Earnings Labs

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS)

Q1 2025 Earnings Call· Fri, May 9, 2025

$1.74

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Transcript

Tyler Loy - CFO

Management

Emanuel Hilario - President and CEO

Management

Mark Smith - Lake Street Capital Markets

Management

Anthony Lebiedzinski - Sidoti

Management

Joe Gomes - Noble Capital

Management

Jim Sanderson - Northcoast Research

Management

Roger Lipton - Lipton Financial

Management

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to The ONE Group First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Mr. Tyler Loy. Please go ahead.

Tyler Loy

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and hello, everyone. Before we begin our formal remarks, let me remind you that part of our discussion today will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and you should not place undue reliance on them. These statements are also subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from what we expect. Please also note that these forward-looking statements reflect our opinion only as of the date of this call. We undertake no obligation to revise or publicly release any revisions of these forward-looking statements considering new information or future events. We refer you to our recent SEC filings for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial conditions. During today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures which we believe can be useful in evaluating our performance. However, the presentation of these measures or other information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with GAAP. For reconciliations of these measures, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted net income, restaurant EBITDA, comparable sales, and total food and beverage sales at company-owned, managed, licensed, and franchised units to GAAP measures, along with the discussion of why we consider these measures useful, please see our earnings release issued today. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Manny Hilario.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Thanks, Tyler, and hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us today and for your continued interest in The ONE Group. Let me start by thanking our over 11,000 teammates across our STK, Benihana, Samurai, Kona Grill, RA Sushi, and Salt Water Social Brands. Your dedication to creating unforgettable guest experiences is what truly differentiates our company and gives me tremendous confidence that we can achieve our vision of becoming the global leader in vibe dining. Let's review our first quarter's highlights and our progress against our strategic initiatives. We were pleased that first quarter revenues, comparable sales, and adjusted EBITDA reached or exceeded the high end of our guided ranges. We increased revenues by almost 150% to $211 million, fueled by a full quarter of Benihana and RA Sushi contributions and the strength of our new units. This was driven by another quarter of sequential improvement in our combined comparable sales trend, positive comparable sales at our Benihana restaurants, and strong positive transaction growth of 4.1% at our flagship STK brand. We grew restaurant-level EBITDA to 16.4%, representing a 50-basis point improvement year over year through strategic operational efficiencies across our portfolio. Notably, both our Benihana and STK concepts achieved industry-leading restaurant-level EBITDA margins at 20.1% and 17.7%, respectively, for the quarter. We also increased adjusted EBITDA by over 230% to $25.2 million, meaningfully exceeding our top-line growth and demonstrating our ability to increase profitability through the execution of our initiatives, tight cost management, and our growing economies of scale. Our growth strategy gained momentum in March with the opening of a company-owned Benihana in San Mateo, California, our first new Benihana restaurant since acquiring the brand last year. We then continued our expansion in April, just after the quarter's end, by unveiling a new company-owned STK restaurant in Topanga,…

Tyler Loy

Analyst

Thank you, Manny. As a reminder, beginning this year, we are reporting financial information on a fiscal quarter basis using four 13-week quarters with the addition of a 53rd week when necessary. For 2025, our fiscal calendar began on January 1, 2025, and will end on December 28, 2025, and our first quarter contains 89 days. Let me start by discussing our first quarter financials in greater detail before providing our outlook for the second quarter and the current year. Please note that the first quarter of 2025 has three months of contributions from Benihana and RA Sushi, whereas the prior quarter excludes any contribution from the acquisition of Benihana, which closed on May 1, 2024. Total consolidated GAAP revenues were $211.1 million, increasing 148.4% from $85 million for the same quarter last year. Included in total revenues were our company-owned restaurant's net revenue of $207.4 million, which increased 154.5% from $81.5 million for the prior year quarter. The increase was due primarily to $128.3 million in contributions from Benihana and RA Sushi, and to a lesser extent, contributions from the opening of six restaurants since the beginning of the first quarter of 2024. These were partially offset by a 3.2% reduction in consolidated comparable sales. Managed license and incentive fee revenues increased 7% to $3.7 million from $3.5 million for the prior year quarter. Benihana Franchise Restaurants contributed $0.5 million in revenues in the first quarter of 2025, and was partially offset by decreased revenues at managed STK restaurants in North America. Company-owned restaurant cost of sales as a percentage of company-owned restaurant net revenue decreased 220 basis points to 20.8% compared to 23% in the prior year quarter. This was primarily due to integration synergies and lower cost of sales for Benihana restaurants and our existing business. Company-owned…

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Thank you, Tyler, and thank you all for your time today and interest in The ONE Group. We remain confident in our plans and our portfolio of iconic, high-volume brands and long-term vision to be the undisputed global leader in vibe dining. We are in the early stages of an exciting phase in our company's journey, and we appreciate your continued support. Tyler and I are happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator?

Operator

Operator

We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Mark Smith of Lake Street Capital. Please go ahead.

Mark Smith

Analyst

Hi, guys. First question for me, just big picture, wanted to look at consumer behavior. It sounds like during the quarter, higher-end consumers held up better than kind of real concepts consumers. Is this right, and then can you speak to if you've seen any change in behavior here in Q2 thus far?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I think the consumer trends that we continue to talk about is more about the check in the higher-end, in the STK brand. If I look at the performance of STK on traffic, I think that's more of a function of the strategy and the emphasis on value rather than just a pure demographic play on that. So I would say that I would attribute to our own performance more to what we're doing strategically with the brands. In terms of the growth side, obviously, that still continues to be the more challenged side of the business for us.

Mark Smith

Analyst

And as we think about real concepts, can you just talk about work that's being done in those brands to improve results and even longer-term plans or options as we think about some of those non-core real concepts units?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I don't know if it's the due difference, but we're clearly stepping up our marketing efforts. I think particularly in the casual category, there's been a heavy emphasis on TV. And obviously, at our size, that's not really a viable alternative to us. So we have to compete more on the local store marketing area and try to be a little bit more grassroots in our marketing. So we've stepped up dramatically our marketing efforts. And obviously, the big one for us is the launch of our Friends with Benefits loyalty program, which is, as we mentioned on the prepared statements, is on a soft face right now but with emphasis on bringing in the casual brands first. So that's kind of some of the things that we're working on. So it's mostly on the side of marketing. When I look at the execution on the experience, the casual brands are executing at a very high level, at least from what we see on our social metrics and on in-store surveys and secret shop group. So I think that quality of execution is strong. So our emphasis has been on the marketing side.

Mark Smith

Analyst

And last question for me, we haven't talked about it in a while was just wanted to look at restaurant labor costs, any changes that you're seeing there, and also anything that you'd speak to on retention of in today's economy, are you guys having an easier time retaining or are you seeing difficulties around retention?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I think retention, at least for us, retention is at parity with what we experienced in the second half of last year. So nothing really dramatically either worse or better. I think actually for STK and Benihana, the retention has been very good. So there's nothing really noticeable there. And then on the cost side, I think the inflation has been very moderate on the wage. So we haven't really seen any inflationary pressures on the labor line.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Anthony Lebiedzinski of Sidoti. Please go ahead.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

Good afternoon, and thank you for taking the question. So first, I just wanted to see if you guys could talk about the cadence of same-store sales during the quarter, how did January through March progress? Would be curious to get your take on that.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I think generally in the quarter, at least for us, I think February was probably the more challenged of the periods, although we did have a very good Valentine's holiday period. But in general, that probably was the choppier of the periods. But I think that March probably was the place where we performed really well. Obviously, with the Easter coming in at the end of the quarter and everything else. So I would say that the toughest month would have been February.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

Understood. Yeah, thank you for that. And then just in terms of the second quarter comp guidance, I know you touched on this a little bit, but just overall, it does imply more of a decline than the first quarter. So can you just maybe talk about what you're seeing so far in the second quarter, maybe just be a little bit more specific as to the trends that you're seeing thus far?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yeah, I think for us, the second quarter is a little bit more about a little bit of weather, at least for our portfolio of footprint. And the other item that's a little unique for us in the second quarter is a little bit of the convention schedules. There's less weeks between Easter and Mother's Day this year. So I think the convention business schedule has shifted a little bit. So we do have exposure to markets like Orlando and Vegas and San Diego, some of the markets where there's a lot of active conventions and conferences. That gets changed a little bit. That's part of what's implied in there. And just in general, I mean, the second quarter has been there's been a lot of environmental ups and downs with the tariffs on, tariffs off, all kinds of different activities that we think sometimes causes the consumer to change their behavior within the quarter. Those probably would be the items that I would point out that cause our number or our guidance in the second quarter to be a little different from the first quarter performance.

Anthony Lebiedzinski

Analyst

That's very helpful. And the last question for me, just wondering if you've seen any notable changes from your competitors in regards to promotions and discounting, anything to call out?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yeah. I think as I mentioned on my previous answer to Mark's question TV is back. And if you have scale and you have TV power, I think this is the time post-COVID where we've seen a lot of the brands, particularly on the casual category, going heavy on TV. And obviously I don't have to call out who's been super successful with that, but there's been a significant amount of brands out there who really have leveraged TV to get out and ahead with their, frankly, very high value point promotion. The combination of high volume with, I mean, high value with TV has changed a little bit the game on the casual side. So we've seen that out there. And as I mentioned earlier, particularly on our casual size, for the size of our casual brands, we've really had to up all our grassroots promoting, and we've also had to add emphasis with our loyalty. So that's how we've been able to offset some of that macro pressure from the discounting and the TV strategies.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Joe Gomes of Noble Capital. Please go ahead.

Joe Gomes

Analyst

Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. So first question, I just wanted to see if you could touch base a little bit on your franchising efforts. If you see them picking up, I know you had talked in the past about you were looking at developing more of a team on the franchising side to get that part of the business growing faster. I wonder if you could just give us a little update on that.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yeah, I mean, great question. So we have updated the infrastructure in terms of internally people, everything else that's required to drive a franchising model. We've also expanded our participation in conventions and conferences where people talk about franchising. So we've really created-- we've elevated the awareness in the marketplace that we are in the franchising business. So that's kind of like stage one is infrastructure, stage two is building the awareness. And now currently we have a significant amount of people who have come to the table and have interest in being in that franchising business. So now we're working on, if you will, putting together development deals with these individuals based on their experience and their financial ability. So we definitely have made a significant progress basically in about nine months or so, because we started this probably in the middle of July last year. We've moved fast and the demand has been there and we feel excited about the progress that we've made there. And as we have signed on development agreements, we'll be communicating that out to everybody.

Joe Gomes

Analyst

Thank you for that. And just wanted to touch base also about pricing. Are you still holding off on taking pricing? Are you looking at selectively increasing prices? Is kind of where you are in that today?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yeah. I mean, our overall strategy, frankly, at this point has been to be conservative on pricing and only take it where we have to take it or if there's like significant gaps to market. But for the most part, we want to stay true to the value positioning and we want to stay true to building traffic. And so in the long term, traffic and market share are probably the more important part of our story. So we certainly weigh more on the side of playing on the traffic now and picking up market share at this point. So I would say we're super conservative.

Joe Gomes

Analyst

And the last one for me, maybe just kind of give us a little bit more of your thinking of how you weigh opening more company-owned stores versus deleveraging the balance sheet. Any additional color you can give there would be greatly appreciated.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Yeah. I think the balance is always about figuring out what the best return is for shareholders as well as managing the business risk. So we weigh those factors in all the time and we talk about that internally. And obviously, over time, as I've mentioned earlier, we expect to grow more through franchising and asset-wide assets. In the longer term, that's the most important part of our growth story. Right now, we do have a significant pipeline of really high-quality real estate, which I think we do a good job of developing. So our plan is to keep a healthy balance on the short-term of the company-owned, and frankly, as I mentioned earlier, our emphasis on asset-wide is to build up the pipeline. So we're building the pipeline on franchising and on licensed deals.

Joe Gomes

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you very much. I'll get back to you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Jim Sanderson of Northcoast Research. Please go ahead.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

Hey, thanks for the question. I just wanted to follow up a little bit more on the discussion on same-store sales trend in the first quarter and heading into the second quarter. Can you walk us through how the Easter calendar shift impacted first quarter and will impact second quarter across the major brands?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I mean, Easter was definitely an impact, but I would not consider Easter to be a significant impact in terms of being a significant holiday for us. So it did have a little bit of an impact, but I wouldn't qualify that as a big impact between quarters.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

Okay. So that would be maybe a slight benefit in the first quarter, or negative in the first quarter, maybe slight in the second? Is that the---

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

At best, it caused a differential in the rounding, not a lot. It's not a really big holiday for us.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

Just wondering if you have any feedback on your Mother's Day bookings, if you think that's where it should be for this time of year.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I think that so far, the books are where we thought they should be. So we haven't detected anything that drives us to think one way or the other, and frankly, the big game for us for Mother's Day is such a big day. It's more about operational execution and throughput in the reference, because there's always a significant amount of demand for reservations on the Friday and Saturday before Mother's Day. So our emphasis has been more on readiness and being able to take the walk-in traffic and managing the reservations on the two last days before the holiday. So that's really been our emphasis. And then more recently, particularly with the proliferation of online reservations, people that book early before Mother's Day tend to have higher rates of no-shows on the actual holidays. So we're really putting a lot more thought behind cleaning up our reservation books for anticipated no-shows, et cetera. So we're just putting a lot more emphasis on it, but I haven't really noticed any particular either bullish or not-so-good trends on the bookings at this point.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

All right. Any feedback on concern with tourism travel to the United States? Any exposure there? You mentioned conventions, for example.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I think there's been a lot of better sources of information on this than probably us, but we certainly believe that in markets like Vegas that has a significant influx of visitors from Canada and Mexico. I think we've seen some level of decrease in their visits to the U.S. There has been some of that. Of course, it's a little bit more anecdotal to us because we don't do scientific studies on tourism, but we certainly have noticed a little bit less people in the restaurants from those countries.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

And then just a follow-up question to the same-store sales numbers you published for the first quarter. Can you break that out for us between traffic and check, just so we can understand maybe what type of menu pricing you're carrying into 2025 and how mix is impacting check?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Well, Tyler can give you the pricing for the brands. Pricing is around 3%, 4% for the brands, Tyler?

Tyler Loy

Analyst

Yeah. Average check was about 4%.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Average check.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

Okay. So, how do we look at maybe some potential mix? You mentioned a little bit of leaning towards value for STK. Is that pressuring check a little bit?

Tyler Loy

Analyst

Yeah. I think overall mix is just kind of slightly down. I mean, Benihana is now 55% of the revenue, so we didn't see a lot of mix there, and so the mix is just slightly down across the portfolio.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

All right. And last question for you, just wanted to go back to the commentary on Benihana. Any thoughts on how you will balance company and franchised stores as far as your 400-unit target goal in the United States?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I think although we haven't provided a full guidance on this, at least internally, we're talking somewhere in the 50% kind of portfolio balance between franchise and company-owned stores for Benihana.

Jim Sanderson

Analyst

Very good. All right. Thank you very much. I'll pass it on.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Roger Lipton of Lipton Financial. Please, go ahead.

Roger Lipton

Analyst

Yes. Hi, Manny. Hi, Tyler. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted just to follow up on Benihana, since that, as you just pointed out, happens to represent 55% of your total revenues and has the best comps right now, the best comps and best margins of any of your brands. So it becomes pretty important. In terms of the improvement in comps you're assuming the rest of this year to get to that minus three to plus one [ph] for the year, obviously, it will require a stronger second half. Does that come from just Benihana's dominance, or are you figuring some improvement in STK and even Kona in that improvement?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I think probably one of the big things that drives our view on that fourth quarter is we've learned a lot about holidays and Benihana, and Benihana is certainly a holiday concept. And as we've gained more experience in working with the team on throughput and volume interactions, I think a big part of our thought is that Benihana should do very well, particularly during the holiday season this year in the fourth quarter. Last year was kind of our first holiday season with a brand, so we have a lot of learnings that we will clearly apply that we think helps that out. And I think just in general, our lap in the third and fourth quarter is more manageable for us than the lap in Q1 and Q2, that's a big part of that view and guidance. Tyler, anything else you want to add on that?

Roger Lipton

Analyst

Okay. And just before I move on to STK for a moment, at Benihana, as I recall, the average volume domestically is about $6.5 million. Is that, do I recall right?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

That's about right.

Roger Lipton

Analyst

And then if you had to guess what the hard costs would be in terms of building a Benihana these days, what would be an approximate number?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I mean, we just built one just in fairness and disclosure. Some of the costs were already loaded up in pre-acquisition of the company. I think probably a fair evaluation, that is, after we open the next couple of them, but I figure that on a net basis, we're looking somewhere between $400 and $500 a square foot, so I would just take the size of the box times the midpoint of that range of $400 to $500.

Roger Lipton

Analyst

Okay. And the box is how large?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

I'm sorry. 7,000 is kind of the sweet spot for Benihana.

Roger Lipton

Analyst

So, if it were 7,000 times $500, it would be $3.5 million, and a 20% margin on $6.5 million is $1.3 million on $3.5 million-- that's an interesting return on cash on cash, return on investment. Going back to STK for a moment, the 17.7% margin is obviously a little lower than we're used to seeing, subject probably because of the value orientation. Is there a prospect that that can improve the rest of the year? What would be your expectation in terms of the margin at STK the rest of the year?

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Well, I think seasonally the fourth quarter is always the best quarter for margin, there's a function of seasonality there. I think it probably Q2 and Q4 tend to be in the higher end of the margins, and then Q1 and Q3 usually are the tighter on the restaurant level margins for the STK brand. Again, you can just take a look at the history of how we published the number, but that tends to be seasonality. So, I would look at the seventh, the number that we published for Q1 as the ultimate number, so there's upside, particularly in the fourth quarter and possibly even the second quarter.

Roger Lipton

Analyst

Okay. That's all for now. Thank you very much.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Thanks, Roger.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Hilario for any closing remarks.

Emanuel Hilario

Analyst

Thank you all for your interest in The ONE Group. As I always do, I'd like to thank our teammates, again, for a significant work in driving results for the company and living our mission every day. And I look forward to seeing everyone out in our restaurants. Everyone have a great day.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.