Patrick O'Leary
Analyst · Barclays Capital
Thanks, Chris. Good morning, everyone. Looking first at EPS for the fourth quarter, we reported earnings of $1.30 per share. This includes a $0.17 tax benefit related to the favorable settlement of certain legacy tax matters. Excluding this tax benefit, EPS was $1.13 per share, $0.10 above the midpoint of our guidance, and $0.03 above the top end of the range. For the full year, reported EPS was $3.86 per share. On an adjusted basis, EPS was $3.62 per share. This excludes $0.57 of tax benefits recorded during the year and $0.33 of charges associated with our Q3 debt refinancing. Our earnings per share increased sequentially throughout 2010. Looking at the Q4 year-over-year comparison, adjusted EPS decreased 17%, driven largely by reduced revenue and profitability in our power-related businesses. The lower pricing on shipments of Power Transformers during the period was the primary headwind, resulting in an $0.18 year-over-year decline. Revenue for the quarter was $1.3 billion, flat year-over-year. Acquisitions contributed $58 million or 4% growth. This was offset by a 3% organic decline and 1% impact from currency. Fourth quarter segment income was $160 million, down 5%. Segment margins were 12.1%, better than we had expected, however, down 70 points versus Q4 2009. The pricing decline in transformer shipments reduced our consolidated margins by 90 points. Aggregate margins across the other businesses improved 20 points year-over-year. Looking at the results by segment, beginning with Flow Technology. Flow reported revenue of $486 million in Q4. That's up 11% from Q4 2009, driven primarily by acquisitions. Organic growth was 3%, driven by increased food and beverage systems revenue in Asia-Pacific, as well as increased revenue from the nucleus squib valve project and sales of oil and gas processing equipment. Currency reduced revenue by 1%. Segment income increased 13% to $71 million, and margins increased 30 points to 14.6%. Leverage on the organic revenue growth and a favorable sales mix more than offset the dilutive impact of the 2010 acquisitions. For the full year, Flow's revenue grew 2% to about $1.7 billion. Revenue associated with the 2010 acquisitions was $92 million, accounting for 6% growth over the prior year. Organic revenue declined 4%. The organic decline was concentrated in the first half of the year. During the second half of 2010, Flow reported modest organic growth. Segment income increased to $216 million, up 2%. This represents 38% of our consolidated segment income for 2010. Segment margins increased to 13%. Improvement in Flow's core operating margins more than offset 50 points of margin dilution from the acquisitions. In 2011, we're targeting 10% to 15% revenue growth with segment margins of 13% to 13.5%. Moving on to the Thermal segment. In the fourth quarter, we discontinued a very small product line on this segment. Annual revenue for the discontinued business was only about $5 million. The reported numbers for the Thermal segment exclude the results of this product line. Reported revenue for the fourth quarter was $419 million. This was down 14% from the prior year. Organic revenue declined 16%, reflecting a decline in revenue from large-scale power projects. The SPX Heat Transfer acquisition increased revenue by 4%, and currency was a 2% headwind. Segment income was $53 million, down 17% year-over-year, and operating margins were 12.6%. The decline in profitably reflects the impact of fewer large-scale power projects, particularly in China. For the full year, revenue increased modestly to $1.6 billion. Growth from the SPX Heat Transfer acquisition was 6% or $87 million. Organic revenue declined 4%, and currency had a 1% negative impact. Increased sales into emerging markets were offset by declines in the U.S. and Europe. We expect to see modest recovery in these regions in 2011. Segment income increased 13% to $194 million, driven by the acquisition as well as better operating execution. As Chris mentioned, Thermal matched its record for margin performance at 12.1%, up 130 points over 2009. In 2010, we executed several projects with attractive margins. The increase in profitably reflects the favorable project mix and improved project execution. In 2011, we're targeting about $1.7 billion of revenue, up 2% to 7% year-over-year. As a reminder, we expect this growth to be concentrated in the second half of the year. We expect Q1 to be particularly challenging and are projecting a double-digit decline in revenue for the period. Based on the margin profile of the ending 2010 backlog, we expect 2011 segment income margins to be lower, particularly in the first half of the year. Segment margins are targeted to be between 10.3% and 10.8%. In our Test and Measurement segment, Q4 revenue increased 15% to $252 million. Organic growth was 17%, and currency reduced revenue by 2%. The organic revenue growth was driven largely by an increase in sales of diagnostic tools and equipment related to new vehicle launches. We also saw modest growth in the global vehicle service aftermarket. Segment income increased 12% to $22 million, and segment margins were 8.6%, up 80 points over Q3. Looking at the year-over-year margin comparison, it should be noted that we recorded a favorable year-end LIFO adjustment of $4 million in Q4 2009. This favorable LIFO adjustment in Q4 2010 was only $1 million, so the leverage on the revenue growth is greater than it appears. For the full year, revenue in our Test and Measurement segment increased 14% to $924 million. Organic growth was 15% and currency had a 1% negative impact. Revenue grew organically across all the major product lines in Test and Measurement. Increased sales of repair diagnostics and equipment to OEMs and their dealers was the primary driver of revenue growth. Segment income increased $25 million to $77 million, that's up 49% year-over-year, and margins improved 200 points to 8.3%. This increased profitably reflects leverage on the organic growth and benefits from prior year's restructuring actions. Looking at our expectations for 2011, we're targeting revenue to increase 1% to 6%, and segment margins are expected to increase to about 9% this year. Moving on to our Industrial segment, our fourth quarter revenue was $168 million, down 6% from Q4 2009. Transformer sales declined more than 20% year-over-year. This decline more than offset double-digit organic growth in sales of solar crystal growers and hydraulic tools. Segment income was $15 million, and margins were 8.9%. Lower year-over-year pricing on transformer shipments had the greatest impact on the decline in this segment's revenue and profitability. For the full year, Industrial's revenue declined 13% to $699 million. As expected at the outset of 2010, the revenue in our Transformer business declined by more than 30% year-over-year to approximately $250 million. About half of the decline was due to reduced volume and half due to lower pricing. This had a significant impact on profitability. Segment income decreased 52% to $74 million, and margins for this segment were 10.7%. In 2011, we are targeting revenue in the Industrial segment to grow 4% to 9%, driven by increased sales of Communication Technology and Hydraulic Tools. Segment margins are expected to decline to be between 8.8% and 9.3%, primarily due to lower pricing on transformer shipments in the first half of the year. Public comments by our customers and various independent research reports indicate that we are at the beginning of the next investment cycle for medium-power transformers. We believe that our Transformer business will recover gradually over the next few years. Moving on to free cash flow. In line with our historical performance, we had very strong free cash flow in the fourth quarter. Our Q4 2010 free cash flow was $174 million, up to the additional $100 million contribution to our U.S. pension plans. Full-year adjusted free cash flow was $206 million. It's a 113% conversion of adjusted net income. And our 2011 free cash flow guidance is $220 million to $260 million or approximately 110% conversion of net income. This assumes $150 million of capital investments. As a reminder, our CapEx target is elevated this year due primarily to the investments we are making to expand our transformer plant and construct the China manufacturing campus. From a liquidity perspective, we ended 2010 with a little more than $1 billion of available capital. At the end of last year, we had $455 million of cash on hand and access to $555 million of available credit lines. More than 95% of our debt is at a fixed rate and does not mature prior to 2014. In 2011, we will pay off about $50 million of outstanding bonds, and we do not have any other debt obligations due this year. We paid dividend of $1 per share at current yield of about 1.2%. This is about a $50 million annual cash commitment. And we intend to use cash on hand to fund the acquisition of the Teradyne Diagnostic assets. We are in a strong financial position, are focused on making prudent investments to further execute our long-term strategy. We expect our capital allocation in 2011 to be focused on acquisitions and/or share repurchases. With that, I'll turn the call back to Chris.