Donald Grimes
Analyst · Stifel, Nicolaus
Thank you, Blake, and good morning, everyone. This morning, I will review our first quarter financial results in a little more detail, update our full year expectations and provide some color on the second quarter.
Earlier today, we reported first quarter revenue of $322.8 million, a decline of 2.4%, compared to first quarter 2011 revenue of $330.9 million.
It's worth noting that last year's revenue represented a growth of 16.1% versus the year prior.
Foreign exchange negatively impacted revenue by $2.2 million in the quarter. The quarter's results were impacted by challenging trading conditions in a couple of regions, most significantly in Europe, where we do about 20% of our business. In the United States, our largest market, our Wolverine, Caterpillar Footwear, Chaco, Cushe and Sebago brands all posted mid-single-digit to double-digit gains.
Additionally, the international distributor businesses for Sebago and Caterpillar Footwear each delivered strong double-digit increases.
Most notably during the quarter, our consumer direct business had outstanding results as it delivered nearly 19% revenue growth on a strength of mid-single-digit comp store sales gains, new locations and continued strong double-digit growth from the e-commerce channel.
The quarter results were impacted by both the continued macroeconomic concerns in Continental Europe emanating from the sovereign debt crisis and its impact on consumer spending, and more specifically, bankruptcy proceedings for several key footwear retail chains in the United Kingdom, our most significant European market.
And in the U.S., we saw retailers take a more cautious stand towards future orders following the fall-winter season that fell short of expectations due to the unseasonably warm weather.
On a more positive note, current inventories across our retail channels are lean and our sell-through rates remained strong, results that have had a very positive impact on reorders thus far in Q2.
Turning to our international businesses Blake just discussed, we are tremendously excited about the new joint ventures in Colombia and India announced late last week and this morning, respectively.
We will now have a more meaningful business interest in Colombia, a country where well over 100 million pairs of shoes are purchased each year and an economy that is growing at an accelerated pace. And India is an incredibly promising market, the world's largest democracy with a fast-growing middle-class that has an appetite for Western brands. These are great examples of the benefits we are reaping from the important work of our International Group as they focus their time, talents and resources on regions that represent significant potential future growth for the company. We look forward to more exciting announcements in the future.
Our Outdoor Group, which consists of Merrell, Chaco and Patagonia Footwear, had revenue of $137.1 million in the quarter, almost flat compared to the prior year. Our Merrell brand was impacted in the quarter by the economic challenges in Europe and reduced open-to-buys within certain retail channels. Many of our key retail partners reported that Merrell had continued to outperform its competition on the sales floor and online, an assertion that is supported by the fact that Merrell's at-once or replenishment orders were up over 20% in the first quarter. We view this as a strong sign that the brand is positioned to continue to perform well in challenging trading conditions and also has the innovative, market-right product to accelerate growth when global market conditions improve.
Patagonia Footwear and Chaco each grew their revenue in the quarter in the mid to upper single-digit range.
The Heritage Group, which consists of our Wolverine, Caterpillar Footwear, Bates, Harley-Davidson and HyTest businesses had revenue of $103 million in the quarter, down just over 7% versus the prior-year.
Global growth from Wolverine footwear and apparel and growth from Caterpillar Footwear in the United States and third-party distributor markets were offset by 3 things: expected lower revenue from Harley-Davidson Footwear, reflecting the brand's narrow distribution channel; the timing of orders on Bates military contracts, which are weighted towards the back half of the year; and finally, and not to sound like a broken record, but the difficult economic conditions in Europe.
The Lifestyle Group, home to Hush Puppies, Cushe and Sebago, generated revenue of $50.6 million during the quarter, a decline of 2.7%. Hush Puppies revenue remained even with the prior year in the U.S. and third-party licensee markets. However, this is offset by the impact of the bankruptcy proceedings at several key U.K. retail customers and again, the overall economic challenges of Continental Europe.
Cushe and Sebago both grew their revenue during the quarter as product initiatives such as Cushe's Surf-Slipper and Sebago's popular product collaboration continued to produce positive results.
Wolverine retail delivered a standout performance in Q1 driven as noted by mid-single-digit comp store sales growth and another quarter of strong double-digit growth from our e-commerce business. We ended the quarter with 101 brick and mortar locations and 41 e-commerce websites, and we look forward to continued impressive performance from this group. We still plan to open 12 to 15 new retail stores during all of 2012.
Gross margin in the quarter decreased modestly to 41.0%, a decline of 60 basis points versus the prior year. Selling price increases and FX contract gains were more than offset by higher product costs and a negative mix shift, the latter being driven by higher closeout sales and lower contribution to some of our higher gross margin brands. Consistent with our prior expectations, we project favorable gross margin comparisons later in the fiscal year, especially the fourth quarter, driven by a more benign product cost environment, expected positive sales mix and moderately lower LIFO expense.
Our operating expenses in the quarter came in meaningfully below plan as we exercise the appropriate discipline around discretionary spending.
Total SG&A of $95.2 million was up 7.8% with almost all the increase driven by incremental non-cash pension expense, occupancy and labor cost associated with our new retail stores, higher bad debt expense and some non-recurring employee separation cost, the benefit of which will occur on the remainder of the fiscal year.
SG&A was 29.5% of revenue, up 280 basis points versus the prior year, but meaningfully better than our original plan, even though revenue fell a bit short of our expectations.
Over the balance of the year, we will continue to support our brands through investments innovation, product design and consumer awareness while maintaining strict financial discipline in all other areas.
Fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding in the quarter were 48.2 million, down from the prior year's 49.2 million, reflecting both the approximately 65,000 shares we repurchased in Q1 at an average cost of $37.09 per share and the 1.7 million of shares that we repurchased in the last 3 quarters of fiscal 2011.
The company has approximately $86 million remaining under its current share repurchase authorization.
Getting to the bottom line, fully diluted earnings for the quarter were $0.64 per share, a decrease of 11.1% versus the prior year, but significantly better than the range of $0.50 to $0.56 communicated in January. The better-than-expected results were driven by a favorable ruling related to the computation of the taxable income of our Asian sourcing operations that resulted in a $5.6 million or $0.12 per share benefit in the first quarter. Although most of the benefits relate to prior years, the favorable ruling will have a positive impact on our go-forward effective tax expense of about $1 million per year. This outstanding news reflects the efforts we've made over the last few years in the international tax planning arena.
Our balance sheet remains strong. Inventory at quarter end was up approximately 6%, driven primarily by additional inventory to support new product initiatives, such as Merrell Barefoot, and the impact of product cost increases.
We finished the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of approximately $123 million and approximately $70 million drawn on a revolving credit facility.
The revolver balance is in support of seasonal working capital requirements as our fiscal first quarter is typically a quarter of negative free cash flow.
We also cut our defined benefit pension plans, fully funded from an actuarial perspective. Our strategy for the use of our strong cash flow and ample liquidity remains the same: fuel the organic growth of our existing brand portfolio; fund potential new acquisitions; and return cash to shareholders via regular dividends, and when appropriate, share repurchases.
Based upon the first quarter results, our expectations for the remaining 3 quarters of the year, especially the trading conditions in Europe, we are adjusting our outlook for the full year revenue to a range of $1.46 billion to $1.5 billion, representing growth of 3.6% to 6.5% compared to the prior year. This will represent the company's third consecutive year of record revenue.
Although our current consolidated backlog is down in the mid single-digit range versus the prior year, it's important to remember that about half of our overall business is in the form of at-once or replenishment orders, and it is our expectation that at-once business will be very strong over the balance of the year. I'll share with you that our Q2 to-date consolidated at-once business across all brands in the portfolio is up almost 20% and was up almost 30% just this last week, supporting our belief that retailers have shifted and will continue to shift a substantial portion of their business to at-once orders and that our brands continue to sell through well at retail.
We continue to expect that full year revenue growth will be heavily weighted to the back half of the year, especially the fourth quarter, when the comparisons to a more modest prior year growth rate.
Embedded in our revenue outlook are the expectations of a stable U.S. economy, continuing to up trading conditions in Europe and a moderately stronger U.S. dollar over the balance of the year.
This is probably the appropriate time in my prepared remarks to let you all know that over the balance of the year, we're going to wean you off of the backlog as the business metric. First, as I just mentioned, about 1/2 of our wholesale business comes in the form of at-once orders, orders that spend very little time in the backlog before being fulfilled. Second, as we evaluated this, we looked at data over the last 16 quarters, comparing the relationship between the beginning of quarter backlog position and the ultimate revenue growth recorded in that quarter, and there's just very little correlation. We see quarters where the backlog was soft and we delivered much stronger revenue performance, and we see quarters where backlog is up strongly, as it was most of last year. And while our revenue growth is outstanding, it's still well below where the backlog would have predicted. Reasons for this include the significant swings in the ordering pattern of retailers between future and at-once orders, large fluctuations in the magnitude of order cancellations from one year to the next, volatility and third-party factory capacities, which leads to customer orders being placed earlier or later due to lead time expectations, and just general changes in retailers' collective psyche, as they continue to push a portion of the inventory carrying burden back to brand owners and wholesalers.
We didn't want to completely abandon the discussion of backlog without giving you some time to adjust to our decision, but we will be moving in that direction over the balance of the year and encourage you to rely on our revenue guidance, which takes into account all the factors just noted, and is grounded in detail by brand, by geography and by key account analysis.
We are raising our full year estimate for diluted earnings per share to a range of $2.70 to $2.80 per share, representing growth of 8.9% to 12.9% over prior year earnings per share of $2.48.
The lift in earnings guidance is attributable to a lower projected tax expense versus the prior guidance of about $0.10 per share, as the $0.12 per share benefit in Q1 is slightly offset by a projected negative mix shift between high tax and lower tax jurisdictions, resulting in a full year effective tax rate of approximately 25%. We still expect modest growth full year gross margin expansion and modest full year operating expense de-leverage, with the latter being driven by an incremental $0.15 per share of non-cash pension expense.
We were pretty open in January about our view of Q1, and not surprisingly, we received positive feedback about how helpful the commentary was.
Given the continued unusual volatility in our revenue earnings growth this year, we thought we should give you a little more color on how we see this year's second quarter compared to the second quarter of last year when revenue grew more than 20% and adjusted EPS grew more than 23%. We are currently projecting revenue in a range of flat to up low single-digits in the quarter, gross margin flat to slightly down versus the prior year, and slight SG&A de-leverage, driven primarily by the increased pension expense. The full year effective tax rate of approximately 25% just mentioned, reflects the inclusion of the Q1 non-recurring benefit in the full your calculation. Q2's effective tax rate should be approximately 27.5%.
As a result, we expect fully diluted earnings per share in the range of $0.40 to $0.45 per share in the quarter.
Fiscal 2012 is going to be a year of focus on execution. We'll bring you the company with the lifestyle brands, talents and global consumer following that enables us to outperform in a variety of geographies and retail environments, even when those environments are being challenged by macroeconomic factors. The brands with the best, most innovative products typically win, and we have continued to invest in innovation and remain focused on exceeding the expectations of our global consumers.
Thank you for your time this morning. I'll now turn the call back over to Blake for some final comments.