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The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS)

Q4 2024 Earnings Call· Mon, Mar 10, 2025

$1.74

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to The ONE Group Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants will be in listen-only mode. A brief question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Tyler Loy. Please go ahead.

Tyler Loy

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and hello, everyone. Before we begin our formal remarks, let me remind you that part of our discussion today will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and you should not place undue reliance on them. These statements are also subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Please also note that, these forward-looking statements reflect our opinion only as of the date of this call. We undertake no obligation to revise or publicly release any revisions of these forward-looking statements considering new information or future events. We refer you to our recent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition. During today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. However, the presentation of these measures or other information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. For reconciliations of these measures, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income, restaurant operating profit, comparable sales and total food and beverage sales that are owned and managed, license and franchise units to GAAP measures, along with a discussion of why we consider these measures useful, please see our earnings release issued today. With that, I'd just like to turn the call over to Manny Hilario.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Thank you, Tyler, and hello, everyone. Thank you all for joining us today and for your continued interest in The ONE Group. I would like to begin this call by recognizing our amazing team members, their unwavering commitment to our mission, creating great guest experiences by operating the best restaurant in every market we're in, by delivering exceptional and unforgettable guest experiences to every guest every time. This is what gives me confidence that we can realize our vision of becoming the global leader in vibe dining. 2024 marked a transformative year for us, with the strategic acquisition of Benihana and RA Sushi restaurant. This milestone event expanded our portfolio of vibe dining venues and enabled us to achieve scale that would have taken us years to build organically. The acquisition also drove significant operational efficiencies yielding significant run rate synergies during 2024. These savings came from streamlining restaurant operations and support functions, eliminating redundant costs and leveraging our enhanced scale to secure more favorable supplier contracts. Looking ahead, we are targeting a total of $20 million in total cost savings by year end 2026. Our annual financial performance certainly reflected the transformational change at our company. Full year revenue increased over 100% to $672 million and adjusted EBITDA increased almost 130% to $75.2 million. Both metrics obviously represent significant growth from the prior year, but also came in, at the higher end of our 2024 guidance ranges. Now let us share highlights from our recent fourth quarter. First, we increased revenues by almost 150% to a record $222 million. We had our best consolidated comparable sales of the year, including positive transactions at STK and improved sales performance of Benihana due to our initiatives. The momentum seen in the fourth quarter has carried into the first quarter, and we…

Tyler Loy

Analyst

Thank you, Manny. Let me start by discussing our fourth quarter financials in greater detail, before providing our outlook for the first quarter and current year. Please note that the fourth quarter of 2024 has three months of contributions from Benihana and RA Sushi, whereas the prior year quarter excludes any contribution from the acquisition of Benihana, which closed on Mat 01, 2024. Total consolidated GAAP revenues were $221.9 million, increasing 147% from $89.9 million for the same quarter last year. Included in total revenues were our company-owned restaurants' net revenue of $217.8 million which increased 155.7% from $85.2 million for the prior year quarter. The increase was due primarily to $130.4 million in contributions from Benihana and RA Sushi and to a lesser extent contributions from the opening of six STKs, two Kona Grill and a Saltwater Social restaurant, since the onset of the fourth quarter of 2023. These were partially offset by a 4.3% reduction in consolidated comparable sales. Management license and franchise revenue decreased 14.5% to $4.1 million from $4.8 million for the prior year quarter. Benihana franchise restaurant contributed $0.5 million in revenues during the fourth quarter of 2024, but was offset by decreased revenues at vantage STK restaurants in North America and the prior termination of an F&B hospitality agreement in Florence, Italy. Company-owned restaurant cost of sales as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue decreased 250 basis points to 20.4% compared to 22.8% in the prior year quarter. This was primarily due to the addition and strong performance of Benihana and RA Sushi, as they contributed positively to cost of sales as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue. Company-owned restaurant operating expenses as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue increased three forty basis points to 61.2% from 57.8% in the prior…

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Thank you, Tyler and thank you all for your time today and interest in The ONE Group. We remain confident in our portfolio of iconic high volume brands and long-term vision to be the undisputed global leader in vibe dining. We are in the early stages of an exciting phase in our company's journey and we appreciate your continued support. Tyler and I are happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator?

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And your first question today will come from Jim Salera with Stephens Inc. Please go ahead.

James Salera

Analyst

Hi, guys. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking our questions. Manny, I wanted to drill down a little bit on maybe the shape of the year. Obviously, some consumer uncertainty right now, but how can we think about the same-store sales progression? Is it fair to say that, you expect it's going to get gradually better each quarter as the year progresses or just any call outs that's worth that? And then the other piece is, what do you expect from kind of the traffic versus mix component, as the year progresses, as we've heard industry traffic is expected to be kind of flat to down for the year?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yes, Jim. Thanks. As you can see from our guidance for the quarter, we're looking at a minus four to minus three income in same-store sales for the first quarter. And then for the full year, we're looking at a minus three to plus one. Obviously, the progression has been sequentially better this quarter than it was on the fourth quarter last year. We've seen continued improvement in the fourth quarter, was already an improvement over prior quarters. We're sequencing into much better periods. And then, going out into the year, we think that we'll continue the improvement in the second, third and obviously the fourth quarter is always a great quarter for us in terms of being able to go on sale. Obviously, the environment is what the environment is, the challenges are still out there. But I think, in total, we are making progress for all our brands. In terms of traffic, as we mentioned earlier, in the prepared comments, STK traffic was positive in the fourth quarter, and we feel really good about the traffic for that brand for 2025. So we feel really good about the strategies and initiatives that we've put in place there. And then for Benihana, obviously we're now into our third quarter into working with the brands, and we have made significant amount of initiatives and improvements and changes to both marketing, menu and operations, which we think will continue to yield transactions going forward. So we also feel good about the transaction outlook for the Benihana brand. In terms of the growth, that continues to be a challenged sector in general, but I think as you saw from the numbers, we continue to make improvements there, and we do have a very solid leadership team in place and grow right now. So I feel pretty comfortable about our ability to get to better traffic in 2025.

James Salera

Analyst

Great. And then maybe another question just on the kind of sequencing of the new unit openings. Is there anything we should factor in, in terms of equipment availability? I don't know if any of the tariffs impact just your ability to get equipment set up for new restaurant openings and if that should be kind of even throughout the year, if we should expect maybe more in the back half versus the front half?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yes. I mean, so right now from a sequencing of restaurants, we have three units that are pretty much in final stages. We have our Benihana in San Mateo, which is already in heavy pre-opening operations right now. So that one is very close to getting opened. And then, we also have two STKs that will follow shortly thereafter. We have one in Tampanga, California, which is coming up very soon. We also have West with two in the very near future. So all those three restaurants are currently already in pre-opening operations. So those, we very close to being open here. And then, we also have a franchise, Benihana Express that will be opening here very shortly. And then, expect the balance of the openings to be late third quarter, early fourth quarter with probably the most likely one is the Kona Grill in Seattle. So a bunch of them opening up now, one kind of middle of the year, and then the balance late third quarter, early fourth quarter. In terms of equipment availability and stuff, of course, for those that are opening now, all the equipment is already in place. I think the Kona Grill equipment is pretty much sorted out. And then, for the late end of the year openings, I think we also have a big part of that equipment also sorted out. So I wouldn't say, we'd see any immediate impact in 2025 with anything to do with equipment.

Operator

Operator

And your next question today will come from Mark Smith with Lake Street Capital. Please go ahead.

Mark Smith

Analyst

Hi, guys. Similar question, just wanted to ask as we look at the tariff front, any impact on commodities, anything that you guys are seeing shifting out there on the commodity front?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I mean, other than the more obvious ones that everybody speaks about today like eggs and some of the stuff we see out there, we don't see any significant shifts. Obviously beef is a big one for us and also frozen seafood as we go through a lot of shrimp and prawns et cetera. So I think those two commodities at least from our perspective are pretty well soft for the remainder of the year. So we don't see any impact, particularly now on the second and third quarter, we don't see anything that would be significant or even the first quarter. But yes, the environment is a little bit more complex in terms of navigating it with all the conversations about tariffs and the potential shifting and supply sources, et cetera. It's a little bit more complex, but I think as I mentioned on my prepared statements, one of our core strengths now is a really strong supply chain team as well as a very strong supply chain process. So I feel pretty good that through the acquisition and integration process of Benihana, we've really gotten our systems and our practices in place for supply chain. Obviously, there'll be some things happening in the environment, but I think that we set ourselves up to be able to navigate through that environment really well with our systems.

Mark Smith

Analyst

Okay. And then you already walked through kind of opening cadence and outlook there. I'm curious as we think about primarily RA maybe with Kona, are there any restaurants coming to end of lease terms or anything that maybe we should look for on the closure front?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I mean, as I said in the earlier calls, obviously portfolio management is really important for the growth side at this point. For RA, we don't have any plants. As a matter of fact, we don't have any plant closures at this point, but obviously we'll continue to evaluate that, but no RA locations on our plant right now to close down.

Mark Smith

Analyst

Okay. And I think the last one from me, just trying to dig in a little bit more into kind of consumer behavior, as we think about kind of traffic ticket mix. Maybe talk about your ability to take price, where necessary and what's maybe built into the guidance here. And then, I'm also curious just in in changes in behavior maybe over the last few months. Are you seeing anything significant like cut back on alcohol or drinks, desserts, anything to call out on consumer behavior would be great.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yes. I mean, I think there were two questions in there. One of them was the pricing and how we're looking at pricing. Obviously, we do want to be cautious on pricing, just because the consumer is paying close attention to tickets right now, or what the prices are on the tickets. So we have to be thoughtful and cautious about it. We do still have some opportunities. We've been very disciplined with STK. We've been very thoughtful about not going too far ahead in that brand. So, we do have some firepower in pricing there, if we wanted to. But for all intents and purposes, we'll only go to pricing if we get into a commodity or a situation here, where we have to deal with inflation. So we'll be very careful with that. In terms of the consumer behaviors, I think I've reported earlier. I think that the bigger behavior that we've seen from consumers is them opting for alternative dayparts such as happy hour, and we also see particularly on the steakhouse side, we see more people sharing maybe some of the sides, but we haven't really seen anything other than those two megatrends, if you will, within the portfolio.

Operator

Operator

And your next question today will come from Nick Setyan with Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead.

Nick Setyan

Analyst

Thank you. Can we just talk about some of the new openings and how they're doing, if you're happy with sort of the sales trends, particularly the Kona and RA Sushi that opened this year?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yes. I mean, I think the two openings, one was in Plantation was the RA opening. I think that one is tracking in the $3.5 million, $4 million revenue range, which is for Arise is pretty much on brine. And then our second opening in that category was Tigard, which is in Oregon, fantastic shopping mall right by a fantastic Apple store. I think that's up and coming restaurant. It did really well during season, during the holiday season, which is, you'd expect out of that shopping center. Obviously, the first quarter is a little slower, because of the rains up in Oregon and the fact that we have a beautiful rooftop in that property. So I'm actually been pretty pleased with the progress of both Tigard and Plantation. So I would say that's a good check. I mean, the other openings that we've done are the STKs which continue to be above our model and continue to do extremely well. And then we also opened South Water Social. My view on that restaurant that opening was to be around $85,000 to $100,000 a week. We're in the mid-100s, about $130,000 to $140,000 so that restaurant is actually frankly doing extremely, extremely well for a one-off concept. So I would say that, I look at the 2024 class as a good class of openings and the 25 classes also super exciting class of units. The quality of the real estate is super high and all the properties. So we are looking forward to another strong year in real estate in 2025.

Nick Setyan

Analyst

And just please update us on the construction costs and where they are across the concept, the ones that you're developing, like how much it costs to build the new units?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yes. I mean, I think that, the gross costs on concepts right now is in the high 600s to close 700 per square foot on the space, and then we're getting about $150 in TI, call it, in the mid 500s after TI. I mean, that's just kind of what the environment has been. If I look at the throughout the last two years, obviously with labor having been an issue at some point, construction did go up and then equipment and some other stuff. Obviously, the big pressure point not to really watch out is for steel prices. Some of our properties we use steel in it, so we obviously are managing through it. But again, I think as we've gotten bigger, quality of our development team is really big, is really high. So I have a very high-quality team that spends a significant amount of time on cost engineering, just to make sure that we're getting the right specs and we're doing a good job of only spending, what we need to spend on these projects. So I think that again, our team and our process is very strong in that area right now.

Nick Setyan

Analyst

Okay. And then just final question for me. Just given the down only 20 bps for Benihana in Q4, your comments around continued sequential progression, is it fair to assume that Benihana has turned positive in Q1, or we should think about it as positive within the overall guidance, the comp guidance?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I mean, I think in general we didn't provide brand guidance for the quarter, but I would say that looking at the progression, the progression holds well, right. So obviously our overall quarter-over-quarter based on our guidance, I think the midpoint of our guidance is about minus 3.5%, which is an improvement from the fourth quarter. And Benihana was relatively flat in the fourth quarter. I think you mentioned them minus 20 bps, I think that's correct. But I feel good about it. I think the thing I feel really good about Benihana has been the initiatives that we put in place and added emphasis on happy hour, which helps the Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday business. And I think the next big initiative has been our emphasis on throughput on Fridays and Saturdays, because the restaurants do get jammed up on those days of the week. So we've been working with operations and just really making sure that, we put a lot of our knowhow and how we do reservations and utilizing our central logistics process to really enhance throughput at the restaurants and table turn times. So we're emphasizing that on the weekends. And then, the other thing that we're super excited about is we've been adding products innovating with Wagyu for instance and that's done very well in the windows that we put in. For instance, we featured a great white goose steak offering, Surf & Turf for Valentine's and that was really well accepted by the consumer side. I would say that, I'm super pleased with the progress that we've done on sales with Benihana. And then, the other thing that we did in the quarter for Benihana, and this is in our press releases, we've improved the margins of Benihana by 300 basis points quarter-to-quarter on the fourth quarter, although we didn't own them last year, we did own them this year. So I think that really shows not only our ability to get to better sales with Benihana, but we've made significant improvements in the store-level economics of the brand. So I would say that we had a very successful fourth quarter with Benihana brand and I look forward to it. Also want to emphasize that's over 55% of our business now. So it's really good to have a significant of a part of our business operating at a really high level.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Manny Hilario for any closing remarks.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Thank you, operator. And as I always say, thank you, ONE Group teammates, for living our mission every day. Only through your significant contributions can we be successful and do what we do. So I appreciate everyone's commitment and living that mission every day. And then also for all of you on the conference call, thank you very much for your interest in our company and I always look forward to seeing you all in our restaurants. Everybody have a great day. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.