Earnings Labs

Turkcell Iletisim Hizmetleri A.S. (TKC)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 5, 2026

$6.29

-2.18%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. I'm Paulina, your Chorus Call operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Turkcell's conference call and live webcast to present and discuss the Turkcell Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 financial results. [Operator Instructions] The conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mrs. Ozlem Yardim, Investor Relations and Corporate Finance Director. Mrs. Yardim, you may now proceed.

Ozlem Yardim

Analyst

Thank you, Paulina. Hello, everyone, and welcome to Turkcell's 2025 year-end earnings call. On the call today, we have our CEO, Ali Taha Koc; and CFO, Kamil Kalyon. They will provide an overview of our operational and financial results for the quarter and the year, followed by a Q&A session. Before we begin, I would like to kindly remind you to review our safe harbor statement, which is available at the end of our presentation. With that, I will now turn the call over to Mr. Ali Taha Koc. Ali Koç: Thank you, Ozlem. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We closed 2025 with a strong finish, exceeding all of our expectations. Revenues increased by 11%, and we achieved an EBITDA margin of 43.1%. Net income from continuing operation reached TRY 17.8 billion, up 23% year-on-year. These outcomes reflect disciplined execution and strong momentum across the business. 2025 was pivotal for our long-term strategic positioning. We were awarded the largest spectrum in the 5G auction and secured our fiber footprint through the agreement with BOTAS. This will strengthen our network leadership and expand our capacity to capture 5G demand. We maintain a robust balance sheet through prudent financial management. This preserves flexibility and liquidity. We delivered shareholder returns through a solid dividend payment and launched a 3-year share buyback program. Turkcell is a technology company. We are reinforcing that identity through focused investments. In 2025, we allocated 15% of CapEx to strategic areas, primarily in data center, cloud infrastructure and renewables. These investments deepen our digital infrastructure, enhance energy resilience and support long-term value creation. A major milestone for Turkiye is our strategic partnership with Google Cloud. We are building a hyperscale cloud region in Turkiye. This cloud region will help enterprises accelerate cloud adoption to…

Kamil Kalyon

Analyst

Thank you very much, Ali Taha bey. Let me briefly walk you through our financial results. We delivered a strong performance for both the year and the quarter. Top line grew by 11% year-on-year, surpassing TRY 241 billion, quarterly growth was 7%. This performance reflects resilient execution in our core telecom business and continued scaling of our techfin platform. Turkcell Turkiye revenue increased by TRY 21 billion year-on-year. Growth was driven primarily by real ARPU expansion and sustained postpaid subscriber additions. Continued upselling and premium positioning further enhanced the quality of our revenue base. Techfin accounted for 6% of consolidated revenues contributed TRY 2.4 billion for the year. Performance was underpinned despite strong momentum in Paycell, particularly in POS solutions and Pay Later. Both verticals continue to expand transaction volumes and monetization. Next slide, please. Now EBITDA performance. Exceeding the top line growth, EBITDA increased by 14% year-on-year to TRY 104 billion, reflecting efficient cost management, EBITDA margin surpassed 43%. The main positive contributors were employee and energy expenses. While payment expenses scaled alongside strong POS expansion, Paycell's primary growth driver this year. Radio-related expenses reflect the acceleration of our 5G readiness and ongoing network modernization efforts. As a result, EBITDA margin expanded by 1.2 percentage points demonstrating disciplined execution while continuing to invest for future growth. We remain focused on balancing strategic growth investments with long-term profitability. Next slide, please. Profit from continuing operations increased by 23% year-on-year to TRY 17.8 billion, primarily driven by strong EBITDA growth. We maintained market leadership through solid execution and a diversified revenue mix supporting sustainable EBITDA generation. We had a larger debt position during the year. However, our proactive balance sheet management further supported bottom line performance by TRY 3.5 billion. Net finance income benefited from lower interest expenses, loan redemptions and…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Bystrova Evgeniya with Barclays.

Bystrova Evgeniya

Analyst

Congrats on your results. I have just one question. I was kind of curious to know more about the data centers business. If you could please provide more color maybe on what are the EBITDA margins of this business? That would be very helpful. Ali Koç: So thank you very much for the question. It's our growth area, and we are expanding our data centers. AI and our cloud are expected to drive 14% CAGR in data centers from 2025 to 2030, lifting global capacity from 108 gigawatts to 200 gigawatts. So overall, what we can see is our results are getting better and better. AI is reshaping workloads all around the world. So there's a huge demand on the data center business. So currently, our expectation is that more than 2x increase in active data center capacity and 6x increase in the data center cloud revenues in dollar terms as of 2032. Share of the DC cloud revenue and total revenue is expected to increase around 8% to 10%. It is -- currently, it is around 2% and we are expecting that no dilutive impact is expected on our EBITDA margin.

Operator

Operator

The next question is from the line of Demirtas Cemal with Ata Invest.

Cemal Demirtas

Analyst

Thank you for the presentation and congratulations for good results. My question is about your FX position. Maybe if could you further elaborate that. If I didn't understand wrong, you mentioned that you have short position now around $900 million. I couldn't understand the justification behind that any -- short position in U.S. dollar, maybe that will be more helpful because there's jump and you justify with some other things, I guess, investments that further evaluation could be helpful. And the other question is, again, the data center sites. We visited one of your -- the data center, and it was really helpful for us. Thank you once again, and you spent time with us, and it was very helpful to know where Turkcell is going ahead. But Ali Taha bey, I'm receiving questions about the size of the investments. Currently, is a simple calculation, maybe you can just give us a better color with the size, you have already have 50 megawatts. And you will add additional 50 megawatts. And -- but during that period, $1 billion will be invested you and $2 billion will be invested by Google. For some -- just we see that question from also investors, isn't the small number, small megawatts as a hyperscale scalers shouldn't be expected a bigger megawatt numbers also in the investment side, please just help us to understand better? Or should we assume that this is the starting point. Going forward, this megawatt number could be much higher. That would be very helpful again.

Kamil Kalyon

Analyst

Yes. Cemal, I will start from your first question. Our FX position is around USD 957 million sizes. As you know, fourth quarter is seasonality from the CapEx investments are very high in our site. Therefore, the one reason is coming from the high CapEx investments. The other side, as we mentioned in the presentation slide, we are monitoring the market conditions very closely and we swapped some portion of U.S. dollar holdings into Turkish lira. Therefore, we would -- currently our cash is -- 56% of the cash is Turkish lira position. This transaction in order to benefit from the higher local currency yields coming from the money funds, for example, in Turkiye, the money market funds. Therefore, we would like to benefit from this advantage, therefore, we swapped some portion of our U.S. dollar into Turkish lira. For the first question, I can say this at for the second and third question, I will hand over to Mr. Ali Taha.

Cemal Demirtas

Analyst

Kamil bey, related to this question. Doesn't it mean you are taking a position, if I understand correctly, it looks like if there is the pressure on Turkish Lira, do you have any hedge for that already as a structure -- is it hedged? I just try to understand that. Maybe it's a good strategy part of this, but doesn't need just for the benefit because Turkish lira -- things might change. There's a risk and it's not the main business of the company. So maybe further justification could be helpful.

Kamil Kalyon

Analyst

You're absolutely right. But as you know, in 2025, the FX policy of the Central Bank worked very well. Therefore, the hedging costs were very, very expensive in 2025. Therefore, we prefer to move a short position in the U.S. FX side in 2025. Yes, this policy worked very well in 2025. For example, if you do not have any war in the Iran or something like that, we believe that in 2026 this policy also will work. But currently, we are monitoring the conditions. Current conditions are a little bit different when you compare it with 2025. We are closely monitoring the markets and the environment right now. Therefore, we will decide how will we use this FX position. But as we mentioned in our presentation, our aim is, our policy is we would like to keep the short position in USD 1.5 billion levels. We still trust the policy of the Turkish Central Bank for 2026. Ali Koç: Okay. Let's come to the data center business. Yes, that's my favorite topic and favorite question. Let me tell you that. Let me give you a brief information about the Turkiye. Turkiye's total cloud consumption is around 150 to 200 megawatts. So if you look at the corporates, it's there out of 70 to 80 megawatts. So overall, what we need to do is most of the corporate domain in Turkey is still building their own data centers and they do internal consumption. So that's the reason that 50-megawatt number is not a huge number. The good thing about the 50-megawatt is. So previously, what we were doing is we were preparing the infrastructure for the colocation services. So our first 50 megawatts, most of the banks, most of the airline companies are bringing their own servers and they have their own hardware, and we colocate them in our data centers. But for the Google Cloud, it's going to be full-blown system. So we are going to build a data center. We are going to prepare for Google Cloud that infrastructure with electricity with cooling. But on top of it, Google will bring thousands, 10 thousands servers to Turkiye. So that's the reason that the investment is high. So they're going to have a full-blown system such a way that -- and so another thing is the space, 50 megawatts is good enough because these servers are going to be used by not only one company, hundreds of companies that are going to -- together, they are going to use it. That's the meaning of cloud actually. So they can utilize their service more and more. So that's the reason that 50 megawatts is a huge investment, and I'm pretty sure that our biggest target is to bring all of these companies or the industry players to move their old systems to this cloud -- state-of-the-art cloud regions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Karagoz Yusuf with Ak Yatirim.

Yusuf Karagoz

Analyst

You ended the year with a 43% EBITDA margin for the next year, your guidance is around 40% to 42%. Do you expect any contraction in margins?

Kamil Kalyon

Analyst

Yusuf, normally, as you said, that the 2025 performance was very, very good regarding the EBITDA side, especially for the energy cost and the salary expense, salary wage expenses are -- does not increase over the inflation rate. It was very useful for 2025. In 2026, there are some -- we make a salary increase, average in 30 percentage levels is a little bit above the inflation side. And as you know, this is the 5G year. We will be starting from the April 1, the 5G issue. Therefore, we will be spending some money through the marketing expense, marketing activities and the sales activities for the 5G side. And we will closely monitor the energy prices because the war, current war might affect -- might have some effects, inflationary effects in the energy side and the other cost. Therefore, we would like to be a little bit conservative starting for the year for the EBITDA margin. We will look forward within the year. But this year is a little bit less when you compare it with the 2025.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the conference over to Turkcell management for any closing comments. Thank you. Ali Koç: Thank you very much for listening. Hope to see you next time. Thank you.

Kamil Kalyon

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Ozlem Yardim

Analyst

Thank you, bye.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the conference has now concluded, and you may disconnect your telephone. Thank you for calling, and have a pleasant evening.