Lawrence Zimmerman
Analyst · Cross Research
Thank you, Ursula, and good morning. As Ursula said, we delivered second quarter earnings above our guidance, which is the result of positive trends in our business, which we expect will continue. Revenue growth improved, solid gross profit margin and dollar growth, good expense management, significant growth in earnings and operating margin and excellent cash generation. We also see continued progress in cost and revenue synergies associated with our acquisition of ACS. So let's start with our Technology slides. Technology revenue grew 3%, 4% constant currency, and represented $2.6 billion or 46% of our business with a segment margin of 10.7%. We've categorized the lines of business in Technology as Entry, which includes all A4 devices and desktop printers; Mid-range, which includes A3 devices that generally serve workgroup environments in mid to large enterprises; and High-end, which includes production printing and publishing systems that generally serve the graphic communications marketplace and large enterprises. All of these lines continue to trend positively, with color performing well across the board. In Entry, both black-and-white and color had strong install growth reflecting the continued strength we are seeing in developing markets as well as in other channels. Mid-range also had good install activity with particular strength in color. With the ColorQube launch last year and more recent Color Laser A3 launches, we have refreshed our color products in this segment with more to come in the third quarter. Additionally in second quarter, we refreshed our black-and-white A3 product line, which should drive black-and-white install improvement. At the High-end, the recently launched Color 800 and 1000 is off to a strong start and helped fuel production color growth. Black-and-white improved but remains pressured, reflecting both the move to color and continued weakness in the graphic arts market. We were pleased with revenue growth of 4% in constant currency and segment margins of 10.7%, which improved almost a point from last year. Slide 7. The Services segment is comprised of three lines of business: Business Process Outsourcing, Document Outsourcing and Information Technology Outsourcing. Revenue mix for the quarter was about 53% Business Process Outsourcing, 33% Document Outsourcing and 14% IT Outsourcing. On a pro forma basis, total revenue grew 1%, driven by BPO, which grew 3%. Growth areas included electronic payment services, federal debt card services and healthcare services. Although growth was somewhat lower than in Q1, we expect stronger growth in Q3 due to strength in signings and pipeline expansion. Document Outsourcing growth improved sequentially in constant currency. ITO revenue improved sequentially and essentially showed flat revenue in the quarter. Operating margin was strong at 12.6%, which on a pro forma basis is 1.4 points improvement over prior year. Indicators for future revenues were very positive and signings and pipeline growth were strong. On a trailing 12-month basis, new business signings, including a growing amount of synergy signings, grew 16% and total signings of 4.2 billion grew 12%. We saw a strength in both BPO and Document Outsourcing. Signings in ITO continue to be affected by delayed decisions in large accounts. But looking forward, we see an improving pipeline. On a year-over-year basis, we grew our total Services revenue by 23% including synergies, which are now over $2.5 billion. We expect to convert this pipeline into signings in the coming quarters. So overall, positive results in both Technology and Service segments. Slide 8. Pro forma revenue grew 2%, and 3% at constant currency, and is within our 2010 business model of 1% to 3% growth at constant currency. Gross profit margin was 34.8%, which is up almost half a point on a pro forma basis and at the high end of our 33% to 35% range. We have done a lot of cost work to offset the year-to-year pressure of changes in currency exchange rates. This cost work, coupled with hedging and currency sharing with our partner, Fuji Xerox, gives us the confidence that we will remain in the 33% to 35% gross profit margin guidance range. RD&E improved $8 million year-over-year driven by cost savings from restructuring. SAG increased $9 million on a pro forma basis and improved as a percent of revenue. Improvements in bad debts expense in G&A were offset by investments in selling. Improvements in all cost ratios delivered almost a point in operating margin improvement to 10.1%. Our adjusted tax rate was 32% and we delivered $0.24 of EPS on an adjusted basis, which was above our guidance as we saw improved revenue growth and good cost and expense performance. We continue to differentiate between GAAP earnings and adjusted earnings for guidance and actuals reporting in order to give you transparency into the fundamentals of our business. 2010 earnings on an adjusted basis will exclude amortization of intangibles; restructuring and asset impairment costs; acquisition-related costs, including direct transaction costs and specifically defined integration costs; and any discrete, usual items. So overall, a very solid quarter across all lines of the income statement. Slide 9. In 2Q, we delivered $678 million of cash flow from operation driven by earnings. Year-to-date, cash flow from operations is $1.1 billion. Working capital was a $90 million source of cash in the quarter, with accounts receivable more than offsetting growth in inventories. Working net capital will improve in the second half of the year. Free cash flow was $551 million, with CapEx and cost of internal software of $127 million. Our year-end estimate of CapEx is approximately $600 million. This includes about $400 million from ACS, which is consistent with their historical Cape levels. Cash from financing was a use of $457 million, driven by the payment of $950 million of senior notes, which came due in the quarter, partially offset by an increase in the revolver, which we anticipate paying down over the balance of the year. We ended the quarter with $1.1 billion cash balance and we are very confident in our ability to achieve our commitment of $2.6 billion cash flow from operations for the full year. Next slide. To continue the story on cash, we are making excellent progress on paying down debt to get to our desired leverage and achieve $1 billion of available cash in 2011. We reached a peak of $10.5 billion of debt with the closing of ACS on February 5 and have reduced debt by $900 million, or half of our $1.8 billion target for 2010. In the top right box, you can see the math of the first half actuals, $1.1 billion cash flow and $900 million of debt reduction. And looking at the second half, we have $1.5 billion cash flow to go, with $900 million more debt reduction to reach our target. Given our positive performance in the first half, our intention is to call in the fourth quarter our 2003 ten-year bonds of $550 million, which carry a 7 5/8% coupon and have three years remaining. This will not only save us interest expense, but will give us increased flexibility in our debt reduction. In our fourth quarter, we expect to report a $15 million charge as a discrete item, which represents $8 million of a non-cash item of unamortized issuance costs from 2003 as well as $7 million of a premium. Last point, we were confident of the $1 billion projection of available cash in 2011. Now let's look at the debt in the financing dynamics box. I continue to show this debt breakdown to ensure there is perspective and context in understanding our debt and our commitment to maintaining an investment-grade rating. We have $9.6 billion of debt, of which $6 billion is in support of our Financing business. The Finance receivables of $6.9 billion is a committed revenue stream from our customers. In addition, we stagger our debt ladder to be well below our annual free cash flow and total liquidity so we can access capital markets opportunistically. And just to touch on receivables, we had significant improvement in second quarter year-over-year in both our write-off experience and requirements for bad-debt provisions. So we are making significant progress paying down the debt. Remaining debt supports the financing of our customer equipment. Our cash flow and financial flexibility are strong. We will focus on significant debt reduction in 2010, which will enable a return to other cash usage such as share repurchase during 2011. In summary, we continue to be very encouraged by our results, and we are optimistic going forward. Now I'll give it back to Ursula.