Thomas P. Gibbons
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Gerald. As I take you into the numbers, my comments will follow the Quarterly Earnings Review beginning on Page 2. The highlights on a year-over-year basis: earnings for the quarter of $0.53, up 4%; we benefited from net new business, the seasonally higher Depositary Receipts revenue and also positive operating leverage. Now we had to manage through a pretty difficult market conditions. The S&P, for example, is down 14% during the quarter, and we also saw a period where rates continue to decline. In face of that, we also absorbed higher litigation expenses and legal costs, and the charge related to the change in executive management. Looking into the specifics. Total revenue was $3.7 billion. That's up 8%. Non-U.S. revenue hit a new record for us at 39% of the total revenue. Our core fees continue to grow nicely. Investment services fees were up 11%. Again, a lot of that was driven by the Depositary Receipts revenue, as well as net new business, which was partially offset by higher money market fund of waivers -- fee waivers. Investment management fees were up 5% benefiting from net new business and higher average equity markets, partially offset by higher money market fee waivers as well. Net interest revenue was up 8%, largely reflecting the growth in client deposits, as well as growth in the securities portfolio. Noninterest expense increased 6%, that was due to higher litigation expenses, increased variable expenses in support of revenue growth, a $22 million charge as a result of change in executive management. Overall, our increasing revenue, combined with a lower expense growth rate, resulted in 200 basis points of operating leverage. Turning to Page 4. We'll call out some metrics that will help explain the underlying performance. For example, you can see that assets under management and assets under custody both grew year-over-year, primarily reflecting new business. Assets under management were up 5% year-over-year to $1.2 trillion, with long-term inflows of $4 billion in the third quarter and $76 billion over the last 12 months. Long-term inflows have benefited from strength in fixed income and equity indexed products. Short-term outflows for the quarter were $15 billion, and that's consistent with what we've seen in the industry trends. Assets under custody was up 6% year-over-year to $25.9 trillion, that's driven primarily from net new business. Assets under custody decreased only 2% sequentially despite the much steeper decline in equity market values, and that's because we benefit from net new business, as well as an increase in some of the fixed income values. Most of our other investment securities metrics continue to show positive trends. The broker-dealer collateral management book continues to grow, as collateralized lending is growing globally. The major drivers of our clearing business improved substantially year-over-year, as we brought on significant new business. And total debt service and deals administered within Corporate Trust showed a bit of sequential growth for the first time in a while. Turning to Page 6 of the Earnings Review, which shows fee growth. Asset servicing fees were up 7% year-over-year, reflecting the positive impact of net new business. Asset servicing fees were down 5% quarter-over-quarter, reflecting seasonally lower securities lending revenue, as well as the impact of lower equity values. Over the past 12 months, we've won an incremental $1.1 trillion in new Asset Servicing AUC. Issuer services fees were up 21% year-over-year and sequentially, due to the seasonal spike in corporate actions in our DR business that normally occurs during the fourth quarter. Both increases also reflect net new business, which was partially offset by lower revenue in our Shareowner Services and Corporate Trust businesses. Clearing fees were up 18% year-over-year, due to net new business, growth in mutual fund assets and a 29% increase in daily average revenue trades. That was partially offset by higher money market fee waivers. Clearing fees were up 2% sequentially, reflecting higher cash management balances and an increase in DARTS, which were partially offset by higher money market fee waivers also. Investment management fees, as I mentioned earlier, were up 5% year-over-year. Sequentially, investment management fees were down 6%, primarily reflecting lower period end and average equity market values and higher money market fee waivers, partially offset by net new business. For the quarter, FX revenue totaled $221 million; that's roughly 6% of our total revenue. FX revenue increased 38% year-over-year; that's reflecting increased volatility and higher year-over-year volumes. FX revenue was up 20% sequentially, driven by higher volatility, and there were steady volumes on a quarter -- on a sequential quarter basis. Other trading revenue was a loss of $27 million, and this compares to a loss of $14 million in the year ago quarter and revenue of $38 million in the second quarter of the year. The sequential decrease was primarily driven by a $40 million net impact of wider credit spreads on the credit valuation adjustment that we recorded in the third quarter of 2011. Regarding our FX activity, I would note that standing instruction revenue continues to make up roughly 40% of the total FX revenue. I think it is also worth noting that standing instruction volumes have increased over the past 2 years, demonstrating the comments that Gerald was making that the value our clients see in this FX trading option. Investment and other income totaled $89 million, which was down by $8 million from a year ago and down by $56 million from the prior quarter. The sequential decrease largely reflects lower gains related to loans held for sale retained from a previously divested bank subsidiary. Both decreases also reflect mark-to-market losses on our seed capital. Many of our businesses continue to be impacted by increased fee waivers, due to lower rates and shortened maturities in the money market funds. For the quarter, money market fee waivers, and this is the impact I'm about to discuss is the impact of revenues, increased about $50 million year-over-year and $24 million sequentially. Market conditions have driven waivers to the levels that we experienced since the highest levels we experienced back at the end of 2009, and that's about $0.05 a quarter for us. Turning to Page 8 of the Earnings Review. NIR was up $57 million versus the year ago quarter, and it was up $44 million sequentially. Both increases were primarily driven by the significant growth in client deposits, which we invested in short-term, low-yielding assets, as well as an increase in the investment securities portfolio. Average noninterest-bearing client deposits increased $30 billion or 71% versus the prior quarter, and are more than double what they were in the year ago quarter. The net interest margin was 1.3%; that's compared with 1.41% in the prior quarter. The decrease was driven primarily by the increase in client deposits I just mentioned, but it was partially offset by the increase in the investment securities portfolio. If the balance sheet had been stable, we estimate the margin probably would have been up slightly. Turning to Page 9. Total noninterest expense increased 6% year-over-year and declined 2% sequentially. The third quarter included $80 million of litigation expense and a $22 million charge as a result of the change in executive management, as well as lower M&I costs. The year-over-year increase also reflects higher incentives in variable expenses in support of revenue growth, as well as higher legal costs, and they were offset somewhat by a state investment tax credit. The sequential decline in expenses was driven by compensation, business development and the state investment tax credit. So we are pleased our expense numbers in the quarter declined 2% despite some of the higher litigations, severance costs we've been talking about. Page 10 details our Tier 1 common capital generation and capital ratios. We generated $718 million in new Basel Tier 1 common, most of that was through earnings. We deployed the majority of that through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. I'd like to add that in the third quarter, our share repurchases totaled 462 million. I characterize that total as much higher than our average, driven by the market conditions in the third quarter. Our estimated Basel III Tier 1 common equity ratio was 6.6% at quarter end; that's unchanged from where we were in June. The combination of the higher buybacks, for example, we bought back over 460 or buyback rate had been in about 320, as well as the higher risk-weighted assets that was driven by the much larger balance sheet costs us about 25 basis points. So as we've said in the past, we continue to expect in a more typical quarter to grow the ratio by about 20 to 30 basis points. On Page 11, you can see that our investment securities portfolio continues to perform well. The value of the portfolio has improved over the second quarter, and the pretax net unrealized gain in our securities portfolio increased by $93 million to $863 million. Paydowns of the sub-investment grade securities were approximately $300 million during the quarter, $300 million. Looking at our loan portfolio, you'll see that the provision for credit losses was a credit of $22 million. This compares with a similar credit in the third quarter of 2010, and we had a 0 provision in the second quarter. The credit and the provision this quarter resulted from an improvement in the performance in the loan portfolio and a decline in criticized assets. Nonperforming assets declined from $351 million to $344 million, and the total allowance for credit losses decreased $37 million, as a combination of the credit and a $15 million of net charge-offs. The effective tax rate was 29.7% and that's in line with the previous guidance that we'd given you. Looking forward to the fourth quarter, given the accelerated corporate actions, seasons in DRs, investment services will likely not realize the seasonal benefits that we typically experience during the fourth quarter and probably see a decline in revenues. This should be partially offset by performance fees in our Asset Management business. We also expect to continue to generate NII at the level we did in the third quarter, and fee waivers should run at about the level of the third quarter. The quarterly provision should be in the range of 0 to $15 million. We continue to expect to do buybacks, and that will be based on market conditions. And the tax rate should be approximately 30%. Finally, as a reminder, I'd like to let you know that we will be hosting our Investor Day on November 14. Three things that we'll actually be focused on: the first is the strength of our business model; the second is opportunities to generate above market revenue growth in these challenging environments; and finally, some of the key initiatives that we are going to be implementing to drive operational efficiencies. With that, let me turn it back to Gerald.