaps a bit more margin expansion, just given the flow-through of rates to the bottom line. You said that 50% of that growth was related to acuity. But maybe can you just help on the pricing flow-through? And then the likely kind of margin offset that would come with the focus of higher acuity cases. Just any more color would be helpful. Thanks.

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Yeah. So first, the short answer is no. The same-store did not benefit from any unusual items and did not have any cyber recoveries in it. In terms of the margin expansion, I would say that we're actually very pleased because sequentially, it's up 70 basis points. I understand you're probably the math you're applying. I think you'll see further expansion going into Q4. We did make more additional investments in the quarter. Any time we see strength in the quarter, we're going to take advantage of that to make additional investments. And candidly, our compensation structure is reflective of the fact that our team continues to outperform expectations. And so additional accruals in the quarter related to bonus, et cetera. But no concerns on our end. And I think you'll see margins expand not only in Q4, but you'll continue to see that expansion, as we go into 2024.

Eric Evans

Analyst

And Kevin, one point of a little additional clarification, I think Wayne answered that question 50-50. I think he's roughly right, probably more on the side of acuity than rate. I want to be clear on this. This is -- we have a really trombeat that's been based on really nice acuity growth this quarter. We've had some nice managed care rates, but I wouldn't say that half of that 14 is managed care. So we've got some rates. We're certainly working on that, but the majority of this is finding and attracting the right high-end cases and driving into our facilities.

Jason Cassorla

Analyst

Great. Awesome. Thank you for the clarity. And then just a follow-up. I wanted to ask on capital deployment, I guess, relative to your $200 million plus for the redeployment of divestiture activity target. I guess given year-to-date spend at $135 million and your comments on your pipeline, just curious on the timing of that spend has seemed to slow a bit in the third quarter, is that just kind of timing related? And I guess, just broadly, any commentary or incremental commentary on the capital deployment environment would be helpful. Thanks.

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Great. Let me start by saying, in the six years that this team has been together, the current pipeline of opportunity and what we have under LOI is greater than we've seen in any single year. And we don't see that slowing down as we head into the new year. Regarding timing, we actually anticipate with the over $200 million under LOI that some of these will get closed in the fourth quarter and still feel pretty confident about our targeted $200 million goal for the year. If it was to slip, we're really talking about slipping into the first half of next year, which we don't really see as a good turn towards our long-term growth algorithm. But actually no concerns on our end. We continue to apply appropriate due diligence on all facilities. And Eric and Dave continue to remind the teams that we don't manage to the quarter. We manage to the long-term growth algorithm. And so we're not necessarily going to accelerate a close to achieve a near-term goal. But I would tell you, no concerns at all on the kind of run rate of $200-plus million. And if anything, I would argue we're probably going to jump out of the gate even stronger next year.

Jason Cassorla

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Whit Mayo of Leerink Partners. Please go ahead.

Whit Mayo

Analyst

Thanks, good morning. Dave, can you go back and maybe just unpack the comments on the managed care actions that you undertook in the quarter? And I guess the corollary to this question is really just maybe an update on the revenue cycle initiatives, the focus on revenue conversion, now that you're, I think, on one clearing house. My sense is these numbers aren't small. So maybe just any update around those would be helpful. Thanks.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Hey, good morning. I'm going to jump in on the managed care question, I'll turn it to David for revenue cycle. There was no specific managed care actions in the quarter. I mean, other than our normal contracting, we clearly continue to develop strong relationship with payers, explaining and using math to show them our value proposition. I think we're getting increased traction with that over time, as they see the benefit of what's primarily an independent model as [in docs] (ph), the benefit we bring to them from a cost perspective. And so as Dave mentioned, we do have 90% of that of our planned increases for next year already in place contract-wise, but there's always negotiations happening there. As we add new service lines and procedures, so it has a chance to go back and say, hey, we're going to create a bunch of more value for you, how do we work together for a win-win. So I'm really, really proud of our managed care team. They've made a lot of gains. But I also think some of the gains they've made is being proactive in getting us set up to take on those higher acuity cases. And so some of this is just access to the right payers with the right incentives for physicians and some of it is ongoing rate negotiation. But there was nothing particularly different in this quarter. With that, maybe talk about revenue cycle.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah. Maybe just one additional point or context as to why I said what I said, 90% and they're like, we're in the middle of doing our budget process. And so Eric and I had the pleasure of talking to our Board about kind of progress and our confidence that we have going into 2024. And some of -- some of what you see, as Eric was mentioning, managed care is an ongoing effort that we do, right, day in and day out, our dedicated team kind of focuses on this. And what gives us some degree of confidence when you look at the contributions on the top line side, is how much work that team has done and contracted going into next year. So when we give guidance and as we give the visibility into 2024, our confidence is driven by the fact that we've already got 90% of or contracting baked in this space. So that's why it's there. And it is, again, when you go back to what we have -- what we have built over the past several years is a consistent plan that allows us to have some degree of predictability to it. And I'm glad you asked on the revenue cycle front. We had talked about this in the past. Revenue cycle represents two opportunities for us. One is cash flow generation on a faster basis. It also allows us to get greater yield through our results. And in rev cycle, kind of the -- it's a difficult job, as you know, in the healthcare services sector for us. We deal with payers that are constantly trying to find the right way to move business into our facilities. And so we're always dealing with the managed care providers, making sure that we're following their protocols appropriately and making sure that we do the right things on the front end, to make sure that we decrease denials on the back end. And then when we do have denials on the back end that we're actively managing those in accordance with our contracts with the payers. When you do that properly, you get increased yield opportunities. We've done a pretty good job of that, in the build that we have done over the years. We get to apply that logic every time we do an acquisition. So this is one of the values, that we provide when we do M&A. So when we often talk about buying companies and then taking a turn off of those effective multiples in the second year and half years of ownership, part of that is applying our rev cycle approach, getting better yield and accelerating cash.

Whit Mayo

Analyst

That's helpful. One just follow-up. Can you just -- of the seven divestitures that you've made year-to-date, can you just maybe size kind of how you're tracking relative to that $100 million target? Thanks guys.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah. So in the quarter, we estimate roughly $35 million, plus or minus, of revenue, that we're jumping over this year from revenue that we incurred last year in the third quarter that we don't have this year from the seven acquisitions. So we don't spike that out separately. We do that intentionally because I think we're proud of the growth that we have. But that's the business that we would have disposed of earlier this year.

Whit Mayo

Analyst

Thanks. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brian Tanquilut of Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Brian Tanquilut

Analyst

Hey, good morning guys and congrats on the quarter. Maybe Wayne or Eric, as I think about your comments on GLPs, maybe if you can just walk us through, maybe a little more detail on how you think that is a positive and if there's a near-term benefit from procedures getting done just because people are healthier. Just maybe if you can help us think through the modeling of that impact, at least near term and medium term. Thank you.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Hey, Brian, thanks for the question. And look, there's not a ton of information out there, right? We have done our research on the best we can, based on what we think the uptake could be, what the potential impact could be, there are puts and takes. As you can imagine, there are patients that are ineligible for surgery today because of weight, that will become eligible. There are patients who are overweight who might lose weight and become more active. And when you look at the types of procedures we do, which tend to lead towards things that are less affected by co-morbidities, if you look at the overall patients we have, for us, we see definitely impacts of people that will become eligible. We understand there might be some people who are healthier longer, but they also become more active. We have a lot of stuff that is based on activity and wear and tear. We think about things like GI doesn't affected by this in particular, as far as [risk goes] (ph) from what we can tell. Ophthalmology, obviously, a lot of that is -- some of that can be dye-related. A lot of it is not. We look at the pros and cons. We looked at the relative size of the market. And the reality for us is we don't see this as material, to our business. And so maybe there'll be data that comes out in the future that changes that opinion. But at this point, Brian, like if anything, it allows more patients who have fewer co-morbidities to be taken care of in our sites of service. We think that's a net benefit. But we still see the relative impact on an overall population of procedures as being relatively small. So that's as much as we can tell you right now. And I think that's -- if anybody is telling you more than that, they have data that I've not seen. So I think that's kind of where we all sit.

Brian Tanquilut

Analyst

I appreciate that. And then maybe, Dave, as I think about your swaps, just I know you said fixed rate and your debt, just any color you can share on your swaps? And then maybe also, how we should be thinking about funding the $200 million of deals in the pipeline?

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah. I appreciate you asking this question because we obviously do look at this and we're aware of how this is kind of viewed from the outside. So let me start with free cash flow generation. I mentioned it earlier in my prepared remarks. But hopefully, the results that we printed this morning demonstrate the confidence that we have been having all year in our ability to generate free cash flow this year, of north of $140 million. And I can assure you, our modeling still shows us kind of progressing nicely up to $200 million plus of free cash flow in 2025. So from a cash flow generation, you get to that year and you can see that the business is generating sufficient free cash flow to support its operations. So what we're really talking about here from an exposure area is the gap year of 2024 where you're going to be generating between the $140 million and the $200 million of free cash flow again. We're not going to give that guidance just yet. We'll give it in upcoming calls. And that's when you look at our balance sheet. And our balance sheet right now sits with $236 million of cash and an untapped revolver of nearly $550 million. So when management says and when I say that we have confidence we'll be able to support the growth that we've committed to of at least $200 million of capital deployment, that's why we have that confidence. Now we do -- to your point, we do have a debt stack that we look at that, there's no material debt coming due until 2026. To your point, we have interest rate swaps and caps in place, mostly swaps at this point, that fix our current term loan variable rate to just under 6%. I think we're at 5.9% effective interest rate. We'll have that all the way through March of 2025. And then at that point in time, obviously, I hope that we have done a refinancing opportunity, we'll be close to that at that point in time. So that we'll time the market in the most favorable environment that we can see and then we'll go after the market. And of course, reestablish our hedging strategy and what's going to make sense to us. I think what we have valued and I think our investors have valued is the predictability of our free cash flow. So hedging strategy will always be important to us. In today's environment, that means we have to look at the forward interest rate curve and see what kind of makes sense for us. But as we sit here today, fully hedged in a position of strength because of that predictability that we have over the next several years.

Brian Tanquilut

Analyst

Appreciate that. Hey, Wayne, maybe one more question, if I may. I know there -- we've been asked a lot about site neutrality. How are you thinking about the proposals that are out there, whether it's from [indiscernible] or whatever is going around in DC right now? Thank you.

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Hey, Brian, thanks for the question. I'm going to let Eric actually expand on this since he just provided the Board an update along with some of our long-term outlook views. The short answer is, we actually think this is a net positive to us. But Eric, maybe expand on kind of what we disclosed to the Board and…

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yeah. Bian, let me start with the whole thesis of our business is the savings we create in the system by driving patient care to the right side of care, right? That is -- that is absolutely why this company, I think, exists. It's why we create a lot of value. It's why we are part of the answer in healthcare. So for us, any legislation that actually encourages patients to get their care done in the right place is something we fully support. So let me set it up there. Let me secondly say, we don't own and operate traditional acute care hospitals. Right? We have six surgical -- we have surgical hospitals that do take care of extended stay scheduled patients. Many of them don't have ERs, right? So you think about a given market and how we think about the world, we’d like the opportunity in a given specialty, whether that's orthopedics or cardiology, to provide the whole spectrum of care to our physician partners. So if you think about our surgical facilities where there may be something would move to an ASC, we're already doing that. You look at our surgical hospitals, we have ASC strategies, many of them have ASCs, and many of them multiple ASCs. So the idea is we think it's a unique opportunity in our short-stay surgical facilities, again, very different than traditional acute care. They are purpose built for higher acuity scheduled procedures. As we think about that world, we love that opportunity with our partners to cover the entire gamut of acuity in a value-based way that allows the patient to go to the right side of care. So that's addressing any risk we might have. The bigger issue is -- our bigger catchment is on the ASC side. We have 130 plus today. We're adding a bunch of de novos. As you know, we see that number growing out its way to 200 over the next few years. All of those sites benefit from anybody leaving the HOPD hospital site. So we feel like we're very well positioned and been proactive on moving it to the right side of care in markets where we have the higher acuity capabilities. And in the other cases, we see that as a net positive. So it's, again, core to our business, we believe in it. We're excited about it. We think it's the right answer for the health system. And so net-net, we think definitely not a risk, and we really think there's some opportunity there. And Dave, maybe you want to add something?

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah. So of course, you can expect that we're tracking what's going on up in DC and kind of following the conversation. As Eric mentioned, this is the company Steve says, so logically makes sense for us. As we looked at the closest proposal that we've kind of seen with some degree of specificity, there are -- there's this concept that stuff might move out of our larger acuity centers into our ASC environments. If you take just a bearish case and assume that those types of cases in the environment that they've kind of set up. So again, very worst-case scenario in 2026 and beyond. What we're talking about in our calculations is less than 1% of our business. And I'd say when you look at just the bearish case, that's purely the bearish case, right, assuming that there is no further improvement opportunities inside our ASCs. And no replacement of those cases outside of our larger facilities, which is unrealistic. This company, as you know, is very strategically focused. And if you have an effective date of 2026 or beyond, overcoming a 1% headwind is not something that intimidates us in any way.

Brian Tanquilut

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Sarah James of Cantor Fitzgerald. Please go ahead.

Sarah James

Analyst

Thank you. I just wanted to follow up on the train of thought from that last question. So as you think about, where you're investing to capitalize on the new regulatory environment, does that have a link to your case mix? I noticed the 40% of hiring that's coming in, in the MSK space, is above your current case mix. So do you see evolving into that being a more dominant part of your business?

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yeah, Sarah, great question. I mean, look, I think we have been talking for quite some time, that we are focused on growing in areas -- first of all, higher acuity areas in our ASCs and surgical facilities. It is the highest contribution dollar per minute. And so it makes logical, since we're focused there. We also know it's what matters most to the health system, to payers, to CMS, the amount of savings we can drive is incredible for those procedures, often 10,000 plus a case. And that's why, yes, absolutely, you should see that mix continue to change. Now that doesn't take away the fact -- we love our GI business. We love our Ophthalmology business. They're great businesses. But when you think about our ASCs, think about de novos for example, almost all of them are ortho or cardio based. So like we are very, very focused on moving where we can add the most value, and that certainly provides protection against lower acuity stuff that maybe does change spaces. And look, we don't talk about that, but on the lower end of things, things leave our facilities, and that's okay because it's the right answer overall. I would like to point out, too, this is the recent CMS announcement, they added shoulders and ankles, in particular, total shoulders. We were really pleased during COVID, that we had some facilities that were accepted and able to do total shoulders. We had fantastic clinical results. We save patients a lot of money. Initially, they weren't included coming off the inpatient-only list. We were certainly pleased to see that, and we see those kind of opportunities to continue to push higher acuity patients safely into our space with a better experience, better outcomes and really just ultimately the best answer for the healthcare system, as a tremendous opportunity. One little set, I'd throw out to going back to the site transition, it's still 3:1, the number of joint -- total joints that are in the HOPD versus the ASC environment. So we're in the early innings of a lot of this stuff. You will see us continue to change that mix to higher acuity over time just because that's where [indiscernible].

Sarah James

Analyst

Great. And then can you provide any color on your case mix volume by specialty this quarter?

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Yeah, Dave’s just looking into -- yeah, Dave is looking at it now, just so we can give you the exact specifics.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

And this information will be in our Q, a little bit later today, just so you have it. So the nearly 3% same-facility growth that we saw in cases this year in the quarter, is our top three are all north of -- our top three kind of target areas, Ophthalmology, GI and MSK, particularly the ortho component of MSK are all north of 4% same facility growth. So those were all growing very nicely for us. It's not going to change the overall mix of the business, but that's where you can see that higher acuity come through in our same facility calculation. So I think it's fair to say, much like we've seen all year, Sarah, that the -- our growth engine is kind of running along all of our specialties. So we're seeing kind of nice growth in every single one of those areas.

Sarah James

Analyst

Thank you.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ann Hynes of Mizuho Securities. Please go ahead.

Ann Hynes

Analyst

Hi, good morning. In the past, you have talked about your revenue algorithm as 2% to 3% case growth, 2% to 3% revenue per case growth. But I feel like that's a little still given, especially this quarter with revenue per case of 11%. How should we think about that going forward just given the mix of higher acuities changing? That would be my first question. And my second question is just on Q4 seasonality. The EBITDA ramp going into Q4 seems like a little higher than normal. Is there anything that you would call out for Q4, that would be great. Thanks.

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Ann, good morning. I'll take the first question, and then I'll have Dave talk about seasonality. But -- went blank.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

The growth algorithm.

Wayne DeVeydt

Analyst

Yeah. On the growth algorithm, let me remind everybody that the three components of the growth algorithm, and I'm just going to focus on the one that you've highlighted, which is the 2% to 3% volume then the 2% to 3% rate. And is that starting to become somewhat stale in light of what we continue to produce. I'll start by answering this way, which is we fully expect going into next year to be north of the high end of that range, right, which is clearly 6%. We have no indication that, that should slow. So I think that's a fair question you're asking, and it appears that we ought to be able to outperform that on a same-store basis. We continue to target the 2% to 3% on volume because we want the team to be focused on the right procedures and the high acuity procedures. And so if you were to look at it last year, we had a very strong year last year with 3.8% volume growth on a year-to-date basis. You look at it this year, we're at 3.5% on top of that strong growth last year. So I still think the 2% to 3% is the right algorithm target, we would bias towards the high end of that range, if not slightly better. Clearly, where you're going to see this differentiated approach is going to be on the 2% to 3% that we talk about revenue component. And I think a combination of the acuity mix we were going after, the combination of the new rev cycle initiatives that Dave has put forward, et cetera, yeah, we clearly will be north of that. And again, to give you an exact percentage, we don't want to get ahead of our Board, as the team is coming forward with the final plan for next year. But all in, we should easily exceed our 6% top line algorithm that we've laid out for you.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah. And let me just address that seasonality question because -- and maybe you can show me the numbers that you're looking at. But if you take the midpoint of our guidance, what would imply is our fourth quarter results should come in somewhere around the low 30s, about 32% of our full year guidance at that midpoint. That's consistent with what we have seen in the past, with the exception of the COVID year. If you go back to 2019, 2018, you go back to last year, we have a higher proportion of our business in the fourth quarter. It's -- as a CFO, that's what makes it -- I always sweat Christmas because I'm trying to see how those cases come in. But that's all a result of our patients kind of chasing after the deductible, before it resets at the beginning of the year. So you see a higher preponderance of commercial business and higher volume, both of those things, typically come through starting in late November and going all the way through the end of the year. And that's just how the business kind of runs. It's predictable enough for us to kind of put that in there. But nonetheless, it still does -- it contributes to that higher average growth rate, that you see inside the fourth quarter.

Ann Hynes

Analyst

All right. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Bill Sutherland of Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Bill Sutherland

Analyst

Good morning guys. Most of mine have been asked. But hey, Eric, I'm kind of curious on the non-consolidated deals. Are you -- I mean, directionally, is it moving in the same direction, as the consolidated deals in terms of the mix of specialty? And are you -- and the second add-on is, are you all looking a little increasingly at multi-specialty centers, as you particularly do three-way deals?

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yeah. So great, great questions. Let me start with the first question. So the non-consolidated deals are actually even higher acuity in totality than our current book of business. So we've used it as a way to expand into those procedures that matter most. So the answer there is, from a directional mix perspective, that's true. We've also, like I said, been very pleased with the early growth we're driving in those facilities. Both proves our value and also taking advantage of the synergies we bring to those facilities. So as we've talked about before, we were getting accounting for a second, we're going to make the best earnings decision for the company. and then figure out the best way to talk to you guys about it. So that's been something we've been very, very pleased with overall. And your second question, sorry?

Bill Sutherland

Analyst

Multi-specialty.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Multi-specialty. Yeah. So multi-specialty, so you should know the vast majority of our SEs today are multi-specialty. And we do still have some single-specialty ASCs in both ophthalmology and GI. But yeah, the vast majority are multi-specialty. Wherever we can, we turn the single specialty in the multi-specialty. And if you look forward, I would say what's interesting about our de novos, I think they will ultimately be multi-specialty. Many of them are ortho-focused. What that allows you, though, is bigger rooms, you're building for more complex cases, which does allow you to fill in any gaps with other specialties over time. So you might see some of those come out of the gate really, really specialized and taking off on those areas, but we see opportunities there over time to add ad service lines like we always do. And our bias is definitely towards multi-specialty because it allows us to use all of our different growth tactics and levers, allows us to really, really leverage our recruitment team. And so over time, we would expect that to continue to be the direction.

Bill Sutherland

Analyst

And so your de novos are more tilted toward MSK than Cardio?

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yes. More towards MSK than anything else for sure. And like I said, we're still in the early innings of that. We're excited about that. There is obviously some cardio there. And look, cardio is one of those ones that it's going to be, again, -- it's going to be a -- big growth number on a next several years in a small in. Guessing when it meets its full potential is a little bit like guessing when orthopedics finally came over the hump. But we do expect to continue to see that take off in the coming years.

Bill Sutherland

Analyst

Okay. Great. Thanks very much.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Of course.

Operator

Operator

Our final question comes from Ben Hendrix of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Ben Hendrix

Analyst

Hey, thank you. Just a quick follow-up question. Most of my questions have been answered. But you appreciate the commentary, the early commentary on 2024 and the commentary about the strong rate growth being 50-50 core growth and mix with maybe a little bit of bias towards acuity. But any thoughts on how that migrates into your early 2024 commentary? Thanks.

Dave Doherty

Analyst

Yeah. So it is too early, Ben, for us to talk about 2024. So all we're going to tell you at this stage is that we are -- we do see our growth algorithm continuing. And again, we've talked about this theme of consistency, right? That is what we want to be known for. It is also just generally the way this business operates, right? We generally do not have kind of unusual events that cause spikes one way or another. So there's a degree of predictability that you can assume from what we have accomplished so far this year and that ought to continue into next year. But at this stage, I don't think we're going to give -- I know we're not going to give guidance on 2024. We just got to finish doing the work and then making sure we get through our Board before we talk publicly.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Then what I would reiterate, and we continue to say this, we're a mid-teens growth company. That's the expectation. We have the opportunity to do that. We don't see that changing. There's nothing, as I said in my prepared remarks, having sat in this seat for four years, I've got more opportunities and more levers and more tailwinds than I've ever had. And so when we talk about that long-term, mid-teens growth, we've got as much confidence in that as we've ever had more so. And I'm super excited going into 2024. We'll share more of that with you obviously in the coming months.

Ben Hendrix

Analyst

I appreciate that. And just very last one, and apologies if I missed it. Within that double-digit de novo growth, any thoughts on how the mix of that pans out between kind of your consolidated, non-consolidated -- consolidated equity method mix going forward? Thanks.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yeah. A lot of the de novos, especially early on are going to be non-consolidated. So some of them will be non-consolidated because we have a health system partner, which has unique advantages and probably won't give us the opportunity to buy up. Some of them are us and docs, where we will have distinct opportunities to buy up. And so -- but initially, those will be non-consolidated facilities in general.

Ben Hendrix

Analyst

Thanks.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Yep, absolutely.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, it appears we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I will now hand over to management for closing remarks.

Eric Evans

Analyst

Thank you. And I want to appreciate -- really appreciate about engagement today. Before we conclude, I would like to reiterate, just how proud I am of our team of professionals and surgeon partners, who worked so closely together to deliver on our mission, which is to enhance patient quality of life through partnership. Their working contributions allow us to deliver consistent and predictable results that we talked about today and they also support a sustained growth for all of our stakeholders and continue to serve our communities with the highest clinical care in low-cost settings with the convenience and professionalism our facilities are known for. Thank you so much for joining our call today, and hope you have a great day. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's event. Thank you for attending, and you may now disconnect your lines.